Tag Archives: Artificial Intelligence

Our Fear of China is Overblown

Our Fear of China is Overblown

GUEST POST from Greg Satell

The rise of China over the last 40 years has been one of history’s great economic miracles. According to the World Bank, since it began opening up its economy in 1979, China’s GDP has grown from a paltry $178 billion to a massive $13.6 trillion. At the same time, research by McKinsey shows that its middle class is expanding rapidly.

What’s more, it seems like the Asian giant is just getting started. China has become increasingly dominant in scientific research and has embarked on two major initiatives: Made in China 2025, which aims to make it the leading power in 10 emerging industries, and a massive Belt and Road infrastructure initiative that seeks to shore up its power throughout Asia.

Many predict that China will dominate the 21st century in much the same way that America dominated the 20th. Yet I’m not so sure. First, American dominance was due to an unusual confluence of forces unlikely to be repeated. Second, China has weaknesses—and we have strengths—that aren’t immediately obvious. We need to be clear headed about China’s rise.

The Making of an American Century

America wasn’t always a technological superpower. In fact, at the turn of the 20th century, much like China at the beginning of this century, the United States was largely a backwater. Still mostly an agrarian nation, the US lacked the industrial base and intellectual heft of Europe. Bright young students would often need to go overseas for advanced degrees. With no central bank, financial panics were common.

Yet all that changed quickly. Industrialists like Thomas Edison and Henry Ford put the United States at the forefront of the two most important technologies of the time, electricity and internal combustion. Great fortunes produced by a rising economy endowed great educational institutions. In 1913 the Federal Reserve Act was passed, finally bringing financial stability to a growing nation. By the 1920s, much like China today, America had emerged as a major world power.

Immigration also played a role. Throughout the early 1900s immigrants coming to America provided enormous entrepreneurial energy as well as cheap labor. With the rise of fascism in the 1930s, our openness to new people and new ideas attracted many of the world’s greatest scientists to our shores and created a massive brain drain in Europe.

At the end of World War II, the United States was the only major power left with its industrial base still intact. We seized the moment wisely, using the Marshall Plan to rebuild our allies and creating scientific institutions, such as the National Science Foundation (NSF) and the National Institutes of Health (NIH) that fueled our technological and economic dominance for the rest of the century.

There are many parallels between the 1920s and the historical moment of today, but there are also many important differences. It was a number of forces, including our geography, two massive world wars, our openness as a culture and a number of wise policy choices that led to America’s dominance. Some of these factors can be replicated, but others cannot.

MITI and the Rise of Japan

Long before China loomed as a supposed threat to American prosperity and dominance, Japan was considered to be a chief economic rival. Throughout the 1970s and 80s, Japanese firms came to lead in many key industries, such as automobiles, electronics and semiconductors. The United States, by comparison, seemed feckless and unable to compete.

Key to Japan’s rise was a long-term industrial policy. The Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI) directed investment and funded research that fueled an economic miracle. Compared to America’s haphazard policies, Japan’s deliberate and thoughtful strategy seemed like a decidedly more rational and wiser model.

Yet before long things began to unravel. While Japan continued to perform well in many of the industries and technologies that the MITI focused on, it completely missed out on new technologies, such as minicomputers and workstations in the 1980s and personal computers in the 1990s. As MITI continued to support failing industries, growth slowed and debt piled up, leading to a lost decade of economic malaise.

At the same time, innovative government policy in the US also helped turn the tide. For example, in 1987 a non-profit consortium made up of government labs, research universities and private sector companies, called SEMATECH, was created to regain competitiveness in the semiconductor industry. America soon retook the lead, which continues even today.

China 2025 and the Belt and Road Initiative

While the parallels with America in the 1920s underline China’s potential, Japan’s experience in the 1970s and 80s highlight its peril. Much like Japan, it is centralizing decision-making around a relatively small number of bureaucrats and focusing on a relatively small number of industries and technologies.

Much like Japan back then, China seems wise and rational. Certainly, the technologies it is targeting, such as artificial intelligence, electric cars and robotics would be on anybody’s list of critical technologies for the future. The problem is that the future always surprises us. What seems clear and obvious today may look ridiculous and naive a decade from now.

To understand the problem, consider quantum computing, which China is investing heavily in. However, the technology is far from monolithic. In fact, there are a wide variety of approaches being championed by different firms, such as IBM, Microsoft, Google, Intel and others. Clearly, some of these firms are going to be right and some will be wrong.

The American firms that get it wrong will fail, but others will surely succeed. In China, however, the ones that get it wrong will likely be government bureaucrats who will have the power to prop up state supported firms indefinitely. Debt will pile up and competitiveness will decrease, much like it did in Japan in the 1990s.

This is, of course, speculation. However, there are indications that it is already happening. A recent bike sharing bubble has ignited concerns that similar over-investment is happening in artificial intelligence. Many investors have also become concerned that China’s slowing economy will be unable to support its massive debt load.

The Path Forward

The rise of China presents a generational challenge. Clearly, we cannot ignore a rising power, yet we shouldn’t overreact either. While many have tried to cast China as a bad actor, engaging in intellectual theft, currency manipulation and other unfair trade policies, others point out that it is wisely investing for the long-term while the US manages by the quarter.

Interestingly, as Fareed Zakaria recently pointed out, the same accusations made about China’s unfair trade policies today were leveled at Japan 40 years ago. In retrospect, however, our fears about Japan seem almost quaint. Not only were we not crushed by Japan’s rise, we are clearly better for it, incorporating Japanese ideas like lean manufacturing and combining them with our own innovations.

I suspect, or at least I hope, that we will benefit from China’s rise much as we did from Japan’s. We will learn from its innovations and be inspired to develop more of our own. If a Chinese scientist invents a cure for cancer, American lives will be saved. If an American scientist invents a better solar panel, fewer Chinese will be choking on smog.

Perhaps most of all, we need to remember that what made the 20th Century the American Century was our ability to rise to the challenges that history presented. Whether it was rebuilding Europe in the 40s and 50s, or Sputnik in the 50s and 60s or Japan in the 70s and 80s, competition always brought out the best in us. Then, as now, our destiny was our own to determine.

— Article courtesy of the Digital Tonto blog
— Image credit: Pixabay

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Top 10 Human-Centered Change & Innovation Articles of January 2023

Top 10 Human-Centered Change & Innovation Articles of January 2023Drum roll please…

At the beginning of each month, we will profile the ten articles from the previous month that generated the most traffic to Human-Centered Change & Innovation. Did your favorite make the cut?

But enough delay, here are January’s ten most popular innovation posts:

  1. Top 40 Innovation Bloggers of 2022 — Curated by Braden Kelley
  2. Back to Basics: The Innovation Alphabet — by Robyn Bolton
  3. 99.7% of Innovation Processes Miss These 3 Essential Steps — by Robyn Bolton
  4. Top 100 Innovation and Transformation Articles of 2022 — Curated by Braden Kelley
  5. Ten Ways to Make Time for Innovation — by Nick Jain
  6. Agility is the 2023 Success Factor — by Soren Kaplan
  7. Five Questions All Leaders Should Always Be Asking — by David Burkus
  8. 23 Ways in 2023 to Create Amazing Experiences — by Shep Hyken
  9. Startups Must Be Where Their Customers Are — by Steve Blank
  10. Will CHATgpt make us more or less innovative? — by Pete Foley

BONUS – Here are five more strong articles published in December that continue to resonate with people:

If you’re not familiar with Human-Centered Change & Innovation, we publish 4-7 new articles every week built around innovation and transformation insights from our roster of contributing authors and ad hoc submissions from community members. Get the articles right in your Facebook, Twitter or Linkedin feeds too!

Have something to contribute?

Human-Centered Change & Innovation is open to contributions from any and all innovation and transformation professionals out there (practitioners, professors, researchers, consultants, authors, etc.) who have valuable human-centered change and innovation insights to share with everyone for the greater good. If you’d like to contribute, please contact me.

P.S. Here are our Top 40 Innovation Bloggers lists from the last three years:

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Will CHATgpt make us more or less innovative?

Will CHATgpt make us more or less innovative?

