How AI is Reshaping Brainstorming

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The Future of Ideation

How AI is Reshaping Brainstorming

GUEST POST from Chateau G Pato

For decades, the classic brainstorming session has been the centerpiece of innovation. A whiteboard, a room full of energetic people, and a flow of ideas, from the brilliant to the absurd. The goal was simple: quantity over quality, and to build on each other’s thoughts. However, as a human-centered change and innovation thought leader, I’ve come to believe that this traditional model, while valuable, is fundamentally limited. It’s often hindered by groupthink, a fear of judgment, and the cognitive biases of the participants. Enter Artificial Intelligence. AI is not here to replace human ideation, but to act as the ultimate co-pilot, fundamentally reshaping brainstorming by making it more data-driven, more diverse, and more powerful than ever before. The future of ideation is not human or AI; it’s human-plus-AI.

Generative AI, in particular, has a unique ability to break us out of our mental ruts. It can process vast amounts of data—market trends, scientific research, customer feedback, and design patterns—and instantly synthesize them into novel combinations that a human team might never consider. It can challenge our assumptions, expose our blind spots, and provide a constant, unbiased source of inspiration. By offloading the “heavy lifting” of data synthesis and initial idea generation to an AI, human teams are freed up to focus on what they do best: empathy, intuition, ethical consideration, and the strategic refinement of an idea. This isn’t just a new tool; it’s a new paradigm for creative collaboration.

The AI-Powered Ideation Blueprint

Here’s how AI can revolutionize the traditional brainstorming session, transforming it into a dynamic, data-rich experience:

  • Pre-Brainstorming Research & Synthesis: Before the team even enters the room, an AI can be tasked with a prompt: “Analyze the top customer complaints for Product X, cross-reference them with emerging technologies in the field, and generate 50 potential solutions.” This provides a rich, data-backed foundation for the session, eliminating the “blank page” syndrome.
  • Bias-Free Idea Generation: AI doesn’t have a boss to impress or a fear of sounding foolish. It can generate a wide range of ideas, including those that are counterintuitive or seem to come from left field. This helps to overcome groupthink and encourages more divergent thinking from the human participants.
  • Real-Time Augmentation: During a live session, an AI can act as an instant research assistant. A team member might suggest an idea, and a quick query to the AI can provide immediate data on its feasibility, market precedents, or potential risks. This allows for a more informed and efficient discussion.
  • Automated Idea Clustering & Analysis: After the session, an AI can quickly analyze all the generated ideas, clustering them by theme, identifying unique concepts, and even flagging potential synergies that humans might have missed. This saves countless hours of manual post-it note organization and analysis.
  • Prototyping & Visualization: With the right tools, a team can go from a text prompt idea to a basic visual prototype in minutes. An AI can generate mockups, logos, or even simple user interfaces, making abstract ideas tangible and easy to evaluate.

“AI isn’t the brain in the room; it’s the nervous system, connecting every thought to a universe of data and possibility.”

Case Study 1: Adobe’s Sensei & The Future of Creative Ideation

The Challenge:

Creative professionals—designers, marketers, photographers—often face creative blocks or repetitive tasks that slow down their ideation process. Sifting through stock photos, creating design variations, or ensuring brand consistency for thousands of assets can be a time-consuming and manual process, leaving less time for truly creative, breakthrough thinking.

The AI-Powered Solution:

Adobe, a leader in creative software, developed Adobe Sensei, an AI and machine learning framework integrated into its Creative Cloud applications. Sensei is not a tool for generating an entire masterpiece; rather, it’s a co-pilot for ideation and creative execution. For example, a designer can provide a few images and a text prompt to Sensei, and it can generate dozens of logo variations, color palettes, or photo compositions in seconds. In another example, its content-aware fill can instantly remove an object from a photo and seamlessly fill in the background, a task that used to take hours of manual work.

  • Accelerated Exploration: Sensei’s generative capabilities allow designers to explore a vast “idea space” much faster than they could on their own, finding new and unexpected starting points.
  • Automation of Repetitive Tasks: By handling the tedious, low-creativity tasks, Sensei frees up the human designer to focus on the higher-level strategic and aesthetic decisions.
  • Enhanced Personalization: The AI can analyze a user’s style and past work to provide more personalized and relevant suggestions, making the collaboration feel seamless and intuitive.

The Result:

Adobe’s integration of AI hasn’t replaced creative jobs; it has transformed them. By accelerating the ideation and creation process, it has empowered creative professionals to be more prolific, experiment with more ideas, and focus their energy on the truly unique and human-centric aspects of their work. The AI becomes a silent, tireless brainstorming partner, pushing creative teams beyond their comfort zones and into new territories of possibility.

Case Study 2: Generative AI in Drug Discovery (Google’s DeepMind & Isomorphic Labs)

The Challenge:

The ideation process in drug discovery is one of the most complex and time-consuming in the world. Identifying potential drug candidates—novel molecular structures that can bind to a specific protein—is a task that traditionally requires years of laboratory experimentation and millions of dollars. The number of possible molecular combinations is astronomically large, making it impossible for human scientists to explore more than a tiny fraction.

The AI-Powered Solution:

Google’s DeepMind, through its groundbreaking AlphaFold AI model, has fundamentally changed the ideation phase of drug discovery. AlphaFold can accurately predict the 3D structure of proteins, a problem that had stumped scientists for decades. Building on this, Google launched Isomorphic Labs, a company that uses AI to accelerate drug discovery. Their models can now perform “in-silico” (computer-based) ideation, generating and testing millions of potential molecular structures to find those most likely to bind with a target protein.

  • Exponential Ideation: The AI can explore a chemical idea space that is orders of magnitude larger than what a human team or even a traditional lab could ever hope to.
  • Rapid Validation: The AI can predict the viability of a molecule almost instantly, saving years of physical lab work on dead-end ideas.
  • New Hypotheses: The AI can propose novel molecular structures and design principles that are outside the conventional thinking of human chemists, leading to breakthrough hypotheses.

The Result:

By using AI for the ideation phase of drug discovery, companies are drastically reducing the time and cost it takes to find promising drug candidates. The human scientist is not replaced; they are empowered. They can now focus on the higher-level strategy, the ethical implications, and the final verification of a drug, while the AI handles the tireless and rapid-fire brainstorming of molecular possibilities. This is a perfect example of how AI can move an entire industry from incremental innovation to truly transformative, world-changing breakthroughs.

Conclusion: The Human-AI Innovation Symbiosis

The future of ideation is a collaboration, a symbiosis between human creativity and artificial intelligence. The most innovative organizations will be those that view AI not as a threat to human ingenuity, but as a powerful amplifier of it. By leveraging AI to handle the data crunching, the pattern recognition, and the initial idea generation, we free our teams to focus on what truly matters: asking the right questions, applying empathy to solve human problems, and making the final strategic and ethical decisions.

As leaders, our challenge is to move beyond the fear of automation and embrace the promise of augmentation. It’s time to build a new kind of brainstorming room—one with a whiteboard, a team of passionate innovators, and a smart, tireless AI co-pilot ready to turn our greatest challenges into an infinite number of possibilities. The era of the augmented innovator has arrived, and the future of great ideas is here.

