Category Archives: Futurology

Five Secrets to Using Social Analysis in Futurology

Five Secrets to Using Social Analysis in Futurology

GUEST POST from Art Inteligencia

Futurology is the study of the future, and it is a fascinating and ever-evolving field. In recent years, the rise of social media has provided a valuable source of insight into the future, and social analysis is now a major component of futurology. To make the most of this powerful tool, here are five secrets to using social analysis in futurology.

1. Take Advantage of Big Data

Big data is a powerful tool for futurologists, and it’s becoming increasingly available. By taking advantage of big data sets, futurologists can gain a better understanding of how people are interacting with each other, and how they may be influenced by emerging trends and technologies.

2. Look for Patterns

Patterns can reveal a lot about the future, so it’s important to look for patterns in social media data. By looking for patterns, futurologists can gain insights into how people are responding to new technologies, and how those technologies are likely to evolve in the future.

3. Pay Attention to Influencers

Influencers can provide valuable insights into the future, so it’s important to pay attention to those who are shaping the conversation. By tracking influencers, futurologists can gain a better understanding of how people are reacting to new technologies and trends, and how those reactions may shape the future.

4. Analyze Trends

Trends can provide valuable clues about the future, so it’s important to pay attention to emerging trends in social media. By analyzing trends, futurologists can gain a better understanding of how people are responding to new technologies and how those technologies may be used in the future.

5. Track Conversations

Conversations can provide valuable insights into the future, so it’s important to pay attention to conversations on social media. By tracking conversations, futurologists can gain a better understanding of how people are reacting to new technologies and trends, and how those reactions may shape the future.

By taking advantage of these five secrets to using social analysis in futurology, futurologists can gain a better understanding of the future and how people are likely to respond to emerging trends and technologies. By staying ahead of the curve, futurologists can provide valuable insights into the future and help shape the direction of society.

Bottom line: Futurology is not fortune telling. Futurists use a scientific approach to create their deliverables, but a methodology and tools like those in FutureHacking™ can empower anyone to engage in futurology themselves.

Image credit: Pixabay

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The 10 Key Components of Future Studies

The 10 Key Components of Future Studies

GUEST POST from Art Inteligencia

Smart organizations make an investment in the pursuit of future studies as part of their innovation activities. This investment is critical to the ongoing success of an organization because the wants and needs of customers change over time along with what’s possible from a technological, economical, and societal perspective. But many don’t know what future studies or futurology are or choose to focus on short-term profits over long-term viability and success. If you’re not clear on what future studies is, here are ten key components of the science of studying the future:

  1. Scenario Planning: This involves looking at different possible outcomes and understanding the implications of each.
  2. Trend Analysis: This involves looking at the trends in various areas such as politics, technology, and the environment.
  3. Forecasting: This uses models, data, and historical information to predict future events.
  4. Impact Assessment: This involves understanding the potential impact of changes in the environment, society and technology.
  5. System Dynamics: This involves understanding the relationships between different elements of a system and how they might interact and evolve in the future.
  6. Risk Analysis: This involves assessing the potential risks associated with different scenarios.
  7. Trend Monitoring: This involves continuously monitoring trends and changes in the environment, society, and technology.
  8. Technology Assessment: This involves understanding the implications of new technologies and how they might shape the future.
  9. Social Analysis: This involves understanding the social, political, and economic forces that shape our world.
  10. Futures Research: This involves researching and exploring potential futures to better prepare for them.

Breaking down the somewhat ephemeral topic of future studies into these subcomponents can make it not only more tangible, but also more feasible to fund and execute these activities in support of your innovation activities and the continuous renewal of both the relevance and resonance of your organization with its customers.

Bottom line: Futurology is not fortune telling. Futurists use a scientific approach to create their deliverables, but a methodology and tools like those in FutureHacking™ can empower anyone to engage in futurology themselves.

Image credit: Pexels

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Five Keys to Better Future Prediction

Five Keys to Better Future Prediction

GUEST POST from Art Inteligencia

With the dawn of 2023 our minds naturally gravitate towards wondering what the future holds and possibly even trying to predict the future.