GUEST POST from Pete Foley

The rapid emergence of increasingly sophisticated ‘AI ‘ programs such as CHATgpt will profoundly impact our world in many ways. That will inevitably include Innovation, especially the front end. But will it ultimately help or hurt us? Better access to information should be a huge benefit, and my intuition was to dive in and take full advantage. I still think it has enormous upside, but I also think it needs to be treated with care. At this point at least, it’s still a tool, not an oracle. It’s an excellent source for tapping existing information, but it’s (not yet) a source of new ideas. As with any tool, those who understand deeply how it works, its benefits and its limitations, will get the most from it. And those who use it wrongly could end up doing more harm than good. So below I’ve mapped out a few pros and cons that I see. It’s new, and like everybody else, I’m on a learning curve, so would welcome any and all thoughts on these pros and cons:

What is Innovation?

First a bit of a sidebar. To understand how to use a tool, I at least need to have a reasonably clear of what goals I want it to help me achieve. Obviously ‘what is innovation’ is a somewhat debatable topic, but my working model is that the front end of innovation typically involves taking existing knowledge or technology, and combining it in new, useful ways, or in new contexts, to create something that is new, useful and ideally understandable and accessible. This requires deep knowledge, curiosity and the ability to reframe problems to find new uses of existing assets. A recent illustrative example is Oculus Rift, an innovation that helped to make virtual reality accessible by combining fairly mundane components including a mobile phone screen and a tracking sensor and ski glasses into something new. But innovation comes in many forms, and can also involve serendipity and keen observation, as in Alexander Fleming’s original discovery of penicillin. But even this requires deep domain knowledge to spot the opportunity and reframing undesirable mold into a (very) useful pharmaceutical. So, my start-point is which parts of this can CHATgpt help with?

Another sidebar is that innovation is of course far more than simply discovery or a Eureka moment. Turning an idea into a viable product or service usually requires considerable work, with the development of penicillin being a case in point. I’ve no doubt that CHATgpt and its inevitable ‘progeny’ will be of considerable help in that part of the process too.   But for starters I’ve focused on what it brings to the discovery phase, and the generation of big, game changing ideas.

First the Pros:

1. Staying Current: We all have to strike a balance between keeping up with developments in our own fields, and trying to come up with new ideas. The sheer volume of new information, especially in developing fields, means that keeping pace with even our own area of expertise has become challenging. But spend too much time just keeping up, and we become followers, not innovators, so we have to carve out time to also stretch existing knowledge. But if we don’t get the balance right, and fail to stay current, we risk get leapfrogged by those who more diligently track the latest discoveries. Simultaneous invention has been pervasive at least since the development of calculus, as one discovery often signposts and lays the path for the next. So fail to stay on top of our field, and we potentially miss a relatively easy step to the next big idea. CHATgpt can become an extremely efficient tool for tracking advances without getting buried in them.

2. Pushing Outside of our Comfort Zone: Breakthrough innovation almost by definition requires us to step beyond the boundaries of our existing knowledge. Whether we are Dyson stealing filtration technology from a sawmill for his unique ‘filterless’ vacuum cleaner, physicians combining stem cell innovation with tech to create rejection resistant artificial organs, or the Oculus tech mentioned above, innovation almost always requires tapping resources from outside of the established field. If we don’t do this, then we not only tend towards incremental ideas, but also tend to stay in lock step with other experts in our field. This becomes increasingly the case as an area matures, low hanging fruit is exhausted, and domain knowledge becomes somewhat commoditized. CHATgpt simply allows us to explore beyond our field far more efficiently than we’ve ever been able to before. And as it or related tech evolves, it will inevitably enable ever more sophisticated search. From my experience it already enables some degree of analogous search if you are thoughtful about how to frame questions, thus allowing us to more effectively expand searches for existing solutions to problems that lie beyond the obvious. That is potentially really exciting.

Some Possible Cons:

1. Going Down the Rabbit Hole: CHATgpt is crack cocaine for the curious. Mea culpa, this has probably been the most time consuming blog I’ve ever written. Answers inevitably lead to more questions, and it’s almost impossible to resist playing well beyond the specific goals I initially have. It’s fascinating, it’s fun, you learn a lot of stuff you didn’t know, but I at least struggle with discipline and focus when using it. Hopefully that will wear off, and I will find a balance that uses it efficiently.

2. The Illusion of Understanding: This is a bit more subtle, but a topic inevitably enhances our understanding of it. The act of asking questions is as much a part of learning as reading answers, and often requires deep mechanistic understanding. CHATgpa helps us probe faster, and its explanations may help us to understand concepts more quickly. But it also risks the illusion of understanding. When the heavy loading of searching is shifted away from us, we get quick answers, but may also miss out on the deeper mechanistic understanding we’d have gleaned if we’d been forced to work a bit harder. And that deeper understanding can be critical when we are trying to integrate superficially different domains as part of the innovation process. For example, knowing that we can use a patient’s stem cells to minimize rejection of an artificial organ is quite different from understanding how the immune system differentiates between its own and other stem cells. The risk is that sophisticated search engines will do more heavy lifting, allow us to move faster, but also result in a more superficial understanding, which reduces our ability to spot roadblocks early, or solve problems as we move to the back end of innovation, and reduce an idea to practice.

3. Eureka Moment: That’s the ‘conscious’ watch out, but there is also an unconscious one. It’s no secret that quite often our biggest ideas come when we are not actually trying. Archimedes had his Eureka moment in the bath, and many of my better ideas come when I least expect them, perhaps in the shower, when I first wake up, or am out having dinner. The neuroscience of creativity helps explain this, in that the restructuring of problems that leads to new insight and the integration of ideas works mostly unconsciously, and when we are not consciously focused on a problem. It’s analogous to the ‘tip of the tongue’ effect, where the harder we try to remember something, the harder it gets, but then comes to us later when we are not trying. But the key for the Eureka moment is that we need sufficiently deep knowledge for those integrations to occur. If CHATgpt increases the illusion of understanding, we could see less of those Eureka moments, and the ‘obvious in hindsight ideas’ they create.

Conclusion

I think that ultimately innovation will be accelerated by CHATgpt and what follows, perhaps quite dramatically. But I also think that we as innovators need to try and peel back the layers and understand as much as we can about these tools, as there is potential for us to trip up. We need to constantly reinvent the way we interact with them, leverage them as sophisticated innovation tools, but avoid them becoming oracles. We also need to ensure that we, and future generations use them to extend our thinking skill set, but not become a proxy for it. The calculator has in some ways made us all mathematical geniuses, but in other ways has reduced large swathes of the population’s ability to do basic math. We need to be careful that CHATgpt doesn’t do the same for our need for cognition, and deep mechanistic and/or critical thinking.

Image credit: Pixabay

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Top 100 Innovation and Transformation Articles of 2022

Top 100 Innovation and Transformation Articles of 2022

2021 marked the re-birth of my original Blogging Innovation blog as a new blog called Human-Centered Change and Innovation.

Many of you may know that Blogging Innovation grew into the world’s most popular global innovation community before being re-branded as InnovationExcellence.com and being ultimately sold to DisruptorLeague.com.

Thanks to an outpouring of support I’ve ignited the fuse of this new multiple author blog around the topics of human-centered change, innovation, transformation and design.

I feel blessed that the global innovation and change professional communities have responded with a growing roster of contributing authors and more than 17,000 newsletter subscribers.

To celebrate we’ve pulled together the Top 100 Innovation and Transformation Articles of 2022 from our archive of over 1,000 articles on these topics.

We do some other rankings too.

We just published the Top 40 Innovation Bloggers of 2022 and as the volume of this blog has grown we have brought back our monthly article ranking to complement this annual one.

But enough delay, here are the 100 most popular innovation and transformation posts of 2022.

Did your favorite make the cut?