Extra Extra: Because innovation is all about change, Braden Kelley’s human-centered change methodology and tools are the best way to plan and execute the changes necessary to support your innovation and transformation efforts — all while literally getting everyone all on the same page for change. Find out more about the methodology and tools, including the book Charting Change by following the link. Be sure and download the TEN FREE TOOLS while you’re here.

Image credit: Pixabay

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Have the Courage to be Wrong

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Have the Courage to be Wrong

GUEST POST from Mike Shipulski

When you were wrong, the outcome was different than you thought.

When the outcome was different than you thought, there was uncertainty as the work was new.

When there was uncertainty, you knew there would be learning.

When you were afraid of learning, you were afraid to be wrong.

And when you were afraid to be wrong, you were really afraid about what people would think of you.

Would you rather wall off uncertainty to prevent yourself from being wrong or would you rather try something new?

If there’s a difference between what others think of you and what you think of yourself, whose opinion matters more?

Why does it matter what people think of you?

Why do you let their mattering block you from trying new things?

In the end, hold onto the fact that you matter, especially when you have the courage to be wrong.

Image credit: Unsplash

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Why We Resist Change and How to Overcome It

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Deconstructing Fear

Why We Resist Change and How to Overcome It

GUEST POST from Art Inteligencia

In every organization, the journey of change and innovation is met with a familiar, often unspoken, adversary: fear. We label it as resistance, inertia, or a lack of buy-in. We try to overcome it with data, process flowcharts, and top-down mandates. But as a human-centered change and innovation thought leader, I’ve seen that these approaches often fail because they don’t address the root cause. We resist change not because we’re stubborn or lazy, but because we are fundamentally wired to find comfort in the known and to view the unknown with apprehension. Fear is the primary reason we resist change, and until we deconstruct and address it, our best-laid plans for innovation will be met with resistance.

Our brains are built to seek patterns, create routines, and predict outcomes. This evolutionary hardwiring has served us well, allowing us to conserve cognitive energy and navigate our world efficiently. However, in today’s environment of rapid technological and market disruption, this same wiring becomes a liability. Change shatters our routines and forces us into a state of cognitive overload. It introduces risk, uncertainty, and a loss of control. To inspire change, we must stop treating people like cogs in a machine and start treating them like the human beings they are, acknowledging their fears and creating a safe path forward.

The Four Faces of Fear in a Changing World

Resistance to change isn’t a monolith. It manifests in different forms, and understanding these “faces” is the first step to overcoming them:

  • Fear of the Unknown: This is the most fundamental fear. People are not afraid of change itself; they are afraid of what they don’t know about the change. What will my job look like? Will I be able to learn the new system? Will I be relevant? This uncertainty creates anxiety and a powerful desire to cling to the status quo.
  • Fear of Incompetence: Change often requires new skills. An employee who was an expert in the old system suddenly feels like a novice. This can trigger feelings of inadequacy and a fear of being exposed or replaced. It’s a threat to their professional identity and self-worth.
  • Fear of Losing Control: When a change is imposed from the top down, employees can feel powerless. They lose their sense of autonomy and agency, which can breed resentment and passive resistance. This is particularly true when they are not consulted or included in the decision-making process.
  • Fear of Failure and Retribution: Innovation and change require experimentation and a willingness to fail. But in many corporate cultures, failure is punished. Employees are hesitant to embrace new processes or ideas if they believe a mistake could lead to negative consequences for their career or reputation.

“You can’t mandate courage, but you can create an environment where it’s safe to be brave.”

Overcoming Fear with a Human-Centered Approach

To lead people through change, we must replace fear with a sense of safety, purpose, and empowerment. Here’s how to do it:

  1. Increase Transparency and Communication: Proactively and consistently communicate about the “why” and “what” of the change. Address the unknown by providing as much information as possible. Share the vision, the goals, and the benefits of the new path.
  2. Invest in New Skills (Address Incompetence): Provide training, mentorship, and continuous learning opportunities. Show employees that you are invested in their future and that you will give them the tools to succeed. Celebrate the learning process, not just the end result.
  3. Empower and Co-create (Restore Control): Involve employees in the change process. Ask for their input, solicit their ideas, and give them a voice in how the change is implemented. When people have a hand in creating the future, they are far more likely to embrace it.
  4. Create Psychological Safety (Reduce Fear of Failure): Leaders must actively create a culture where it’s safe to experiment and fail. Acknowledge that mistakes will happen. Celebrate the learning that comes from failure and show, through your actions, that risk-taking is a valued part of the process.

Case Study 1: The IBM Mainframe to Cloud Transition

The Challenge:

In the late 2000s, IBM faced a monumental challenge. Its core business was built on decades of expertise in mainframes and legacy IT infrastructure. However, the market was rapidly shifting to cloud computing and open-source solutions. The company needed its engineers—many of whom had spent their entire careers working with legacy systems—to embrace an entirely new technology stack. This was met with significant resistance, a mix of the fear of the unknown and the fear of incompetence.

The Fear-Deconstructing Approach:

Instead of a top-down mandate, IBM’s leadership created a systematic, human-centered approach to reskilling. They invested billions of dollars in a massive educational initiative, partnering with online learning platforms and universities. The key was not just providing courses, but also:

  • A Sense of Security: They made it clear that their existing workforce was their greatest asset and that the goal was to reskill, not replace.
  • Empowerment: They gave employees the autonomy to choose their own learning paths based on their interests and career goals.
  • Peer-to-Peer Learning: They fostered an internal culture where new knowledge was shared and celebrated, turning learning into a collaborative, non-threatening experience.

The Result:

By directly addressing the fears of incompetence and the unknown, IBM successfully reskilled thousands of employees. They transformed their workforce from a legacy-focused team into one capable of building a multi-billion-dollar cloud services business. They didn’t just tell their people to change; they gave them the tools, the purpose, and the psychological safety to do so, turning a potential liability into their greatest asset.

Case Study 2: The Nordstrom Digital Transformation

The Challenge:

Nordstrom, a storied retail company known for its exceptional in-store customer service, had to pivot to compete in an e-commerce-dominated world. The shift required store employees—who were masters of in-person interactions—to embrace technology, digital tools, and a more data-driven approach. The core challenge was not technological, but cultural: convincing a workforce whose identity was tied to the physical store to embrace a digital future without losing their human touch.

The Fear-Deconstructing Approach:

Nordstrom’s leadership understood the deep-seated fear of losing control and the fear that technology would dehumanize their legendary service. They addressed this by:

  • Co-creating the New Vision: They actively involved store employees in the development of new digital tools. Employees provided feedback on everything from the new point-of-sale system to the mobile apps, giving them a sense of ownership.
  • Highlighting the “Why”: Leaders communicated that technology was not a replacement for their human-centered service, but an enabler. The tools were designed to free up time from administrative tasks so employees could spend more time with customers, reinforcing their core identity.
  • Celebrating Small Wins: They rolled out changes incrementally and celebrated every successful pilot, showing employees that the new approach was working and that their input was valuable.

The Result:

Nordstrom’s digital transformation was successful because they didn’t just implement new technology; they led a cultural shift. By deconstructing the fear of change and empowering their employees as co-creators, they built a hybrid model where technology and human service work in harmony. The in-store employees became powerful ambassadors for the digital tools, proving that when you address the human element, even the most daunting change can be embraced as an opportunity for growth.