But, predicting the future is an incredibly difficult task. It requires a combination of skills to make accurate predictions, including the ability to analyze trends, identify patterns, and think strategically. In this article, we’ll discuss the five key skills needed to accurately predict the future.

1. Trend Analysis: To make accurate predictions, you’ll need to be able to analyze trends and identify patterns. Knowing which trends are likely to continue, and which may be waning, is essential in predicting the future. Paying attention to changes in the market, technology, and other areas can help you identify patterns that could be important in predicting the future.

2. Strategic Thinking: Strategic thinking is an important skill for predicting the future. Being able to anticipate the consequences of certain events and decisions can be invaluable in predicting the future. Strategic thinkers are able to see how changes can affect the long-term, and can make informed decisions based on their analysis.

3. Data Analysis: Being able to analyze data is also essential for predicting the future. Data analysis allows you to identify patterns, trends, and correlations that provide insight into how the future could unfold. Knowing how to interpret data is key for making accurate predictions about the future.

4. Forecasting: Forecasting involves predicting future events and trends based on past data. This requires the ability to identify patterns and trends and use them to predict the future. Being able to accurately forecast future events and trends is essential for making predictions about the future.

5. Problem-Solving: Being able to solve problems is also essential for predicting the future. In order to make accurate predictions, you’ll need to be able to identify potential problems and develop solutions. This requires the ability to think critically and creatively.

Overall, predicting the future requires a combination of skills. Being able to analyze trends, identify patterns, think strategically, interpret data, forecast, and solve problems are all essential skills for making accurate predictions about the future. With practice and dedication, anyone can develop these skills and become better at predicting the future.

Bottom line: Futurology is not fortune telling. Futurists use a scientific approach to create their deliverables, but a methodology and tools like those in FutureHacking™ can empower anyone to engage in futurology themselves.

Image credit: Pixabay

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Top 5 Tech Trends Artificial Intelligence is Monitoring

Top 5 Tech Trends Artificial Intelligence is Monitoring

GUEST POST from Art Inteligencia

Artificial Intelligence is constantly scanning the Internet to identify the technology trends that are the most interesting and potentially the most impactful. At present, according to artificial intelligence, the Top Five Technology Trends being tracked for futurology are:

1. Artificial Intelligence (AI): Artificial Intelligence is the development of computer systems that can perform tasks typically requiring human intelligence, such as visual perception, speech recognition, decision-making, and translation between languages. AI research is highly technical and specialized, and is deeply divided into subfields that often fail to communicate with each other.

2. Autonomous Vehicles: Autonomous vehicles are vehicles that can navigate without human input, relying instead on sensors, GPS, and computer technology to determine their location and trajectory. Autonomous vehicles are used in a variety of applications, from consumer transportation to military drones.

3. Virtual Reality (VR): Virtual reality is a computer-generated simulation of a three-dimensional environment that can be interacted with in a seemingly real or physical way by a person using special electronic equipment. VR uses technologies such as gesture control and stereoscopic displays to create immersive experiences for the user.

4. Augmented Reality (AR): Augmented reality is a technology that superimposes computer-generated content onto the real world to enhance or supplement a user’s physical experience. AR is used in a variety of contexts, from gaming to industrial design.

5. Internet of Things (IoT): The Internet of Things is the network of physical devices, vehicles, home appliances, and other items embedded with electronics, software, sensors, and connectivity that enable these objects to connect and exchange data. The IoT has the potential to revolutionize many aspects of our lives, from manufacturing and transportation to healthcare and energy management.

It’s obviously amusing that artificial intelligence considers artificial intelligence to be the number one technology trend at present in its futurology work. I would personally rank it number one, but I would rank autonomous vehicles and virtual reality lower. I would put augmented reality and IoT number two and number three respectively, but what do I know …

Image credit: Pixabay

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What are Strategic and Market Foresight?

What are Strategic and Market Foresight?

by Braden Kelley

In my previous article What’s Next – Through the Looking Glass we explored the notion that time is not linear and this is a key part of the FutureHacking™ mindset.