1. A Guide to Organizing Innovation – by Jesse Nieminen

2. The Education Business Model Canvas – by Arlen Meyers, M.D.

3. 50 Cognitive Biases Reference – Free Download – by Braden Kelley

4. Why Innovation Heroes Indicate a Dysfunctional Organization – by Steve Blank

5. The One Movie All Electric Car Designers Should Watch – by Braden Kelley

6. Don’t Forget to Innovate the Customer Experience – by Braden Kelley

7. What Latest Research Reveals About Innovation Management Software – by Jesse Nieminen

8. Is Now the Time to Finally End Our Culture of Disposability? – by Braden Kelley

9. Free Innovation Maturity Assessment – by Braden Kelley

10. Cognitive Bandwidth – Staying Innovative in ‘Interesting’ Times – by Pete Foley

11. Is Digital Different? – by John Bessant

12. Top 40 Innovation Bloggers of 2021 – Curated by Braden Kelley

13. Can We Innovate Like Elon Musk? – by Pete Foley

14. Why Amazon Wants to Sell You Robots – by Shep Hyken

15. Free Human-Centered Change Tools – by Braden Kelley

16. What is Human-Centered Change? – by Braden Kelley

17. Not Invented Here – by John Bessant

18. Top Five Reasons Customers Don’t Return – by Shep Hyken

19. Visual Project Charter™ – 35″ x 56″ (Poster Size) and JPG for Online Whiteboarding – by Braden Kelley

20. Nine Innovation Roles – by Braden Kelley

21. How Consensus Kills Innovation – by Greg Satell

22. Why So Much Innoflation? – by Arlen Meyers, M.D.

23. ACMP Standard for Change Management® Visualization – 35″ x 56″ (Poster Size) – Association of Change Management Professionals – by Braden Kelley

24. 12 Reasons to Write Your Own Letter of Recommendation – by Arlen Meyers, M.D.

25. The Five Keys to Successful Change – by Braden Kelley

26. Innovation Theater – How to Fake It ‘Till You Make It – by Arlen Meyers, M.D.

27. Five Immutable Laws of Change – by Greg Satell

28. How to Free Ourselves of Conspiracy Theories – by Greg Satell

29. An Innovation Action Plan for the New CTO – by Steve Blank

30. How to Write a Failure Resume – by Arlen Meyers, M.D.


Build a common language of innovation on your team


31. Entrepreneurs Must Think Like a Change Leader – by Braden Kelley

32. No Regret Decisions: The First Steps of Leading through Hyper-Change – by Phil Buckley

33. Parallels Between the 1920’s and Today Are Frightening – by Greg Satell

34. Technology Not Always the Key to Innovation – by Braden Kelley

35. The Era of Moving Fast and Breaking Things is Over – by Greg Satell

36. A Startup’s Guide to Marketing Communications – by Steve Blank

37. You Must Be Comfortable with Being Uncomfortable – by Janet Sernack

38. Four Key Attributes of Transformational Leaders – by Greg Satell

39. We Were Wrong About What Drove the 21st Century – by Greg Satell

40. Stoking Your Innovation Bonfire – by Braden Kelley

41. Now is the Time to Design Cost Out of Our Products – by Mike Shipulski

42. Why Good Ideas Fail – by Greg Satell

43. Five Myths That Kill Change and Transformation – by Greg Satell

44. 600 Free Innovation, Transformation and Design Quote Slides – Curated by Braden Kelley

45. FutureHacking – by Braden Kelley

46. Innovation Requires Constraints – by Greg Satell

47. The Experiment Canvas™ – 35″ x 56″ (Poster Size) – by Braden Kelley

48. The Pyramid of Results, Motivation and Ability – by Braden Kelley

49. Four Paradigm Shifts Defining Our Next Decade – by Greg Satell

50. Why Most Corporate Mindset Programs Are a Waste of Time – by Alain Thys


Accelerate your change and transformation success


51. Impact of Cultural Differences on Innovation – by Jesse Nieminen

52. 600+ Downloadable Quote Posters – Curated by Braden Kelley

53. The Four Secrets of Innovation Implementation – by Shilpi Kumar

54. What Entrepreneurship Education Really Teaches Us – by Arlen Meyers, M.D.

55. Reset and Reconnect in a Chaotic World – by Janet Sernack

56. You Can’t Innovate Without This One Thing – by Robyn Bolton

57. Why Change Must Be Built on Common Ground – by Greg Satell

58. Four Innovation Ecosystem Building Blocks – by Greg Satell

59. Problem Seeking 101 – by Arlen Meyers, M.D.

60. Taking Personal Responsibility – Back to Leadership Basics – by Janet Sernack

61. The Lost Tribe of Medicine – by Arlen Meyers, M.D.

62. Invest Yourself in All That You Do – by Douglas Ferguson

63. Bureaucracy and Politics versus Innovation – by Braden Kelley

64. Dare to Think Differently – by Janet Sernack

65. Bridging the Gap Between Strategy and Reality – by Braden Kelley

66. Innovation vs. Invention vs. Creativity – by Braden Kelley

67. Building a Learn It All Culture – by Braden Kelley

68. Real Change Requires a Majority – by Greg Satell

69. Human-Centered Innovation Toolkit – by Braden Kelley

70. Silicon Valley Has Become a Doomsday Machine – by Greg Satell

71. Three Steps to Digital and AI Transformation – by Arlen Meyers, M.D.

72. We need MD/MBEs not MD/MBAs – by Arlen Meyers, M.D.

73. What You Must Know Before Leading a Design Thinking Workshop – by Douglas Ferguson

74. New Skills Needed for a New Era of Innovation – by Greg Satell

75. The Leader’s Guide to Making Innovation Happen – by Jesse Nieminen

76. Marriott’s Approach to Customer Service – by Shep Hyken

77. Flaws in the Crawl Walk Run Methodology – by Braden Kelley

78. Disrupt Yourself, Your Team and Your Organization – by Janet Sernack

79. Why Stupid Questions Are Important to Innovation – by Greg Satell

80. Breaking the Iceberg of Company Culture – by Douglas Ferguson


Get the Change Planning Toolkit


81. A Brave Post-Coronavirus New World – by Greg Satell

82. What Can Leaders Do to Have More Innovative Teams? – by Diana Porumboiu

83. Mentors Advise and Sponsors Invest – by Arlen Meyers, M.D.

84. Increasing Organizational Agility – by Braden Kelley

85. Should You Have a Department of Artificial Intelligence? – by Arlen Meyers, M.D.

86. This 9-Box Grid Can Help Grow Your Best Future Talent – by Soren Kaplan

87. Creating Employee Connection Innovations in the HR, People & Culture Space – by Chris Rollins

88. Developing 21st-Century Leader and Team Superpowers – by Janet Sernack

89. Accelerate Your Mission – by Brian Miller

90. How the Customer in 9C Saved Continental Airlines from Bankruptcy – by Howard Tiersky

91. How to Effectively Manage Remotely – by Douglas Ferguson

92. Leading a Culture of Innovation from Any Seat – by Patricia Salamone

93. Bring Newness to Corporate Learning with Gamification – by Janet Sernack

94. Selling to Generation Z – by Shep Hyken

95. Importance of Measuring Your Organization’s Innovation Maturity – by Braden Kelley

96. Innovation Champions and Pilot Partners from Outside In – by Arlen Meyers, M.D.

97. Transformation Insights – by Bruce Fairley

98. Teaching Old Fish New Tricks – by Braden Kelley

99. Innovating Through Adversity and Constraints – by Janet Sernack

100. It is Easier to Change People than to Change People – by Annette Franz

Curious which article just missed the cut? Well, here it is just for fun:

101. Chance to Help Make Futurism and Foresight Accessible – by Braden Kelley

These are the Top 100 innovation and transformation articles of 2022 based on the number of page views. If your favorite Human-Centered Change & Innovation article didn’t make the cut, then send a tweet to @innovate and maybe we’ll consider doing a People’s Choice List for 2022.

If you’re not familiar with Human-Centered Change & Innovation, we publish 1-6 new articles every week focused on human-centered change, innovation, transformation and design insights from our roster of contributing authors and ad hoc submissions from community members. Get the articles right in your Facebook feed or on Twitter or LinkedIn too!

Editor’s Note: Human-Centered Change & Innovation is open to contributions from any and all the innovation & transformation professionals out there (practitioners, professors, researchers, consultants, authors, etc.) who have a valuable insight to share with everyone for the greater good. If you’d like to contribute, contact us.