Conclusion: Leading with Empathy

Change is inevitable, but resistance is not. The most effective leaders are not those who force change upon their people, but those who guide them through it with empathy and understanding. By deconstructing the fears that fuel resistance—the fears of the unknown, of incompetence, of losing control, and of failure—we can create an environment where change is not a threat but a shared adventure.

The next time you face resistance to an innovation, stop and ask a different set of questions. What are my people afraid of? How can I give them more control? How can I make it safe for them to learn? By leading with a human-centered approach, we can move beyond simply managing change and start inspiring it, one courageous step at a time.

Extra Extra: Futurology is not fortune telling. Futurists use a scientific approach to create their deliverables, but a methodology and tools like those in FutureHacking™ can empower anyone to engage in futurology themselves.

Image credit: Pexels

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The Role of Instagram in Customer Experience

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The Role of Instagram in Customer Experience

GUEST POST from Shep Hyken

Part of what fuels a good customer experience is the content experience. That’s where companies and brands serve up content in numerous ways, which could include (but is not limited to) articles, blogs, text messages, newsletters, YouTube videos, podcasts, TikTok content, Tweets, LinkedIn posts and the subject of this article, Instagram. (Note: Check out this recent article about TikTok for business. TikTok has become the No. 1 visited social platform in the world, even bigger than Google!)

Customer behavior has dramatically changed as technology has allowed us to deliver content in numerous ways. There are plenty of platforms, such as the ones mentioned above, so which one should a brand focus on? The short answer is any platform you know your customers are on. That said, as new platforms evolve, some companies and brands aren’t quick to adopt them, although maybe they should be.

Who would have thought that Facebook would become a marketing machine for some brands? And it’s the same with other platforms. And that brings us to the topic—and platform—that is the focus of this article.

Instagram started out as a photo- and video-sharing social media platform in 2010 when Kevin Systrom (co-founder) uploaded a picture of a dog with the caption “test.” Over the past 12 years, it has evolved into much more, including an opportunity for brands to incorporate the platform into their content and marketing strategies.

A recent Passport-Photo.Online study surveyed more than 1,000 Instagram users to find out how the Instagram content experience is influencing their buying decisions. Here are some stats (followed by my commentary) to get you thinking about the power of Instagram and how this social media platform can work for you and your organization.

  • Instagram has 1.4 billion users each month, making it the fourth most popular social network. The potential to be seen is huge! Take advantage of another social media channel that gives you great exposure.

  • Ninety-two percent of Americans who use Instagram follow a business, with most following six to ten business accounts. The majority of Instagram users are Millennials and Gen-Z. According to a Hootsuite survey, ages 18-44 make up just under 88% of the Instagram audience. If that’s the age range of your target audience, this is a place for you to be.

  • Of those Instagram users who follow businesses, 26% typically visit business profiles every day. Another 27% visit business profiles every week. Daily or weekly visits from customers and potential customers are high. This is genuine marketing gold. Creating content that gets followers to come back again and again—daily or weekly—is something you don’t want to miss.

  • Seventy-one percent of Instagram users feel more connected to brands they follow on Instagram. Feeling connected to any company infers there is a sense of loyalty. Furthermore, 93% of people on Instagram are likely or very likely to buy from a business they feel connected to over a competitor. Some presence is better than no presence. Don’t miss the opportunity to engage and create a stronger connection with your customers.

  • Replying to the question, “Did Instagram ever inspire you to shop from businesses even when you weren’t looking to do so?,” 79% said, “Yes.” Do you need any more proof? Can you afford not to participate in an Instagram content strategy?

  • Eighty-nine percent of Instagrammers prefer short-form content (less than 1,000 words) over long-form content (1,000+) when it comes to text posts from brands specifically. Here is where the content marketing strategy comes into play. A 1,000-word post is still long. Consider experimenting with shorter posts, 400-500 words. Follow some of your favorite brands and notice their content strategy. Look for length, frequency, etc.

Content marketing is a powerful customer experience strategy. While it may cost to produce content, it costs nothing to post. And good content can be repurposed across all social media platforms. A good article on Instagram can work on LinkedIn. A few compelling sentences out of the article can become several tweets. One piece of content can be repurposed in numerous ways.

As you look at the stats and findings from the survey, you can immediately recognize the opportunity that Instagram offers. As the fourth most popular social network, this is a marketing channel you can’t afford to ignore.

This article originally appeared on Forbes

Image Credit: Shep Hyken

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The Hero’s Journey of Innovation

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Inspiring Your Team to Embrace the Unknown

The Hero's Journey of Innovation

GUEST POST from Chateau G Pato

Every great innovation, like every great story, begins with a choice: to stay in the comfortable, known world or to answer the call to adventure and venture into the unknown. As a human-centered change and innovation thought leader, I’ve seen countless organizations struggle with this fundamental challenge. We often focus on the mechanics of innovation — the processes, the tools, the metrics — but we fail to address the most critical element: the human spirit. To truly innovate, we must stop seeing it as a predictable business process and start seeing it as a hero’s journey, a narrative arc that inspires, empowers, and guides our teams through the uncertainty and risk required to create something new.

The Hero’s Journey, a concept popularized by mythologist Joseph Campbell, describes a universal narrative pattern found in countless stories, from ancient myths to modern blockbusters. It involves a hero who leaves their ordinary world, confronts trials and tribulations, gains new knowledge, and returns transformed. This framework is not just for fiction; it is a powerful metaphor for the human experience of change and growth. By re-framing the innovation process through this lens, we can transform it from a daunting, risky endeavor into a compelling adventure that people are excited to embark on.

The Innovation Journey: A Modern Myth

Let’s map the stages of the hero’s journey onto the innovation process to understand how we can better lead our teams:

  • The Ordinary World (The Status Quo): This is your company’s comfort zone—the familiar products, processes, and market position. It feels safe, but it’s also where stagnation begins. The hero (your innovator or team) is living in this world, and for a time, it feels good.
  • The Call to Adventure (The New Idea): A new market trend, a customer pain point, or a disruptive technology emerges. This is the call, the first glimmer of an opportunity to do something different. It is often met with resistance and fear.
  • Refusal of the Call (The Resistance): This is the most common stage. The team hesitates, citing risks, budget constraints, or a lack of resources. The “we’ve always done it this way” mindset is a powerful force of gravity. Leaders must recognize and address this fear head-on.
  • Meeting the Mentor (The Leader’s Role): This is where you, as the leader, step in. You are the mentor who provides guidance, psychological safety, and the tools needed to start the journey. You don’t have all the answers, but you offer wisdom, support, and the courage to take the first step.
  • Crossing the Threshold (The First Step): The team commits to the project. This is the moment they leave the comfort zone. It could be launching a small pilot project, building a prototype, or securing initial funding. This is where the risk becomes real, and the journey truly begins.
  • Tests, Allies, and Enemies (The Innovation Process): This is the long middle part of the journey. The team faces challenges—technical hurdles, budget cuts, internal skepticism, and market feedback. They also find allies—champions within the organization, external partners, and supportive customers.
  • The Ordeal (The Crisis): Every innovation journey has a moment of crisis—a failed prototype, a critical negative review, a major competitor launch. This is the low point, where the team’s resolve is tested. This is where resilience is built.
  • The Reward (The First Success): After the ordeal, a breakthrough occurs. A successful pilot, a positive beta test, or a critical finding. This is the hero’s reward, the moment of validation that fuels the rest of the journey.
  • The Road Back (The Scaling): The hero must now return to the ordinary world, but they are not the same. They must scale their innovation, integrate it into the business, and convince the rest of the organization of its value.
  • The Resurrection (The Big Launch): The final test. The public launch, the full-scale rollout. It is the culmination of the journey, where the innovation is either reborn as a new product or fails to make its mark.
  • Return with the Elixir (The New Normal): The hero returns, bringing with them a new product, a new process, or a new way of thinking. The organization is forever changed. The hero, and the team, have learned valuable lessons and are ready for the next adventure.