To paraphrase, we get to the future not in a straight line, but by hopping from lily pad to lily pad and as we do so our landings create ripples outward in all directions and our jump direction choices and the amplitude of the ripples at each waypoint determines the shape of our path choice and our view on the potential future. And ultimately futurology and futurism are the disciplines of exploring potential, possible and preferable futures.

Only from a continuous commitment to this exploration can any organization have any chance of ongoing success. But trying to make sense of the future and to find productive ways to shape it – feels incredibly dauting to most people.

To simplify this complexity, I created the FutureHacking™ methodology and tools to enable us average humans to become our own futurist.

“FutureHacking™ is the art and science of getting to the future first.”

This is our goal. To get better at finding the best possible path and the best ripples to amplify. Doing so optimizes our distance and chosen directions so that we arrive at our preferred future. The FutureHacking™ methodology and tools make this not only possible, but accessible, so that we’ll put in the work – and reap the benefits!

This article is another in a series designed to make foresight and futurology accessible to the average business professional. Below we will look at what Strategic and Market Foresight are and how they drive ongoing business success. First some definitions:

  • Strategic Foresight is about combining methods of futures work with those of strategic management. It is about understanding upcoming external changes in relation to internal capabilities and drivers.
  • Market Foresight is about the consideration of possible and probable futures in the organization’s relevant business environment, and about identifying new opportunities in that space.
  • Source: Aalto University

Strategic Foresight and Market Foresight are two tools in our toolbox as we sharpen our focus on the potential and possible futures as we work to define a preferable future and a path to creating it.

Market Foresight gives us permission to explore how the market we compete in is likely to change as we move forward. This includes looking at how customers may change, how their consumption of existing products and services might change, and how changing customer wants and needs will create the potential for new products, and services, and even markets. Economics, demographics, trends and other factors all have a factor to play here, and we need methods for exploring the impact of each.

Strategic Foresight gives us permission to make shifts in strategy. The magic happens when we productively look both internally and externally to identify the most important changes that we can influence AND that we would monitor. The better we can understand the external changes most likely to occur (or that we want to occur), the more focus we can bring to identifying the internal capabilities that we will need to strengthen and the capabilities that we will need to build OR to buy & integrate.

The most successful organizations do a good job of matching their timeline for strategic and capability changes to the pace of market changes that are occurring. And while not explicitly mentioned, the pacing and branching of technology is a big consideration in both Strategic Foresight and Market Foresight.

Good Market Foresight will give you a better view to where the lily pads will be, and good Strategic Foresight (and investments) will help strengthen your jumping legs and propel you through a more optimal path – increasing your chances of getting to the future first!

Public resources for those that want to learn more about Strategic Foresight:

To learn more about Market Foresight, increase your knowledge of:

  • Market Research methods
  • Trendwatching/Trendhunting
  • Innovation frameworks

FutureHacking™ is Within Our Grasp

I’ve created a collection of 20+ FutureHacking™ tools to help you be your own futurist.

These tools will be available to license soon, and I’ll be holding virtual, and possibly in-person, workshops to explain how to use these simple tools to identify a range of potential futures, to select a preferred future, and activities to help influence its realization.

I think you’ll really like them, but in the meantime, I invite you to share your thoughts on how you look at and plan for the future in the comments below.

Finally, make sure you’re subscribed to our newsletter to get our weekly collection of articles, along with updates on the forthcoming FutureHacking™ set of tools.

Keep innovating!


Accelerate your change and transformation success

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What’s Next – Through the Looking Glass

What's Next - Through the Looking Glass

by Braden Kelley

Humanity is obsessed with the future, and we always want to know what’s next for us.

Sometimes we want to know the future so badly that we stress ourselves out about imagined futures that won’t ever come to pass instead of dealing with what is right in front of us.

Time is Not Linear

Most people think of time in a linear fashion, but this is the wrong way of thinking about it.

It is more helpful instead to think of time as a wave (or as a pulse) emanating from a central point in an outward direction, representing all of the possible futures. Then as the next point in one of those possible futures becomes fixed, then another wave emanates from this new point representing all of the new possible futures. The math of what the future MIGHT look like gets really big, really fast – as you might imagine.