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The Human-AI Co-Pilot

Redefining the Creative Brief for Generative Tools

The Human-AI Co-Pilot

GUEST POST from Art Inteligencia

The dawn of generative AI (GenAI) has ushered in an era where creation is no longer constrained by human speed or scale. Yet, for many organizations, the promise of the AI co-pilot remains trapped in the confines of simple, often shallow prompt engineering. We are treating these powerful, pattern-recognizing, creative machines like glorified interns, giving them minimal direction and expecting breakthrough results. This approach fundamentally misunderstands the machine’s capability and the new role of the human professional—which is shifting from creator to strategic editor and director.

This is the fundamental disconnect: a traditional creative brief is designed to inspire and constrain a human team—relying heavily on shared context, nuance, and cultural shorthand. An AI co-pilot, however, requires a brief that is explicitly structured to transmit strategic intent, defined constraints, and measurable parameters while leveraging the machine’s core strength: rapid, combinatorial creativity.

The solution is the Human-AI Co-Pilot Creative Brief, a structured document that moves beyond simple what (the output) to define the how (the parameters) and the why (the strategic goal). It transforms the interaction from one of command-and-response to one of genuine, strategic co-piloting.

The Three Failures of the Traditional Prompt

A simple prompt—”Write a blog post about our new product”—fails because it leaves the strategic and ethical heavy lifting to the unpredictable AI default:

  1. It Lacks Strategic Intent: The AI doesn’t know why the product matters to the business (e.g., is it a defensive move against a competitor, or a new market entry?). It defaults to generic, promotional language that lacks a strategic purpose.
  2. It Ignores Ethical Guardrails: It provides no clear instructions on bias avoidance, data sourcing, or the ethical representation of specific communities. The risk of unwanted, biased, or legally problematic output rises dramatically.
  3. It Fails to Define Success: The AI doesn’t know if success means 1,000 words of basic information, or 500 words of emotional resonance that drives a 10% click-through rate. The human is left to manually grade subjective output, wasting time and resources.

The Four Pillars of the Human-AI Co-Pilot Brief

A successful Co-Pilot Brief must be structured data for the machine and clear strategic direction for the human. It contains four critical sections:

1. Strategic Context and Constraint Data

This section is non-negotiable data: Brand Voice Guidelines (tone, lexicon, forbidden words), Target Persona Definition (with explicit demographic and psychographic data), and Measurable Success Metrics (e.g., “Must achieve a Sentiment Score above 75” or “Must reduce complexity score by 20%”). The Co-Pilot needs hard, verifiable parameters, not soft inspiration.

2. Unlearning Instructions (Bias Mitigation)

This is the human-centered, ethical section. It explicitly instructs the AI on what cultural defaults and historical biases to avoid. For example: “Do not use common financial success clichés,” or “Ensure visual representations of leadership roles are diverse and avoid gender stereotypes.” This actively forces the AI to challenge its training data and align with the brand’s ethical standards.

3. Iterative Experimentation Mandates

Instead of asking for one final product, the brief asks for a portfolio of directed experiments. This instructs the AI on the dimensions of variance to explore (e.g., “Generate 3 headline clusters: 1. Fear-based urgency, 2. Aspiration-focused long-term value, 3. Humorous and self-deprecating tone”). This leverages the AI’s speed to deliver human-directed exploration, allowing the human to focus on selection, refinement, and A/B testing—the high-value tasks.

4. Attribution and Integration Protocol

This section ensures the output is useful and compliant. It defines the required format (Markdown, JSON, XML), the needed metadata (source citation for facts, confidence score of the output), and the Human Intervention Point (e.g., “Draft 1 must be edited by the Chief Marketing Officer for final narrative tone and legal review”). This manages the handover and legal chain of custody for the final, approved asset.

Case Study 1: The E-commerce Retailer and the A/B Testing Engine

Challenge: Slow and Costly Product Description Generation

A large e-commerce retailer needed to rapidly create product descriptions for thousands of new items across various categories. The human copywriting team was slow, and their A/B testing revealed that the descriptions lacked variation, leading to plateaued conversion rates.

Co-Pilot Brief Intervention:

The team implemented a Co-Pilot Brief that enforced the Iterative Experimentation Mandate. The brief dictated: 1) Persona Profile, 2) Output Length, and crucially, 3) Mandate: “Generate 5 variants that maximize different psychological triggers: Authority, Scarcity, Social Proof, Reciprocity, and Liking.” The AI delivered a rich portfolio of five distinct, strategically differentiated options for every product. The human team spent time selecting the best option and running the A/B test. This pivot increased the speed of description creation by 400% and—more importantly—increased the success rate of the A/B tests by 30%, proving the value of AI-directed variance.

Case Study 2: The Healthcare Network and Ethical Compliance Messaging

Challenge: Creating Sensitive, High-Compliance Patient Messaging

A national healthcare provider needed to draft complex, highly sensitive communication materials regarding new patient privacy laws (HIPAA) that were legally compliant yet compassionate and easy to understand. The complexity often led to dry, inaccessible language.

Co-Pilot Brief Intervention:

The team utilized a Co-Pilot Brief emphasizing Constraint Data and Unlearning Instructions. The brief included: 1) Full legal text and mandatory compliance keywords (Constraint Data), 2) Unlearning Instructions: “Avoid all medical jargon; do not use the passive voice; maintain a 6th-grade reading level; project a tone of empathetic assurance, not legal warning,” and 3) Success Metric: “Must achieve Flesch-Kincaid Reading Ease Score above 65.” The AI successfully generated drafts that satisfied the legal constraints while adhering to the reading ease metric. The human experts spent less time checking legal compliance and more time refining the final emotional tone, reducing the legal review cycle by 50% and significantly increasing patient comprehension scores.

Conclusion: From Prompt Engineer to Strategic Architect

The Human-AI Co-Pilot Creative Brief is the most important new artifact for innovation teams. It forces us to transition from thinking of the AI as a reactive tool to treating it as a strategic partner that must be precisely directed. It demands that humans define the ethical boundaries, strategic intent, and success criteria, freeing the AI to do what it does best: explore the design space at speed. This elevates the human role from creation to strategic architecture.

“The value of a generative tool is capped by the strategic depth of its brief. The better the instructions, the higher the cognitive floor for the output.”

The co-pilot era is here. Your first step: Take your last successful creative brief and re-write the Objectives section entirely as a set of measurable, hard constraints and non-negotiable unlearning instructions for an AI.

Extra Extra: Futurology is not fortune telling. Futurists use a scientific approach to create their deliverables, but a methodology and tools like those in FutureHacking™ can empower anyone to engage in futurology themselves.

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Practical Applications of AI for Human-Centered Innovation

Beyond the Hype

Practical Applications of AI for Human-Centered Innovation

GUEST POST from Chateau G Pato

The air is thick with the buzz of Artificial Intelligence. From Davos to daily headlines, the conversation often oscillates between utopian dreams and dystopian fears. As a thought leader focused on human-centered change and innovation, my perspective cuts through this noise: AI is not just a technology; it is a powerful amplifier of human capability, especially when applied with empathy and a deep understanding of human needs. The true innovation isn’t in what AI can do, but in how it enables humans to do more, better, and more humanely.

Too many organizations are chasing AI for the sake of AI, hoping to find a magic bullet for efficiency. This misses the point entirely. The most transformative applications of AI in innovation are those that don’t replace humans, but rather augment their unique strengths — creativity, empathy, critical thinking, and ethical judgment. This article explores practical, human-centered applications of AI that move beyond the hype to deliver tangible value by putting people at the core of the AI-driven innovation process. It’s about designing a future where humanity remains in the loop, guiding and benefiting from intelligent systems.