“An innovation culture isn’t built on a process flowchart; it’s built on a shared narrative of courage, resilience, and transformation.”

Case Study 1: The Pixar Journey from Toy Story to a Studio

The Challenge:

In the early 1990s, Pixar was a small computer graphics company with a radical idea: to create the world’s first feature-length film entirely with CGI. This was a monumental risk. They were leaving the “ordinary world” of short films and commercials for the unknown world of feature animation, competing with titans like Disney. The “Call to Adventure” was clear, but the “Refusal of the Call” was a powerful force from Hollywood and even within their own company, who doubted the technology’s ability to tell a compelling story.

The Heroic Innovation:

Pixar’s leaders acted as mentors, providing a clear vision and psychological safety for the team. The “Crossing the Threshold” was the initial investment and the start of production. The “Tests and Ordeals” were numerous—technical challenges (rendering a single frame took hours), a near-catastrophic script rewrite, and a constant battle to prove the viability of their approach. But they had allies in Steve Jobs and a dedicated team who saw the vision. The “Reward” was the first successful test screening, and the “Resurrection” was the theatrical release of *Toy Story*.

The Result:

The success of *Toy Story* was not just a commercial win; it was a testament to a heroic innovation journey. It proved that a team, when guided by a compelling narrative and a resilient leadership, could overcome seemingly impossible obstacles. The “Elixir” they returned with was not just a successful film, but a new model for animation and a creative culture that continues to define the industry. The journey transformed them from a tech company into a storytelling powerhouse.

Case Study 2: The Dyson Story – A Relentless Pursuit of an Idea

The Challenge:

In the 1980s, the vacuum cleaner market was a comfortable, established world dominated by large corporations and bag-based technology. James Dyson’s “Call to Adventure” was a simple observation: vacuum cleaners lose suction because their bags clog with dust. His idea for a bagless, cyclone-based vacuum was a radical departure, a clear challenge to the status quo that was met with widespread “Refusal of the Call” from every major manufacturer who dismissed the idea as commercially unviable.

The Heroic Innovation:

Dyson’s personal journey is a powerful example of the hero’s arc. He acted as his own mentor, and his lab became the “Unknown World.” The “Ordeals” were legendary: 5,127 failed prototypes over five years, countless rejections from manufacturers, and a constant struggle for funding. His “Allies” were his family and a few dedicated engineers. The “Reward” was the successful creation of the first Dual Cyclone vacuum. The “Resurrection” was its launch in Japan, followed by its triumphant return to the UK market.

The Result:

Dyson didn’t just innovate a new product; he innovated an entire industry. His “Elixir” was not just a successful vacuum cleaner, but a new design philosophy built on relentless experimentation and a refusal to accept the status quo. His story proves that a single-minded pursuit of a new idea, when framed as a heroic journey, can overcome immense odds and redefine an entire market, inspiring an entire generation of innovators to follow their own calls to adventure.

Conclusion: Lead the Journey, Don’t Just Manage the Process

The future belongs to the organizations that can consistently and courageously innovate. And to do that, we must move beyond the sterile, process-driven view of innovation and embrace it as a heroic journey. As leaders, our role is to act as mentors and guides. We must frame the challenges not as roadblocks, but as trials. We must celebrate the small victories as rewards and offer support during the darkest moments of the ordeal.

By telling a compelling story about the change we are trying to create, we can inspire our teams to step out of their ordinary worlds and into the unknown. We can transform fear into courage, hesitation into action, and failure into a source of valuable learning. The journey is difficult, but the rewards—a transformed organization and a team of true innovators—are immeasurable. It’s time to stop managing innovation and start leading the adventure.

Extra Extra: Because innovation is all about change, Braden Kelley’s human-centered change methodology and tools are the best way to plan and execute the changes necessary to support your innovation and transformation efforts — all while literally getting everyone all on the same page for change. Find out more about the methodology and tools, including the book Charting Change by following the link. Be sure and download the TEN FREE TOOLS while you’re here.

Image credit: Pexels

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Three HOW MIGHT WE Alternatives That Actually Spark Creative Ideas

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Three How Might We Alternatives That Actually Spark Creative Ideas

GUEST POST from Robyn Bolton

Q: How might we brainstorm new ideas to serve our customers better?

A: Have a brainstorming session that starts with “How Might We help customers [Job to be Done/problem]?”

If only it were that simple.

How Might We (HMW) is an incredible tool (not BS, as some would assert), but we misuse it. We focus too much on the “we” and not enough on the “might.”

Might > We

HMW was first used to prompt people to be “wildly creative while simultaneously leveraging [company’s] innate strengths.”

IDEO popularized the prompt as a way to solve “wicked problems” – problems so complex that there is no right or wrong answer.

In both of these cases, the assumption was that the word “might” would free people from the shackles of today’s thinking and constraints and give people permission to dream without fear of judgment and reality.

“We” kept ideas tethered to the reality of the company’s “innate strengths,” providing a modicum of comfort to executives worried that the session wouldn’t result in anything useful and would, therefore, be a waste of time.

We > Might

Alas, as time went on and HMW became more popular, we lost sight of its intent (prompt wildly creative thinking about wicked problems) and twisted it to our purposes.

  • We end the HMW sentence with our problems (e.g., HMW cut costs by getting more customers to use self-service tools?).
  • We use it to brainstorm solutions to things that aren’t even problems (e.g., HMW eliminate all customer service options that aren’t self-serve?)
  • We mentally replace “might” with “will” so we can emerge from brainstorming sessions with a tactical implementation plan.

How Might Can YOU Fix HMW?

If you’re not getting creative, radical, or unexpected ideas from your brainstorming sessions, you have an HMW problem.< As a result, continuing to use HMW as a tool to prompt creative, radical, or unexpected ideas is the definition of insanity. And you are not insane. Instead, mix it up. Use different words to articulate the original intent of HMW.

How would we solve this problem if the answer to every request is YES?

Innovation thrives within constraints. Brainstorming doesn’t.

Even when you tell people not to constrain themselves, even implore them to value “quantity over quality,” you still get more “safe” ideas rather than more “crazy” ideas.

Do more than tell. Make a world without constraints real. Explicitly remove all the constraints people throw at ideas by creating a world of infinite money, people, capabilities, willingness, appetite for risk, and executive support. Doing this removes the dreaded “but” because there is no “but we don’t have the money/people/capabilities” or “but management will never go for it” and creates space for “and.”

What would we ask for if we were guaranteed a YES to only ONE request?

This question is often asked at the end of a brainstorm to prioritize ideas. But it’s equally helpful to ask it at the beginning.