This is what makes predicting the future so difficult.

The number of inputs influencing the next step in your future journey is massive, and the number of potential next steps that are outputs of your next best action is equally massive.

So, while it is important to plan for the future and to develop a point of view on the future you would like to be the result of your actions, it is still just a guess. Making it more important and impactful to look at the near future more often than not.

Recently I came across a video from CableLabs that looks at one potential near future:

We Are Already Living in a Virtual Reality

The first choice the creators faced was augmented reality versus virtual reality, and you’ll see that they chose to highlight augmented reality instead of virtual reality. I think this is the right choice as many people would say we are living in a virtual reality already.

Our eyes and other sensory organs do their best to provide inputs to our brain about the physical reality we live in, but the information is often inaccurate and incomplete. Our brain tries to fill in the gaps, but there is some much we don’t understand about how the reality we live in operates.

The world we live in is already amazing, and there is more value in augmenting our experience of the reality we live within, than there is escaping into another reality that is more clumsy, awkward and lower fidelity than our experience of the virtual reality we live in now.

Our world is changing so fast that it is important for organizations and individuals to not just plan for the next month or the next quarter, but to plan for what we would like the near future to look like and think about the ways in which we would like to, and realistically can, influence it.

FutureHacking™ is Within Our Grasp

But the concepts of futurology and the role of the futurist seem pretty nebulous at best. It is because of this that I’ve begun creating a collection of FutureHacking™ tools to help you.

These tools will be available to license soon, and I’ll be holding virtual, and possibly in-person, workshops to explain how to use these simple tools to identify a range of potential futures, to select a preferred future, and activities to help influence its realization.

I think you’ll really like them, but in the meantime, I invite you to check out the embedded YouTube video and to share your thoughts on how you look at and plan for the future in the comments below.

Finally, make sure you’re subscribed to our newsletter to get our weekly collection of articles, along with updates on the forthcoming FutureHacking™ set of tools.

Keep innovating!

To read more about what scientists say we get wrong about time, check out this BBC article

Image Credit: Pixabay

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The Role of Strategic Foresight in Mapping the Future

The Role of Strategic Foresight in Mapping the Future

GUEST POST from Chateau G Pato

In an increasingly dynamic and uncertain world, businesses and organizations need to cultivate a proactive mindset towards shaping their future. The advent of strategic foresight has provided a powerful framework for identifying potential future scenarios and making informed decisions. At the heart of strategic foresight lies the principle of human-centered design, which involves placing the needs, desires, and values of individuals at the forefront of decision-making processes. This article explores the critical role of strategic foresight in mapping the future by leveraging human-centered design principles, supported by two case studies to illustrate its efficacy.

Case Study 1: The Evolution of Transportation

The transportation industry has witnessed profound changes due to emerging technologies and evolving consumer expectations. In this case study, we will explore how strategic foresight enabled a major automobile manufacturer to anticipate future mobility trends and innovate accordingly.

Identifying Emerging Trends: By leveraging strategic foresight methods, the automobile manufacturer sought to understand the drivers of change influencing transportation, such as urbanization, environmental concerns, and technological advancements. By analyzing a wide range of inputs, including consumer insights and trend analysis, they identified several potential future scenarios.

Developing Future Scenarios: Through envisioning different future states, the automobile manufacturer created scenarios that covered a spectrum of possibilities. These scenarios incorporated various socio-economic, technological, and environmental factors. Each scenario was designed to challenge traditional assumptions and foster innovative thinking.

Designing Human-Centered Solutions: Integrating human-centered design principles, the manufacturer engaged with a diverse set of stakeholders. They conducted user research, including ethnographic studies, to understand the changing needs and aspirations of people in the context of future transportation scenarios. These insights informed the development of mobility solutions that aligned with the emerging societal demands.

Outcome: The strategic foresight exercise allowed the automobile manufacturer to pivot towards a more decentralized, sustainable, and user-centric approach. By integrating electric vehicles, shared mobility solutions, and autonomous driving capabilities, they successfully positioned themselves as a leader in this new era of transportation.