AI as an Empathy Amplifier: Deepening Understanding

Human-centered innovation begins with deep empathy for users, customers, and employees. Traditionally, gathering and synthesizing this understanding has been a labor-intensive, often qualitative, process. AI is revolutionizing this by giving innovators superpowers in understanding human context:

  • Sentiment Analysis for Voice of Customer (VoC): AI can process vast quantities of unstructured feedback — customer reviews, social media comments, call center transcripts — to identify emerging pain points, unspoken desires, and critical satisfaction drivers, often in real-time. This provides a granular, data-driven understanding of user sentiment that human analysts alone could never achieve at scale, leading to faster, more targeted product improvements.
  • Personalized Journeys & Predictive Needs: By analyzing behavioral data, AI can predict individual user needs and preferences, allowing for hyper-personalized product recommendations, customized learning paths, or proactive support. This moves from reactive service to anticipatory human care, boosting customer loyalty and reducing friction.
  • Contextualizing Employee Experience (EX): AI can analyze internal communications, HR feedback, and engagement surveys to identify patterns of burnout, identify skill gaps, or flag cultural friction points, allowing leaders to intervene with targeted, human-centric solutions that improve employee well-being and productivity. This directly impacts talent retention and operational efficiency.

“The best AI applications don’t automate human intuition; they liberate it, freeing us to focus on the ‘why’ and ‘how’ of human experience. This is AI as a partner, not a replacement.” — Braden Kelley


Case Study 1: AI-Powered User Research at Adobe

The Challenge:

Adobe, with its vast suite of creative tools, faces the constant challenge of understanding the diverse, evolving needs of millions of users — from professional designers to casual creators. Traditional user research (surveys, interviews, focus groups) is time-consuming and expensive, making it difficult to keep pace with rapid product development cycles and emerging user behaviors.

The AI-Powered Human-Centered Solution:

Adobe developed internal AI tools that leverage natural language processing (NLP) to analyze immense volumes of unstructured user feedback from forums, support tickets, app store reviews, and in-app telemetry. These AI systems identify recurring themes, emerging feature requests, and points of friction with remarkable speed and accuracy. Instead of replacing human researchers, the AI acts as an an ‘insight engine,’ highlighting critical areas for human qualitative investigation. Researchers then use these AI-generated insights to conduct more focused, empathetic interviews and design targeted usability tests, ensuring human intelligence remains in the loop for crucial interpretation and validation.

The Innovation Impact:

This approach drastically accelerates the ideation and validation phases of Adobe’s product development, translating directly into faster time-to-market for new features. It allows human designers to spend less time sifting through data and more time synthesizing insights, collaborating on creative solutions, and directly interacting with users on the most impactful issues. Products are developed with a deeper, faster, and more scalable understanding of user pain points and desires, leading to higher adoption, stronger user loyalty, and ultimately, increased revenue.


AI as a Creativity & Productivity Partner: Amplifying Output

Beyond empathy, AI is fundamentally transforming how human innovators generate ideas, prototype solutions, and execute complex projects, not by replacing creative thought, but by amplifying it while maintaining human oversight.

  • Generative AI for Ideation & Concepting: Large Language Models (LLMs) can act as powerful brainstorming partners, generating hundreds of diverse ideas, marketing slogans, or design concepts from a simple prompt. This allows human creatives to explore a broader solution space faster, finding novel angles they might have missed, thereby reducing ideation cycle time and boosting innovation output.
  • Automated Prototyping & Simulation: AI can rapidly generate low-fidelity prototypes from design specifications, simulate user interactions, or even predict the performance of a physical product before it’s built. This drastically reduces the time and cost of the early innovation cycle, making experimentation more accessible and leading to significant R&D savings.
  • Intelligent Task Automation (Beyond RPA): While Robotic Process Automation (RPA) handles repetitive tasks, AI goes further. It can intelligently automate the contextual parts of a job, managing schedules, prioritizing communications, or summarizing complex documents, freeing human workers for higher-value, creative problem-solving. This leads to increased employee satisfaction and higher strategic output.

Case Study 2: Spotify’s AI-Driven Music Discovery & Creator Tools

The Challenge:

Spotify’s core challenge is matching millions of users with tens of millions of songs, constantly evolving tastes, and emerging artists. Simultaneously, they need to empower artists to find their audience and create efficiently in a crowded market. Traditional human curation alone couldn’t scale to this complexity.

The AI-Powered Human-Centered Solution:

Spotify uses a sophisticated AI engine to power its personalized recommendation algorithms (Discover Weekly, Daily Mixes). This AI doesn’t just match songs; it understands context — mood, activity, time of day, and even the subtle social signals of listening. This frees human curators to focus on high-level thematic curation, editorial playlists, and breaking new artists, rather than sifting through endless catalogs. More recently, Spotify is also exploring AI tools for artists, assisting with everything from mastering tracks to suggesting optimal release times based on audience analytics, always with human creators retaining final creative control.

The Innovation Impact:

The AI system allows Spotify to deliver a highly personalized and human-feeling music discovery experience at an unimaginable scale, directly driving user engagement and subscriber retention. For artists, AI acts as a creative assistant and market intelligence tool, allowing them to focus on making music while gaining insights into audience behavior and optimizing their reach. This symbiotic relationship between human creativity and AI efficiency is a hallmark of human-centered innovation, resulting in a stronger platform ecosystem for both consumers and creators.

The future of innovation isn’t about AI replacing humans; it’s about AI elevating humanity. By focusing on how AI can amplify empathy, foster creativity, and liberate us from mundane tasks, we can build a future where technology truly serves people. This requires a commitment to responsible AI development — ensuring fairness, transparency, and human oversight. The challenge for leaders is not just to adopt AI, but to design its integration with a human-centered lens, ensuring it empowers, rather than diminishes, the human spirit of innovation, and delivers measurable value across the organization.

Extra Extra: Because innovation is all about change, Braden Kelley’s human-centered change methodology and tools are the best way to plan and execute the changes necessary to support your innovation and transformation efforts — all while literally getting everyone all on the same page for change. Find out more about the methodology and tools, including the book Charting Change by following the link. Be sure and download the TEN FREE TOOLS while you’re here.

Image credit: Unsplash

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When Humans and AI Innovate Together

The Symbiotic Relationship

When Humans and AI Innovate Together

GUEST POST from Chateau G Pato

The narrative surrounding Artificial Intelligence often veers into two extremes: utopian savior or dystopian overlord. Both miss the profound truth of our current inflection point. As a human-centered change and innovation thought leader, I argue that the most impactful future of AI is not one where machines replace humans, nor one where humans merely manage machines. Instead, it is a symbiotic relationship — a partnership where the unique strengths of human creativity, empathy, and intuition merge with AI’s unparalleled speed, scale, and analytical power. This “Human-AI Teaming” is not just an operational advantage; it is the definitive engine for exponential, human-centered innovation.

The true genius of AI lies not in its ability to replicate human thought, but to augment it. Humans excel at divergent thinking, ethical reasoning, abstract problem framing, and connecting seemingly unrelated concepts. AI excels at convergent thinking, pattern recognition in vast datasets, rapid prototyping, and optimizing complex systems. When these distinct capabilities are deliberately integrated, the result is a cognitive leap forward—a powerful fusion, much like a mythical centaur, that delivers solutions previously unimaginable. This shift demands a radical rethink of organizational structures, skill development, and how we define “innovation” itself, acknowledging potential pitfalls like algorithmic bias and explainability challenges not as roadblocks, but as design challenges for stronger symbiosis.

The Pillars of Human-AI Symbiosis in Innovation

Building a truly symbiotic innovation capability requires focus on three strategic pillars:

  • 1. AI as a Cognitive Multiplier: Treat AI not as an autonomous decision-maker, but as an extension of human intellect. This means AI excels at hypothesis generation, data synthesis, anomaly detection, and providing diverse perspectives based on vast amounts of information, all to supercharge human problem-solving, allowing us to explore far more options than before.
  • 2. Humans as Ethical & Creative Architects: The human role is elevated to architect and guide. We define the problem, set the ethical boundaries, provide the contextual nuance, and apply the “human filter” to AI’s outputs. Our unique capacity for empathy, understanding unspoken needs, and managing the inherent biases of AI remains irreplaceable in truly human-centered design.
  • 3. Iterative Feedback Loops: The symbiotic relationship thrives on constant learning. Humans train AI with nuanced feedback, helping it understand complex, subjective scenarios and correct for biases. AI, in turn, provides data-driven insights and rapid experimentation capabilities that help humans refine their hypotheses and accelerate the innovation cycle. This continuous exchange refines both human understanding and AI performance.