This question shifts our mindset from “the bosses will never say yes, so I won’t even mention it” to “the bosses will say yes to only one thing, so it better be great!”  It pulls people off the sidelines and reveals what people believe to be the most critical element of a solution.   It drives passionate engagement amongst the whole team and acts as a springboard to the next brainstorm – How Might We use (what they said yes to) to solve (customers’ Jobs to be Done/problem)?

How would we solve the problem if the answer to every request is NO?

This one is a bit risky.

Some people will throw their hands in the air, declare the exercise a waste of time and effort, and collapse into a demotivated blob of resignation.

Some people will feel free. As Seth Godin wrote about a journal that promises to reject every single person who submits an article, “The absurdity of it is the point. Submitting to them feels effortless and without a lot of drama, because you know you’re going to get rejected. So instead of becoming attached to the outcome, you can simply focus on the work.”

For others, this will summon their inner rebel, the part of themselves that wants to stick it to the man, prove the doubters wrong, and unleash a great “I told you so” upon the world. To them, “No” is the start of the conversation, not the end. It fires them up to do their best work.

Don’t invite the first group of people to the brainstorm.

Definitely invite the other two groups.

How Might Will/Do YOU Fix HMW?

If you want something different, you need to do something different.

Start your next brainstorm with a new variation on the old HMW prompt.

How do people react? Does it lead to more creative or more “safe” ideas?

How might we adjust to do even better next time?

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How to Measure and Improve Employee-Driven Innovation

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The Value of Engagement

How to Measure and Improve Employee-Driven Innovation

GUEST POST from Art Inteligencia

In the relentless pursuit of competitive advantage, companies often look outward—to new markets, emerging technologies, and disruptive business models. While these are all valid areas for exploration, the single most powerful and often overlooked engine of innovation lies within: your engaged employees. Innovation is not a top-down mandate; it is a grassroots, human-centered activity. When employees are fully engaged—when they feel a sense of ownership, purpose, and psychological safety—they become a perpetual source of new ideas, process improvements, and breakthrough solutions. As a human-centered change and innovation thought leader, I am here to argue that the true measure of a company’s innovative capacity is not its R&D budget, but the level of its employee engagement. Furthermore, we must move beyond simply measuring engagement and learn to measure and nurture the innovation that it produces.

The link between engagement and innovation is not a coincidence; it is a direct causal relationship. Engaged employees are more likely to take risks, share dissenting opinions, and go above and beyond their job descriptions to solve problems. They are the eyes and ears on the ground, a direct conduit to customer frustrations and operational inefficiencies that leadership teams often miss. However, for this energy to be harnessed effectively, we need a new framework. We need to go beyond the traditional engagement survey and create a system that actively encourages, measures, and rewards employee-driven innovation.

Measuring the Innovation That Engagement Fuels

Traditional metrics for innovation—such as patent counts or new product launches—are often lagging indicators and don’t tell the full story. We need leading indicators that show us the health of our employee-driven innovation pipeline. Here are four key areas to measure:

  • Idea Velocity & Quality: Track the number of ideas submitted by employees across different teams or departments. More importantly, measure the quality and diversity of these ideas. Are they addressing key strategic challenges or just incremental fixes?
  • Experimentation Rate: How many employee-led experiments or pilot projects are being initiated? A high experimentation rate signals a culture where it’s safe to try new things and fail fast. This is a powerful proxy for psychological safety.
  • Cross-Functional Collaboration: Use tools and surveys to measure the frequency and quality of collaboration across different teams. Innovation often happens at the intersections of departments, and a lack of collaboration is a clear red flag.
  • Impact & Implementation: Measure the number of employee ideas that are actually implemented and the tangible business impact they have (e.g., cost savings, revenue increase, customer satisfaction scores). This closes the loop and shows employees that their contributions matter.

“An engaged workforce doesn’t just work harder; it thinks smarter. The role of leadership is to create the ecosystem that turns that thinking into tangible value.”

How to Turn Engagement into a Predictable Innovation Engine

Measuring innovation is only the first step. The real work lies in building the systems and culture that consistently generate new ideas. Here’s how to improve employee-driven innovation:

  1. Empower Ideation: Implement a clear, simple system for employees to submit ideas. This could be an internal platform, a regular brainstorm session, or a dedicated “Innovation Sprint” team.
  2. Provide Resources & Autonomy: Give employees the time, budget, and authority to test their ideas. A small “innovation fund” or a policy of allowing employees 10% of their time to work on personal projects can be a game-changer.
  3. Celebrate Learning, Not Just Success: When an employee idea fails, don’t punish them. Celebrate the learning gained from the experiment. This reinforces psychological safety and encourages future risk-taking.
  4. Create a Feedback Loop: Ensure that every idea, whether implemented or not, receives thoughtful feedback. This shows respect for the employee’s contribution and helps them grow as an innovator.

Case Study 1: Google’s “20% Time” and the Birth of Gmail

The Challenge:

In the early 2000s, Google was a rapidly growing search engine company, but it was at risk of becoming a single-product company. To foster a culture of continuous innovation and keep its employees engaged and creative, leaders faced the challenge of how to formalize a process that would encourage risk-taking and intrapreneurship.

The Engagement-Driven Innovation Model:

Google famously implemented the “20% Time” policy, which allowed engineers to spend 20% of their work week on personal projects that they believed would benefit the company. This was a radical act of trust and empowerment that fundamentally linked employee engagement to innovation. The program was designed to:

  • Encourage Autonomy: Engineers had the freedom to work on whatever they were passionate about, without a top-down mandate.
  • Foster Serendipity: It created an environment where unexpected connections and breakthroughs could occur naturally, outside of a rigid project plan.
  • Signal Trust: The policy sent a powerful message that Google trusted its employees to be responsible for their own innovative contributions.

The Result:

The “20% Time” policy became a legendary driver of some of Google’s most successful products. Gmail, for instance, was famously created by engineer Paul Buchheit during his 20% time. Google Maps and AdSense also have roots in this program. While the formal policy has evolved, the mindset of encouraging employee autonomy and internal entrepreneurship remains a core part of Google’s culture. This case study perfectly illustrates that when you empower employees to follow their curiosity, you can turn engagement into a powerful engine for breakthrough innovation and sustained growth.

Case Study 2: Toyota’s Kaizen – Continuous Improvement at the Grassroots

The Challenge:

Toyota’s success has long been tied to its renowned production system. However, the true genius of their system lies not in its technology, but in its human-centric approach. The challenge was to create a system where every employee, from the factory floor to the boardroom, felt responsible for continuous improvement, thereby keeping the company’s operational processes lean and innovative.

The Engagement-Driven Innovation Model:

Toyota’s solution was the Kaizen philosophy, which translates to “change for the better” or “continuous improvement.” This is a perfect example of employee-driven innovation at scale. Unlike a one-off suggestion box, Kaizen is a deeply embedded cultural practice where every employee is encouraged to identify and propose small, incremental improvements to their daily work. This approach is built on trust and a fundamental belief in the intellectual capacity of every team member.

  • Universal Empowerment: Every employee is a designated innovator, with the authority and encouragement to improve their own work processes.
  • Small, Constant Changes: The focus is not on grand, revolutionary ideas, but on a perpetual stream of small improvements that collectively lead to massive gains in efficiency and quality.
  • Respect for People: The foundation of Kaizen is respect for the employee, recognizing that the person doing the work is the one best equipped to find a better way to do it.