Case Study 2: Enhancing Healthcare Delivery

The healthcare sector faces numerous challenges, ranging from rising costs to an aging population. This case study demonstrates how a hospital system utilized strategic foresight to transform its care delivery model and improve patient outcomes.

Anticipating Future Needs: The hospital system employed strategic foresight methodologies to understand the emerging needs and potential disruptors in the healthcare landscape. This involved analyzing demographic trends, advances in medical technology, and evolving patient preferences.

Co-Creating Future Scenarios: Through collaborative workshops and engagements with healthcare professionals, patients, and experts, the hospital system developed a set of future scenarios. These scenarios explored different facets of healthcare, including preventive care, personalized medicine, and digital health solutions. By embracing divergent perspectives, the system gained critical insights into the possible trajectories of healthcare delivery.

Prototyping and Iterating Solutions: Recognizing the value of iterative design, the hospital system prototyped various interventions aligned with each scenario. These prototypes included novel care models, patient engagement platforms, and technology-enabled solutions. Regular feedback loops and user testing helped refine and improve these solutions.

Impact: By embedding strategic foresight techniques in their organizational culture, the hospital system experienced a paradigm shift in healthcare delivery. They embraced preventative care strategies, introduced patient-centered services, and harnessed digital solutions to enhance the overall patient experience and outcomes. Furthermore, their foresight-led approach enabled them to adapt swiftly to subsequent disruptions, including the COVID-19 pandemic.

Conclusion

Strategic foresight, when integrated with human-centered design principles, enables organizations to navigate the complexities of an uncertain future and create meaningful impact. By conducting rigorous research, envisioning future scenarios, and designing for human needs, businesses and institutions can strategically position themselves to capitalize on emerging opportunities. The case studies presented highlight the power of strategic foresight as a transformative framework, unlocking new possibilities and shaping a better future for individuals and society at large.

SPECIAL BONUS: The very best change planners use a visual, collaborative approach to create their deliverables. A methodology and tools like those in Change Planning Toolkit™ can empower anyone to become great change planners themselves.

Image credit: Pixabay

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The Ethics of Futurology: Exploring Its Impact on Society

The Ethics of Futurology: Exploring Its Impact on Society

GUEST POST from Art Inteligencia

The term “futurology” has become increasingly associated with the exploration of the potential social, economic, and technological effects of the future. It is a field of study that requires a great deal of ethical consideration, due to its potential to shape the lives of individuals and entire societies. In this article, we will explore the ethical implications of futurology and its impact on society.

The most obvious ethical concern of futurology is that it can be used to shape the future in ways that may not be beneficial to society as a whole. For example, futurists have long been concerned with the potential impacts of automation and artificial intelligence on the workforce. Such technology could lead to massive job losses, which would have a devastating effect on the economy and lead to a rise in inequality. As a result, it is important to consider the implications of such technologies before they are implemented.

Furthermore, futurology can be used to create a vision of the future that may be unattainable or unrealistic. Such visions can shape public opinion and, if taken too far, can lead to disillusionment and disappointment. It is therefore important to consider the implications of any predictions made and to ensure that they are based on real-world data and evidence.

In addition to the potential ethical concerns, futurology can also have positive impacts on society. By predicting potential social, economic, and technological trends, futurists can help governments and businesses prepare for the future. This can help to create more informed and efficient decision-making, leading to better outcomes for all.

Despite the potential benefits of futurology, it is important to consider the ethical implications of its use. It is essential that any predictions made are based on evidence and do not lead to unrealistic expectations or disillusionment. It is also important to consider the potential impacts of any new technologies and to ensure that they are implemented responsibly. By doing so, futurology can help to shape a better future for all.

Bottom line: Futurology is not fortune telling. Futurists use a scientific approach to create their deliverables, but a methodology and tools like those in FutureHacking™ can empower anyone to engage in futurology themselves.