“The future of innovation isn’t about AI or humans. It’s about how elegantly we can weave the unparalleled strengths of both into a singular, accelerated creative force.” — Satya Nadella


Case Study 1: Moderna and AI-Driven Vaccine Development

The Challenge:

Developing a vaccine for a novel pathogen like SARS-CoV-2 traditionally takes years, an impossibly long timeline during a pandemic. The complexity of mRNA sequencing, protein folding, and clinical trial design overwhelmed human capacity alone.

The Symbiotic Innovation:

Moderna leveraged an AI-first approach where human scientists defined the immunological targets and ethical parameters, but AI algorithms rapidly designed, optimized, and tested millions of potential mRNA sequences. AI analyzed vast genomic databases to predict optimal antigen structures and identify potential immune responses. Human scientists then performed the critical biological testing and validation, refined these AI-generated candidates, and managed the ethical and logistical complexities of clinical trials and regulatory approval. The explainability of AI’s outputs was crucial for human trust and regulatory acceptance.

The Exponential Impact:

This human-AI partnership dramatically accelerated the vaccine development timeline, bringing a highly effective mRNA vaccine from concept to clinical trials in a matter of weeks, not years. AI handled the computational heavy lifting of molecular design, freeing human experts to focus on the high-level strategy, rigorous validation, and the profound human impact of global health. It exemplifies AI as a cognitive multiplier in a crisis, under human-led ethical governance.


Case Study 2: Generative Design in Engineering (e.g., Autodesk Fusion 360)

The Challenge:

Traditional engineering design is constrained by human experience and iterative trial-and-error, leading to designs that are often sub-optimal in terms of weight, material usage, or performance. Designing for radical efficiency requires exploring millions of permutations—a task beyond human capacity.

The Symbiotic Innovation:

Platforms like Autodesk Fusion 360 integrate Generative Design AI. Human engineers define the essential design parameters: materials, manufacturing methods, load-bearing requirements, weight constraints, and optimization goals (e.g., minimum weight, maximum stiffness). The AI then autonomously explores hundreds or thousands of design options, often generating organic, complex structures that no human designer would conceive. The human engineer then acts as a discerning curator and refiner, selecting the most promising AI-generated designs, applying aesthetic and practical considerations, and testing them for real-world viability and manufacturability.

The Exponential Impact:

This collaboration has led to breakthroughs in lightweighting and material efficiency across industries, from aerospace to automotive. AI explores an immense solution space, while humans inject creativity, contextual understanding, and final aesthetic and ethical judgment. The result is parts that are significantly lighter, stronger, and more sustainable—innovations that would have been impossible for either human or AI to achieve alone. It’s AI expanding the realm of possibility for human architects, leading to more sustainable and cost-effective products.


The Leadership Mandate: Cultivating the Centaur Organization

Building a truly symbiotic human-AI innovation engine is not merely a technical problem; it is a profound leadership challenge. It demands investing in new skills (prompt engineering, AI ethics, data literacy, and critical thinking to evaluate AI outputs), redesigning workflows to integrate AI at key decision points, and—most crucially—cultivating a culture of psychological safety where employees are encouraged to experiment with AI, understand its limitations, and provide frank feedback without fear.

Leaders must define AI not as a replacement, but as an unparalleled partner, actively addressing challenges like algorithmic bias and the need for explainability through robust human oversight. By strategically integrating AI as a cognitive multiplier, empowering humans as ethical and creative architects, and establishing robust iterative feedback loops, organizations can unlock an era of innovation previously confined to science fiction. The future of human-centered innovation is not human-only, nor AI-only. It is a powerful, elegant dance between both, continuously learning and adapting.

Extra Extra: Because innovation is all about change, Braden Kelley’s human-centered change methodology and tools are the best way to plan and execute the changes necessary to support your innovation and transformation efforts — all while literally getting everyone all on the same page for change. Find out more about the methodology and tools, including the book Charting Change by following the link. Be sure and download the TEN FREE TOOLS while you’re here.

Image credit: Pixabay

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Preparing Your Workforce for Collaborative Intelligence

Upskilling for the AI Era

Preparing Your Workforce for Collaborative Intelligence

GUEST POST from Chateau G Pato

The rise of Artificial Intelligence is not a distant threat looming on the horizon; it is the fundamental reality of business today. Yet, the conversation is often dominated by fear—the fear of job replacement, of technical obsolescence, and of organizational disruption. As a human-centered change and innovation thought leader, I argue that this narrative misses the most profound opportunity: the chance to redefine the very nature of human work. The true imperative for leaders is not to acquire AI tools, but to upskill their human workforce for a symbiotic partnership with those tools. We must shift our focus from automation to Collaborative Intelligence, where the strength of the machine (speed, data processing) complements the genius of the human (creativity, empathy, judgment).

The AI Era demands a strategic pivot in talent development. We need to move past reactive technical training and invest in the skills that are uniquely human, those that machines can augment but never truly replicate. The future of competitive advantage lies not in owning the best algorithms, but in cultivating the workforce most skilled at collaborating with algorithms. This requires a shift in mindset, skills, and organizational design, ensuring that every employee — from the frontline associate to the senior executive — understands their new role as an AI partner, strategist, and ethical steward.

The Three Pillars of Collaborative Intelligence

Preparing your workforce for the AI era means focusing on three critical, human-centric skill areas that machines will struggle to master:

  • 1. Strategic Judgment and Empathy: AI excels at calculation, but it lacks contextual awareness, cultural nuance, and empathy. The human role shifts to interpreting the AI’s output, exercising ethical judgment, and translating data into emotionally resonant actions for customers and colleagues. This requires deep training in human-centered design principles and ethical decision-making.
  • 2. Creative Problem-Solving and Experimentation: The most valuable new skill is not coding, but prompt engineering and defining the right questions. Humans must conceptualize new use cases, challenge the AI’s assumptions, and rapidly prototype new solutions. This demands a culture of psychological safety where continuous experimentation and failure are encouraged as essential steps toward innovation.
  • 3. Data Literacy and AI Stewardship: Every employee must become literate in data and AI concepts. They don’t need to write code, but they must understand how the AI makes decisions, where its data comes from, and why a result might be biased or flawed. The human is the ethical backstop and the responsible steward of the algorithm’s power.

“The AI won’t take your job; a person skilled in AI will. The upskilling challenge is not about the technology; it’s about the partnership.” — Braden Kelley


Case Study 1: The Global Consulting Firm – From Analyst to Interpreter

The Challenge:

A major global consulting firm faced the threat of AI automation taking over their junior analysts’ core tasks: data aggregation, slide creation, and basic research. They realized that their competitive edge was not in performing these routine tasks, but in their consultants’ ability to synthesize, communicate, and build client trust—all uniquely human skills.

The Collaborative Intelligence Solution:

The firm launched a massive internal upskilling initiative focused on transforming the junior analyst role from “data processor” to “AI interpreter and client strategist.” The training focused heavily on non-technical skills: narrative storytelling (using AI-generated data to craft compelling client stories), ethical deliberation (identifying bias in AI-generated recommendations), and active listening (improving client empathy). AI was positioned not as a replacement, but as an instant, tireless research assistant that handled 80% of the routine work.

The Human-Centered Result:

By investing in human judgment and communication, the firm increased the value of its junior workforce. Consultants spent less time creating slides and more time on high-impact client interactions, leading to stronger relationships and more innovative solutions. This shift proved that the ultimate value-add in a service industry is the human capacity for strategic synthesis and trustworthy communication — skills that thrive when augmented by AI.


Case Study 2: Leading Retail Bank – Embedding AI into Customer Service

The Challenge:

A large retail bank implemented AI chatbots and automated routing systems to handle routine customer inquiries, intending to reduce call center costs. However, customer satisfaction plummeted because complex or emotionally charged issues were being mishandled by the automation. The human agents felt demoralized, fearing redundancy.