The Result:

The Kaizen system has yielded millions of employee-submitted ideas over the years, many of which have been implemented. These small, incremental innovations have led to significant improvements in quality, safety, and productivity, solidifying Toyota’s position as a global leader. This case study proves that when you democratize innovation and give every employee a voice, you create a powerful, self-sustaining engine of continuous improvement that is incredibly difficult for competitors to replicate.

Conclusion: The Strategic Imperative of Engagement

The future of innovation is not a secret blueprint held by a few executives; it is a collaborative effort fueled by the collective intelligence and passion of your entire workforce. Engaged employees are not just more productive; they are the wellspring of your company’s future. By creating a culture that nurtures curiosity, empowers autonomy, and measures the impact of grassroots ideas, you can transform your organization from a passive recipient of change into a powerful creator of it.

As leaders, our most critical role is to stop seeing employee engagement as a mere HR metric and start seeing it for what it truly is: the ultimate strategic imperative for building a resilient, innovative, and future-ready enterprise. Invest in your people’s curiosity, and they will, in turn, innovate your way to a more prosperous and sustainable future.

Extra Extra: Futurology is not fortune telling. Futurists use a scientific approach to create their deliverables, but a methodology and tools like those in FutureHacking™ can empower anyone to engage in futurology themselves.

Image credit: Pixabay

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Reset and Reconnect to Transform your World

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Reset and Reconnect to Transform your World

GUEST POST from Janet Sernack

Our blog, Reset and Reconnect in a Chaotic World was the first in a series of three, on the theme of reconnecting and resetting, to create, invent and innovate in an increasingly chaotic world. In this blog, we described how we have opportunities, to focus on being kinder to both ourselves and to others we interact with. To help us shift our mental states to transition effectively through the shock and pain of the pandemic, and rehabilitate in ways that transform our worlds.

We also outlined the range of key reasons as to why it is critical to take personal responsibility for understanding, helping, and supporting those we depend upon, and who depend upon us, to respond in ways that are respectful and compassionate, creative and courageous.

That enables and empowers people to recover and rehabilitate from the shock and pain they are experiencing from their elevated levels of stress, discomfort, and anxiety, occurring in our relentlessly uncertain and chaotic environments, through allowing, accepting, and acknowledging where people are at – and that it’s OK to not be OK!

Neither a time to panic nor languish

Right now, it is neither a time to panic, stall nor to languish in the face of change fatigue and mental lethargy.

It is a time to shift from making binary (either/or) judgements towards making linear (both/and) judgements to re-think and create a mental state, that is open and receptive to emerging possibilities and embraces change in ways that are fair and inclusive.

To transform your world through:

  • Choosing a range of constructive and positive responses to the rising levels of global economic, civic, and social uncertainty and unrest in our own local environments.
  • Generously and kindly demonstrating care, respect, and appreciation for the value everyone brings, and by being collaborative, appreciative, helpful, and supportive.
  • Being unconditionally willing to take the “sacred pause” that allows ourselves, teams, organizations, and to reconnect and reset, through intentionally using constraints and developing a mental state that supports them to become adaptive, creative, inventive, and innovative.

Transforming your world involves co-creating a deeper sense of belonging and a more optimistic outlook, to enhance our collective intelligence toward discovering and navigating new ways of thriving, flourishing, and flowing in the face of ongoing disruption.

Integrating and balancing chaos and rigidity

Dr. Dan Siegal, in Mindsight, applies the emerging principles of interpersonal neurobiology to promote compassion, kindness, resilience, and well-being in our personal lives, our relationships, and our communities.

In our global coaching practice at ImagineNation™ we have observed that many of our clients are experiencing mental states that embody varying levels of discord, dissonance, and dis-order, which are deeply unconscious and are impacting them neurologically.

Dr. Dan Siegal states:

“At the heart of both interpersonal neurobiology and the mindsight approach is the concept of ‘integration’ which entails the linkage of different aspects of a system – whether they exist within a single person or a collection of individuals. Integration is seen as the essential mechanism of health as it promotes a flexible and adaptive way of being that is filled with vitality and creativity.

The ultimate outcome of integration is harmony. The absence of integration leads to chaos and rigidity—a finding that enables us to re-envision our understanding of mental disorders and how we can work together in the fields of mental health, education, and other disciplines, to create a healthier, more integrated world.”

We have seen a vast range of evidence of peoples’ internal and external, mental chaos, and self-imposed internal rigidity in many of our clients’ coaching sessions.

Knowing that when chaos and rigidity are prolonged – it creates unproductive or dysfunctional mental states and inflexible thought processing.

This makes people non-adaptive and mostly inflexible because their natural well-being is impaired (dis-order).

Our approach is to partner with clients to co-create a relationship, that supports and helps facilitate a set of more integrated mental states. This entails each person’s being respected for his or her autonomy and differentiated self through deep empathic communication, which creates the space and an opening for shifting mindsets and behaviors, to ultimately pull them towards a new possibility that may transform their world.

Allowing, accepting, and acknowledging

When we allow, accept, acknowledge and support people to recover and rehabilitate from the shock and pain they are experiencing as a result of recent global events and conflicts, including feelings of overwhelm, isolation, loneliness, and disconnection, we can enable them to initiate making these shifts.

According to Gallops Global Emotions 2022 Report – these are considered “negative emotions – the aggregate of the stress, sadness, anger, worry and physical pain that people feel every day” and have reached a new record in the history of their tracking.

Jon Clifton, CEO of Gallop stated in the report that their data reveals that unhappiness has been rising for more than a decade and that the world is also struggling from a silent pandemic – loneliness.

“Gallup finds that 330 million adults go at least two weeks without talking to a single friend or family member. And just because some people have friends, it doesn’t mean they have good friends. One‑fifth of all adults do not have a single person they can count on for help.”

No emotion or mental state is permanent!

It’s time to focus on exploring how to better help ourselves, our clients, people, and teams by paying deep attention and being intentional as to how we might experiment and collaborate, with three key steps, to make these shifts:

  1. Co-create relationships focused on supporting integration, by being respectful and empathic in all communications, to open space of possibility, and pull people towards what creative ideas and breakthroughs might transform their world.
  2. Artfully and masterfully generatively listen, inquire, question, and disagree, to evoke, provoke and create ideas for thinking and acting differently both today and in the future.
  3. Maximize people’s strengths, differences, and diversity, to sense, see and solve problems and be creative and inventive in delivering breakthrough ideas and innovative solutions that add value to the quality of people’s lives, in ways they appreciate and cherish.

Rehabilitate with intention

At the same time, paradoxically, extending options and choices that help them shift and transition through the shock and pain of the past two and half years.

Enabling and empowering people to rehabilitate, with intention rather than regret, adopting a systemic lens through:

  • Creating safe collective holding spaces, that embrace presence, empathy, and compassion.
  • Helping people get grounded, become mindful, and fully present, enables them to make quality connections, rebuild their confidence and recreate a sense of belonging.
  • Enabling, equipping, and empowering people with new mindsets, behaviors, and skills through unlearning, learning, and relearning so they can adapt, grow and be resourceful and resilient in the face of the range of emerging problems, opportunities, and challenges.
  • Amplifying people’s strengths, reinforcing positive emotions, mitigating and reducing the way they filter information to re-ignite their intrinsic motivation and re-engage them in what they can control, what care deeply about value, or need, to survive and thrive.