Image credit: Pixabay

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Top 5 Future Studies Programs

Top 5 Future Studies Programs

GUEST POST from Art Inteligencia

In the ever-changing world of technology, futurists are needed more than ever. With the help of futurists, companies, governments, and organizations can plan for the future and make better decisions about how to adapt to a rapidly changing world. With the increasing demand for futurists, many universities have begun to offer undergraduate degrees in futurology. Here are the top five undergraduate futurology programs:

1. University of Oxford

The University of Oxford offers an undergraduate Master of Science in Futures Studies, which focuses on the study of complex systems, the analysis of dynamic change, and the development of long-term strategies. This program includes courses such as “Futures Thinking and Practice”, “Futures and the Environment” and “Futures and Society”.

2. University of Sussex

The University of Sussex offers an undergraduate degree in Futures Studies. This program focuses on the study of trends and events in the world, and how to anticipate and prepare for these changes. Courses in this program include “Futures Thinking”, “Theories and Techniques of Futures Studies”, and “Futures Analysis and Practice”.

3. University of Calgary

The University of Calgary offers an undergraduate Major in Futures Studies. This program focuses on the study of global and regional issues, and how to anticipate and prepare for them. Courses in this program include “Global Futures”, “Risk and Resilience”, and “Futures Thinking and Planning”.

4. University of Toronto

The University of Toronto offers an undergraduate Minor in Futures Studies. This program focuses on the study of trends and events in the world, and how to anticipate and prepare for them. Courses in this program include “Futures Thinking”, “Futures Analysis” and “Futures and Society”.

5. University of Washington

The University of Washington offers an undergraduate Minor in Futurism. This program focuses on the study of technological, social and environmental change, and how to anticipate and prepare for these changes. Courses in this program include “Futures Thinking and Practice”, “Futures and the Environment”, and “Futures and Society”.

These five universities offer excellent undergraduate programs in futurology. With their help, students can gain the skills and knowledge to become successful futurists and help shape the future.

I’m sure I missed some great future studies educational programs out there. Which ones did I miss?
(add them in the comments)

Bottom line: Futurology is not fortune telling. Futurists use a scientific approach to create their deliverables, but a methodology and tools like those in FutureHacking™ can empower anyone to engage in futurology themselves.

Image credit: Pixabay

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Five Key Futurology Terms

What is Futurology?

GUEST POST from Art Inteligencia

Futurology is the study of predicting future trends and developments based on current and past data. As technology advances and our world continues to evolve, futurists seek to understand how we can use the present to shape our future. In this article, we will explore five key futurology terms and their implications.

1. Autonomous Technology

Autonomous technology refers to systems that can operate independently of human control. Autonomous vehicles, such as driverless cars and drones, are examples of this type of technology. Autonomous technology is believed to have the potential to revolutionize transportation, manufacturing, and many other industries.

2. Cybernetics

Cybernetics is the study of communication and control systems in both natural and artificial systems. Cybernetics looks at how information is exchanged and processed between systems, and how it can be used to control them. Cybernetic systems are used in robotics, artificial intelligence, and other areas of technology.

3. Posthumanism

Posthumanism is a philosophical approach to the study of the future of humanity. It looks at how humans might evolve as technology advances and how our relationship to technology will shape our future. Posthumanism also examines the ethical implications of emerging technologies, such as artificial intelligence.

4. Singularity

Singularity refers to a hypothetical point in the future when technological advancement reaches a point of exponential growth. This point is believed to be a turning point in human history, with the potential to completely transform society.

5. Technological Determinism

Technological determinism is the idea that technology determines the direction of human progress. It looks at how technology shapes our values, beliefs, and behavior, and how it can be used to create a better future. Technological determinism is a key concept in futurology, as it helps us to understand how technology can be used to shape our future.

Futurology is an ever-evolving field, and these five terms are just a small sample of the concepts that are being explored. As technology continues to evolve, so too will our understanding of the future and our ability to shape it.

Bottom line: Futurology is not fortune telling. Futurists use a scientific approach to create their deliverables, but a methodology and tools like those in FutureHacking™ can empower anyone to engage in futurology themselves.

Image credit: Pexels

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