The Collaborative Intelligence Solution:

The bank pivoted its strategy, creating a new role: the Augmented Human Agent. The human agents were upskilled in two key areas. First, they received intensive training in emotional regulation and conflict resolution to handle the high-stress, complex calls that the AI flagged and escalated. Second, they were trained in “AI tuning” — learning to review the chatbot’s transcripts, identify common failure points, and provide direct feedback to the AI development team. This turned the agents from passive recipients of technology into active partners in its improvement.

The Human-Centered Result:

This approach restored customer trust. Customers felt valued because their most difficult problems were routed quickly to a highly skilled, emotionally intelligent human. Employee engagement improved because agents felt empowered and recognized as essential collaborators in the bank’s digital transformation. The result was a successful blend: AI handled the volume and efficiency, while highly skilled humans handled the emotion and complexity, achieving both cost savings and higher customer satisfaction.


Conclusion: The Future of Work is Partnership

The AI Era is not about a technological race; it is about a human race to redefine skills, value, and purpose. The most forward-thinking leaders will treat AI deployment as a catalyst for human capital development. This means shifting budget from outdated legacy training programs to investments in judgment, ethics, creativity, and empathy. The future of work is not about the “Man vs. Machine” conflict, but the Man with Machine partnership.

Your competitive advantage tomorrow will be determined by how effectively your people can collaborate with the intelligent systems at their disposal. By focusing your upskilling efforts on the three pillars of Collaborative Intelligence, you ensure that your workforce is not just surviving the AI revolution, but actively leading it—creating a future that is not just efficient, but fundamentally human-centered and more innovative.

Extra Extra: Because innovation is all about change, Braden Kelley’s human-centered change methodology and tools are the best way to plan and execute the changes necessary to support your innovation and transformation efforts — all while literally getting everyone all on the same page for change. Find out more about the methodology and tools, including the book Charting Change by following the link. Be sure and download the TEN FREE TOOLS while you’re here.

Image credit: Pixabay

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AI-Powered Foresight

Predicting Trends and Uncovering New Opportunities

AI-Powered Foresight

GUEST POST from Chateau G Pato

In a world of accelerating change, the ability to see around corners is no longer a luxury; it’s a strategic imperative. For decades, organizations have relied on traditional market research, analyst reports, and expert intuition to predict the future. While these methods provide a solid view of the present and the immediate horizon, they often struggle to detect the faint, yet potent, signals of a more distant future. As a human-centered change and innovation thought leader, I believe that **Artificial Intelligence is the most powerful new tool for foresight**. AI is not here to replace human intuition, but to act as a powerful extension of it, allowing us to process vast amounts of data and uncover patterns that are invisible to the human eye. The future of innovation isn’t about predicting what’s next; it’s about systematically sensing and shaping what’s possible. AI is the engine that makes this possible.

The human brain is a marvel of pattern recognition, but it is limited by its own biases, a finite amount of processing power, and the sheer volume of information available today. AI, however, thrives in this chaos. It can ingest and analyze billions of data points—from consumer sentiment on social media, to patent filings, to macroeconomic indicators—in a fraction of the time. It can identify subtle correlations and weak signals that, when combined, point to a major market shift years before it becomes a mainstream trend. By leveraging AI for foresight, we can move from a reactive position to a proactive one, turning our organizations from followers into first-movers.

The AI Foresight Blueprint

Leveraging AI for foresight isn’t a one-and-done task; it’s a continuous, dynamic process. Here’s a blueprint for how organizations can implement it:

  • Data-Driven Horizon Scanning: Use AI to continuously monitor a wide range of data sources, from academic papers and startup funding rounds to online forums and cultural movements. An AI can flag anomalies and emerging clusters of activity that fall outside of your industry’s current focus.
  • Pattern Recognition & Trend Identification: AI models can connect seemingly unrelated data points to identify nascent trends. For example, an AI might link a rise in plant-based food searches to an increase in sustainable packaging patents and a surge in home gardening interest, pointing to a larger “Conscious Consumer” trend.
  • Scenario Generation: Once a trend is identified, an AI can help generate multiple future scenarios. By varying key variables—e.g., “What if the trend accelerates rapidly?” or “What if a major competitor enters the market?”—an AI can help teams visualize and prepare for a range of possible futures.
  • Opportunity Mapping: AI can go beyond trend prediction to identify specific market opportunities. It can analyze the intersection of an emerging trend with a known customer pain point, generating a list of potential product or service concepts that address an unmet need.

“AI for foresight isn’t about getting a crystal ball; it’s about building a powerful telescope to see what’s on the horizon and a microscope to see what’s hidden in the data.”


Case Study 1: Stitch Fix – Algorithmic Personal Styling

The Challenge:

In the crowded and highly subjective world of fashion retail, predicting what a single customer will want to wear—let alone an entire market segment—is a monumental challenge. Traditional methods relied on seasonal buying patterns and the intuition of human stylists. This often led to excess inventory and a high rate of returns.

The AI-Powered Foresight Response:

Stitch Fix, the online personal styling service, built its entire business model on AI-powered foresight. The company’s core innovation was not in fashion, but in its algorithm. The AI ingests data from every single customer interaction—what they kept, what they returned, their style feedback, and even their Pinterest boards. This data is then cross-referenced with a vast inventory and emerging fashion trends. The AI can then:

  • Predict Individual Preference: The algorithm learns each customer’s taste over time, predicting with high accuracy which items they will like. This is a form of micro-foresight.
  • Uncover Macro-Trends: By analyzing thousands of data points across its customer base, the AI can detect emerging fashion trends long before they hit the mainstream. For example, it might notice a subtle shift in the popularity of a certain color, fabric, or cut among its early adopters.

The Result:

Stitch Fix’s AI-driven foresight has allowed them to operate with a level of efficiency and personalization that is nearly impossible for traditional retailers to replicate. By predicting consumer demand, they can optimize their inventory, reduce waste, and provide a highly-tailored customer experience. The AI doesn’t just help them sell clothes; it gives them a real-time, data-backed view of future consumer behavior, making them a leader in a fast-moving and unpredictable industry.


Case Study 2: Netflix – The Algorithm That Sees the Future of Entertainment

The Challenge:

In the early days of streaming, content production was a highly risky and expensive gamble. Studios would greenlight shows based on the intuition of executives, focus group data, and the past success of a director or actor. This process was slow and often led to costly failures.

The AI-Powered Foresight Response:

Netflix, a pioneer of AI-powered foresight, revolutionized this model. They used their massive trove of user data—what people watched, when they watched it, what they re-watched, and what they skipped—to predict not just what their customers wanted to watch, but what kind of content would be successful to produce. When they decided to create their first original series, House of Cards, they didn’t do so on a hunch. Their AI analyzed that a significant segment of their audience had a high affinity for the original British series, enjoyed films starring Kevin Spacey, and had a preference for political thrillers directed by David Fincher. The AI identified the convergence of these three seemingly unrelated data points as a major opportunity.

  • Predictive Content Creation: The algorithm predicted that a show with these specific attributes would have a high probability of success, a hypothesis that was proven correct.
  • Cross-Genre Insight: The AI’s ability to see patterns across genres and user demographics allowed Netflix to move beyond traditional content silos and identify new, commercially viable niches.

The Result:

Netflix’s success with House of Cards was a watershed moment that proved the power of AI-powered foresight. By using data to inform its creative decisions, Netflix was able to move from a content distributor to a powerful content creator. The company now uses AI to inform everything from production budgets to marketing campaigns, transforming the entire entertainment industry and proving that a data-driven approach to creativity is not only possible but incredibly profitable. Their foresight wasn’t a lucky guess; it was a systematic, AI-powered process.


Conclusion: The Augmented Innovator

The era of “gut-feel” innovation is drawing to a close. The most successful organizations of the future will be those that have embraced a new model of augmented foresight, where human intuition and AI’s analytical power work in harmony. AI can provide the objective, data-backed foundation for our predictions, but it is up to us, as human leaders, to provide the empathy, creativity, and ethical judgment to turn those predictions into a better future.