A decade of both transformation and disruption

As most of us are aware, we are currently experiencing a decade of both transformation and disruption, where chaos and order are constantly polarizing, making it imperative to support, mentor, and coach people to integrate and find their balance.

To help them become more flexible and open to being adaptive, and effectively “dance in dis-equilibrium” between the constant and consistent states of chaos and order.

To enable people to see themselves as the cause in actively unlearning and letting go of old mental models, unresourceful mental states, and thinking patterns, to reimagine and redesign how they work to transform their world and create a more compelling, inclusive, and sustainable future.

Find out more about our work at ImagineNation™

Find out about our collective, learning products and tools, including The Coach for Innovators, Leaders, and Teams Certified Program, presented by Janet Sernack, is a collaborative, intimate, and deeply personalized innovation coaching and learning program, supported by a global group of peers over 9-weeks, starting Tuesday, February 7, 2023.

It is a blended and transformational change and learning program that will give you a deep understanding of the language, principles, and applications of an ecosystem focus, human-centric approach, and emergent structure (Theory U) to innovation, and upskill people and teams and develop their future fitness, within your unique context. Find out more about our products and tools.

This is the second in a series of three blogs on the theme of reconnecting and resetting, to create, invent and innovate in an increasingly chaotic world.

You can also check out the recording of our 45-minute masterclass, to discover new ways of re-connecting through the complexity and chaos of dis-connection to create, invent and innovate in the future!

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Detecting the Seeds of Future Innovation

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Weak Signals, Strong Insights

Detecting the Seeds of Future Innovation

GUEST POST from Chateau G Pato

In our hyper-connected world, we are inundated with information. Market data, analyst reports, and competitive intelligence systems all provide a clear picture of the present. But as a human-centered change and innovation thought leader, I argue that the most transformative opportunities don’t emerge from this flood of “strong signals.” They emerge from the subtle, often contradictory, and easily dismissed weak signals on the periphery. These are the whispers of change, the fringe trends, the unarticulated customer frustrations, and the strange technological mashups that hint at a future yet to be built. The ability to detect, interpret, and act on these weak signals is the single most powerful competitive advantage an organization can cultivate. It’s the difference between reacting to disruption and proactively creating it.

Weak signals are, by definition, not obvious. They are often dismissed as anomalies, niche behaviors, or fleeting fads. They can come from anywhere: a casual comment in a user forum, a viral video that defies a category, a surprising scientific breakthrough in an unrelated field, or a quiet startup with a baffling business model. The challenge for leaders is to move beyond the comfort of big data analytics and embrace the messy, qualitative, and deeply human work of foresight. This isn’t about guesswork; it’s about building a systematic, human-centered practice for sensing the future and turning those faint whispers into a clear vision for innovation.

Why Weak Signals are Your Best Innovation GPS

Cultivating a weak-signal detection capability offers profound benefits:

  • Foresight, Not Just Hindsight: While strong signals confirm what has already happened, weak signals provide clues about what is *about to* happen. This gives you a critical head start in preparing for, or even driving, market shifts.
  • The Source of True Disruption: Most truly disruptive innovations—from personal computing to smartphones—began as weak signals on the fringe, often dismissed by established players who were focused on optimizing their core business.
  • Uncovering Unmet Needs: Weak signals are often an early indicator of deep, unarticulated human needs. They are the seeds of a problem that a current market solution isn’t addressing.
  • Building a Culture of Curiosity: Actively looking for weak signals encourages a culture of curiosity, open-mindedness, and a willingness to challenge assumptions—all essential traits for innovation.

“Strong signals confirm your past. Weak signals whisper your future. The most innovative leaders are the best listeners.”

A Human-Centered Approach to Detecting Weak Signals

Detecting weak signals is not an automated process. It is a deeply human activity that requires a specific mindset and intentional practice:

  1. Go to the Edge: Move beyond your core market and familiar customer base. Talk to fringe users, early adopters, and even those who reject your product. Spend time in adjacent industries and with unconventional thinkers.
  2. Embrace a Beginner’s Mindset: Temporarily suspend your expertise. Look at your industry as if you are seeing it for the first time. Why do customers do what they do? What seems strange or inefficient to an outsider?
  3. Connect the Unconnected Dots: A single weak signal means little. The true insight comes from identifying patterns. Is a new technology in one field combining with a new consumer behavior in another? The unexpected combination of two seemingly unrelated signals is often where the magic happens.
  4. Create “Listening Posts”: Form small, cross-functional teams whose sole purpose is to scan the periphery. Empower them to read obscure journals, follow niche social media communities, and report back on anything that feels “off” or interesting.

Case Study 1: The Rise of Social Media – A Weak Signal Ignored by the Giants

The Challenge:

In the early 2000s, the internet was dominated by large, content-heavy portals like Yahoo! and search engines like Google. Communication was primarily through email and instant messaging. The idea of people building public profiles to share personal updates and connect with friends was seen as a niche, even trivial, activity. It was a weak signal, a seemingly minor behavior on college campuses.

The Weak Signal Ignored:

For established tech giants, the signal was too faint. They were focused on the strong signals of search queries and content monetization. Facebook, MySpace, and Friendster were dismissed as “just for kids” or a “niche social trend.” The idea of a public profile as a primary mode of online identity and communication was too far outside their core business model to be taken seriously. They saw a minor curiosity, not the future of human connection.

The Result:

The companies that paid attention to this weak signal—and understood the human-centered need for connection and self-expression—went on to build a multi-trillion-dollar industry. The giants who ignored it were forced to play a decade-long game of catch-up, and many lost their dominant position. The weak signal of a simple public profile evolved into the foundational architecture of the modern internet and the economy built on it. Their failure to see this wasn’t a failure of technology; it was a failure of imagination and human-centered listening.

Case Study 2: Netflix and the Streaming Revolution – From DVDs to a Weak Signal

The Challenge:

In the early 2000s, Blockbuster was the undisputed king of home entertainment. Their business model was robust, profitable, and built on a physical presence of thousands of stores and a lucrative late-fee system. The internet was a nascent and unreliable platform for video, and streaming was a faint, almost invisible signal on the horizon.

The Weak Signal Detected:

While Blockbuster was focused on optimizing its core business (e.g., store layout, inventory management), Netflix, then a DVD-by-mail service, saw a weak signal. The signal wasn’t just about faster internet; it was about the human frustration with late fees and the inconvenience of physical stores. The company’s leaders started to talk about the concept of “on-demand” content, long before the technology was ready. They were paying attention to the unarticulated desire for convenience and unlimited choice, a desire that was a whisper to Blockbuster but a deafening call to Netflix. They began to invest in streaming technology and content licensing years before it was profitable, effectively cannibalizing their own profitable DVD business.

The Result:

Blockbuster famously dismissed Netflix’s weak signal, seeing it as a minor inconvenience to their existing business model. They believed a physical store experience would always win. Netflix, by acting on the weak signal and a deep understanding of human frustration, was able to pivot from being a DVD service to the global streaming behemoth we know today. Their foresight, driven by a human-centered approach to a technological trend, allowed them to disrupt an entire industry and become a dominant force in the future of entertainment. Blockbuster, unable to see beyond the strong signals of its profitable past, is now a cautionary tale.

Conclusion: The Foresight Imperative

The future is not a surprise that happens to you. It is a collection of weak signals that you either choose to see or ignore. In an era of constant disruption, relying on strong signals alone is a recipe for stagnation. The most resilient and innovative organizations are those that have built a human-centered practice for sensing change on the periphery. They have created a culture where curiosity is a core competency and where questioning the status quo is a daily ritual.

As leaders, our most critical role is to shift our focus from optimizing the past to sensing the future. We must empower our teams to go to the edge, listen to the whispers, and connect the dots in new and creative ways. The future of your industry is already being born, not in the center of the market, but on its fringes. The question is, are you listening?

Extra Extra: Because innovation is all about change, Braden Kelley’s human-centered change methodology and tools are the best way to plan and execute the changes necessary to support your innovation and transformation efforts — all while literally getting everyone all on the same page for change. Find out more about the methodology and tools, including the book Charting Change by following the link. Be sure and download the TEN FREE TOOLS while you’re here.

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How COVID-19 Has Exposed Us

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How COVID-19 Has Exposed Us

GUEST POST from Greg Satell

The moon landing in 1969 was, in many ways, the high point of the American century. Since then, we’ve been beset by scandals like Watergate, Iran-Contra and two presidential impeachments, mired in never-ending wars that we don’t win, while increasingly encumbered by rising debts and income inequality amid falling productivity growth. Incomes have stagnated while education and healthcare costs have soared.

Yet in an essay written back in February, just before the Covid-19 crisis, Ross Douthat wrote that these apparent woes are actually signs of success. In effect, he argued that we lack major technological breakthroughs because we become so technologically advanced, and we lack economic progress because we’ve become so prosperous.

Even then, it was a strange and somewhat maddening position to take. Why would Douthat, an intelligent and insightful man, write such things? Because he so wanted to believe them that he went in search for facts to support them. Many of us have been doing the same. Yet the Covid-19 crisis has unmasked us and it’s time to start facing up to the truth.

A Failed Market Revolution

In 1954, the eminent economist Paul Samuelson, came across an obscure dissertation written by a French graduate student named Louis Bachelier around the turn of the century. The paper, which anticipated Einstein’s later breakthrough on Brownian motion, declared somewhat innocently that “the mathematical expectation of the speculator is zero.”

Samuelson’s discovery launched a revolution in mathematical finance models based on on Bachelier’s assumption, including the Efficient Market Hypothesis, portfolio theory, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Black-Scholes model. The underlying assumption was that markets were rational, and risk could be quantified and managed effectively.

The flaws in these models should have been obvious even at the time and some, including the mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot, pointed out that markets were far more volatile than the financial engineering models predicted. Nevertheless, policymakers chose to ignore the warnings and put their faith in the “magic of the market.”

Probably the biggest failure of market fundamentalism is that, as economist Thomas Philippon points out in his book The Great Reversal, over the past 40 years markets in the United States have become significantly weaker. In a similar vein, a study published in Harvard Business Review that examined 893 industries found that two thirds had become more concentrated.

The truth is that we’ve chosen weaker markets and less competition, which has led to less dynamism and innovation. That’s no accident.

Digital Disruption

In Regional Advantage, AnnaLee Saxenian describes how Silicon Valley replaced Boston’s “Technology Highway” as the center of the digital universe. While Boston was corporate and hierarchical, Silicon Valley was freewheeling and networked. The Silicon Valley ethos was very much the counterculture.

So, it was no accident that when Steve Jobs flew to New York to recruit John Sculley, who was at the time President of Pepsi, to lead Apple he asked him,”Do you want to sell sugar water for the rest of your life, or do you want to come with me and change the world?” The implication being that selling computers was a higher calling than selling soft drinks.

That was nearly 40 years ago and while the Covid-19 crisis has certainly highlighted some benefits of digital technology, such as cheap and effective teleconferencing, it’s also become clear that the digital revolution has largely been a disappointment. Productivity growth, except for a relatively brief period in the late nineties and early aughts, has been depressed since the 1970s.

Compare the iPhone to the breakthroughs of the mid-twentieth century, such as Bell Lab’s transistor, Boeing’s 707 and IBM’s 360 and it becomes clear that while digital technology has done much to disrupt industries, it’s done relatively little to create significant new value, at least in comparison to earlier technologies.

The Uncertain Promise of Globalization

The aftermath of the fall of the Berlin Wall was a time of great optimism. With the Cold War over, books like Francis Fukayama’s The End of History predicted a capitalist, democratic utopia in which free markets would conquer the world making everyone more prosperous. Those that refused to reform would be unable to compete.

While there were genuine achievements, especially in lifting up the world’s poorest, it’s hard to see how globalization has made us significantly better off. In fact, rather than the triumph of freedom, we’ve seen a global rise in populist authoritarian movements, the polar opposite of what intellectuals like Fukayama predicted.

In the United States, the situation has become especially dire. Social mobility and life expectancy in the white working class are declining, while anxiety and depression are rising to epidemic levels. While wages have stagnated, the cost of healthcare and education has soared, squeezing the middle class. Income inequality is at its highest level in 50 years.

So, while it’s true that there have been real benefits from globalization, such as curbing inflation, we’ve done little to mitigate the costs to the average citizen. That didn’t just happen but was the result of choices that we made.

We Need to Choose Resilience and Grand Challenges Over Output and Disruption

The Covid-19 crisis has unmasked us. We thought that markets, technology and globalization would save us, that we could just set up some sensible rules of the road and everything would run on autopilot. That’s clearly untrue. We took short-term profits while ignoring long-term costs, loaded up on debt and hoped for the best.

The current crisis has followed the same pattern. We simply failed to prepare for known risks because it seemed expedient not to. George Bush warned about the possibility of a pandemic as did his Health and Human Services Secretary. Jay Leno mocked them. The Obama administration set up a step-by-step playbook and it was ignored. The long list of failures goes on.

Yet we don’t have to be victims of our failed choices. We can learn to make better ones. After the 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic, we embarked on a 70-year productivity boom. Out of the ashes of World War II, we built a new era of peace and prosperity that was unprecedented in world history. We can do so again. We have that power.

New technologies, under development as we speak, will likely give us the power to cure cancer, create clean energy, save the environment and colonize space. We can rebuild the middle class, usher in a new era of peace and prosperity, increase life expectancy while improving quality of life. These are all things we may be able to achieve in the next decade or two.

Yet those possibilities are merely potential that we can succeed or fail to actualize. We can, as we did after World War II, choose to invest in the future and tackle grand challenges. We can build new infrastructure, spawn new industries and create an educated workforce. Or we can, as we did after the end of the Cold War, choose disruption over construction.

What’s clear is that nothing is inevitable. The digital revolution didn’t have to be a dud. The Great Recession didn’t have to happen. The Covid-19 Pandemic could have been, at the very least, greatly mitigated. We are responsible for the choices we make. Now is the time to shoot for the moon (and Mars), not to grade ourselves on a curve.

— Article courtesy of the Digital Tonto blog
— Image credit: Pixabay

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