AI is not here to tell you what to do; it’s here to show you what’s possible. Our role is to ask the right questions, to lead with a strong sense of purpose, and to have the courage to act on the opportunities that AI uncovers. By training our teams to listen to the whispers in the data and to trust in this new collaborative process, we can move from simply reacting to the future to actively creating it, one powerful insight at a time.

Extra Extra: Because innovation is all about change, Braden Kelley’s human-centered change methodology and tools are the best way to plan and execute the changes necessary to support your innovation and transformation efforts — all while literally getting everyone all on the same page for change. Find out more about the methodology and tools, including the book Charting Change by following the link. Be sure and download the TEN FREE TOOLS while you’re here.

Image credit: Microsoft CoPilot

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How AI is Reshaping Brainstorming

The Future of Ideation

How AI is Reshaping Brainstorming

GUEST POST from Chateau G Pato

For decades, the classic brainstorming session has been the centerpiece of innovation. A whiteboard, a room full of energetic people, and a flow of ideas, from the brilliant to the absurd. The goal was simple: quantity over quality, and to build on each other’s thoughts. However, as a human-centered change and innovation thought leader, I’ve come to believe that this traditional model, while valuable, is fundamentally limited. It’s often hindered by groupthink, a fear of judgment, and the cognitive biases of the participants. Enter Artificial Intelligence. AI is not here to replace human ideation, but to act as the ultimate co-pilot, fundamentally reshaping brainstorming by making it more data-driven, more diverse, and more powerful than ever before. The future of ideation is not human or AI; it’s human-plus-AI.

Generative AI, in particular, has a unique ability to break us out of our mental ruts. It can process vast amounts of data—market trends, scientific research, customer feedback, and design patterns—and instantly synthesize them into novel combinations that a human team might never consider. It can challenge our assumptions, expose our blind spots, and provide a constant, unbiased source of inspiration. By offloading the “heavy lifting” of data synthesis and initial idea generation to an AI, human teams are freed up to focus on what they do best: empathy, intuition, ethical consideration, and the strategic refinement of an idea. This isn’t just a new tool; it’s a new paradigm for creative collaboration.

The AI-Powered Ideation Blueprint

Here’s how AI can revolutionize the traditional brainstorming session, transforming it into a dynamic, data-rich experience:

  • Pre-Brainstorming Research & Synthesis: Before the team even enters the room, an AI can be tasked with a prompt: “Analyze the top customer complaints for Product X, cross-reference them with emerging technologies in the field, and generate 50 potential solutions.” This provides a rich, data-backed foundation for the session, eliminating the “blank page” syndrome.
  • Bias-Free Idea Generation: AI doesn’t have a boss to impress or a fear of sounding foolish. It can generate a wide range of ideas, including those that are counterintuitive or seem to come from left field. This helps to overcome groupthink and encourages more divergent thinking from the human participants.
  • Real-Time Augmentation: During a live session, an AI can act as an instant research assistant. A team member might suggest an idea, and a quick query to the AI can provide immediate data on its feasibility, market precedents, or potential risks. This allows for a more informed and efficient discussion.
  • Automated Idea Clustering & Analysis: After the session, an AI can quickly analyze all the generated ideas, clustering them by theme, identifying unique concepts, and even flagging potential synergies that humans might have missed. This saves countless hours of manual post-it note organization and analysis.
  • Prototyping & Visualization: With the right tools, a team can go from a text prompt idea to a basic visual prototype in minutes. An AI can generate mockups, logos, or even simple user interfaces, making abstract ideas tangible and easy to evaluate.

“AI isn’t the brain in the room; it’s the nervous system, connecting every thought to a universe of data and possibility.”


Case Study 1: Adobe’s Sensei & The Future of Creative Ideation

The Challenge:

Creative professionals—designers, marketers, photographers—often face creative blocks or repetitive tasks that slow down their ideation process. Sifting through stock photos, creating design variations, or ensuring brand consistency for thousands of assets can be a time-consuming and manual process, leaving less time for truly creative, breakthrough thinking.

The AI-Powered Solution:

Adobe, a leader in creative software, developed Adobe Sensei, an AI and machine learning framework integrated into its Creative Cloud applications. Sensei is not a tool for generating an entire masterpiece; rather, it’s a co-pilot for ideation and creative execution. For example, a designer can provide a few images and a text prompt to Sensei, and it can generate dozens of logo variations, color palettes, or photo compositions in seconds. In another example, its content-aware fill can instantly remove an object from a photo and seamlessly fill in the background, a task that used to take hours of manual work.

  • Accelerated Exploration: Sensei’s generative capabilities allow designers to explore a vast “idea space” much faster than they could on their own, finding new and unexpected starting points.
  • Automation of Repetitive Tasks: By handling the tedious, low-creativity tasks, Sensei frees up the human designer to focus on the higher-level strategic and aesthetic decisions.
  • Enhanced Personalization: The AI can analyze a user’s style and past work to provide more personalized and relevant suggestions, making the collaboration feel seamless and intuitive.

The Result:

Adobe’s integration of AI hasn’t replaced creative jobs; it has transformed them. By accelerating the ideation and creation process, it has empowered creative professionals to be more prolific, experiment with more ideas, and focus their energy on the truly unique and human-centric aspects of their work. The AI becomes a silent, tireless brainstorming partner, pushing creative teams beyond their comfort zones and into new territories of possibility.


Case Study 2: Generative AI in Drug Discovery (Google’s DeepMind & Isomorphic Labs)

The Challenge:

The ideation process in drug discovery is one of the most complex and time-consuming in the world. Identifying potential drug candidates—novel molecular structures that can bind to a specific protein—is a task that traditionally requires years of laboratory experimentation and millions of dollars. The number of possible molecular combinations is astronomically large, making it impossible for human scientists to explore more than a tiny fraction.

The AI-Powered Solution:

Google’s DeepMind, through its groundbreaking AlphaFold AI model, has fundamentally changed the ideation phase of drug discovery. AlphaFold can accurately predict the 3D structure of proteins, a problem that had stumped scientists for decades. Building on this, Google launched Isomorphic Labs, a company that uses AI to accelerate drug discovery. Their models can now perform “in-silico” (computer-based) ideation, generating and testing millions of potential molecular structures to find those most likely to bind with a target protein.

  • Exponential Ideation: The AI can explore a chemical idea space that is orders of magnitude larger than what a human team or even a traditional lab could ever hope to.
  • Rapid Validation: The AI can predict the viability of a molecule almost instantly, saving years of physical lab work on dead-end ideas.
  • New Hypotheses: The AI can propose novel molecular structures and design principles that are outside the conventional thinking of human chemists, leading to breakthrough hypotheses.

The Result:

By using AI for the ideation phase of drug discovery, companies are drastically reducing the time and cost it takes to find promising drug candidates. The human scientist is not replaced; they are empowered. They can now focus on the higher-level strategy, the ethical implications, and the final verification of a drug, while the AI handles the tireless and rapid-fire brainstorming of molecular possibilities. This is a perfect example of how AI can move an entire industry from incremental innovation to truly transformative, world-changing breakthroughs.


Conclusion: The Human-AI Innovation Symbiosis

The future of ideation is a collaboration, a symbiosis between human creativity and artificial intelligence. The most innovative organizations will be those that view AI not as a threat to human ingenuity, but as a powerful amplifier of it. By leveraging AI to handle the data crunching, the pattern recognition, and the initial idea generation, we free our teams to focus on what truly matters: asking the right questions, applying empathy to solve human problems, and making the final strategic and ethical decisions.

As leaders, our challenge is to move beyond the fear of automation and embrace the promise of augmentation. It’s time to build a new kind of brainstorming room—one with a whiteboard, a team of passionate innovators, and a smart, tireless AI co-pilot ready to turn our greatest challenges into an infinite number of possibilities. The era of the augmented innovator has arrived, and the future of great ideas is here.

Extra Extra: Because innovation is all about change, Braden Kelley’s human-centered change methodology and tools are the best way to plan and execute the changes necessary to support your innovation and transformation efforts — all while literally getting everyone all on the same page for change. Find out more about the methodology and tools, including the book Charting Change by following the link. Be sure and download the TEN FREE TOOLS while you’re here.

Image credit: Pixabay

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