Category Archives: Leadership

Exploring Future Scenarios for Strategic Planning

Exploring Future Scenarios for Strategic Planning

GUEST POST from Art Inteligencia

In an age defined by relentless disruption and the constant hum of uncertainty, traditional strategic planning feels increasingly like navigating a vast ocean with only a rearview mirror. Relying solely on past performance or single-point forecasts leaves organizations vulnerable to the seismic shifts that characterize our VUCA world. As a fervent advocate for human-centered change and innovation, I believe the true power of strategic foresight lies not in predicting a singular future, but in robustly exploring a kaleidoscope of plausible futures through scenario planning.

Scenario planning is far more than an academic exercise; it’s a vital, proactive discipline for building organizational resilience and fostering groundbreaking innovation. It challenges us to move beyond linear projections and embrace the inherent messiness and multiplicity of tomorrow. Fundamentally, it’s a profoundly human endeavor, demanding empathy for the diverse needs and behaviors of future stakeholders, sparking creativity to envision divergent paths, and sharpening critical thinking to assess their profound implications. This approach empowers organizations to stress-test assumptions, illuminate potential blind spots, and embed adaptability deep into their core DNA, ensuring they don’t just survive, but thrive, no matter what lies ahead.

Why Scenario Planning is Your Strategic Imperative Now

  • Mitigate Unseen Risks: By consciously considering worst-case, best-case, and a spectrum of plausible scenarios, organizations can proactively identify emerging threats and develop agile contingency plans, dramatically reducing the likelihood of being caught off guard.
  • Uncover Hidden Opportunities: The disciplined exploration of different futures inevitably reveals nascent trends, evolving societal values, and unmet needs, leading directly to the discovery of untapped markets, disruptive products, or entirely new service paradigms.
  • Engineer Adaptability: Organizations that have systematically explored multiple scenarios cultivate an inherent agility, enabling them to pivot quickly and effectively when unexpected events materialize. This builds a profound organizational resilience.
  • Catalyze Authentic Innovation: The very process of scenario development forces out-of-the-box thinking, challenging entrenched conventional wisdom and fostering a dynamic culture of continuous learning, experimentation, and breakthrough innovation.
  • Forge Stakeholder Alignment: Scenario planning provides an invaluable shared language and compelling framework for diverse internal and external stakeholders to collaboratively discuss the future, fostering deep alignment and a unified strategic vision.

The Human-Centered Heart of Scenario Development

At its very core, robust scenario planning hinges on understanding people – how their needs and aspirations might evolve, how societal norms and values could dramatically shift, and how technological advancements will intimately impact human behavior and interaction. It’s a collaborative process that thrives on diverse perspectives and design thinking principles:

  • Deep Empathy for Future Users: What will the daily lives of our customers, employees, and communities truly be like in 5, 10, or 20 years? What novel pain points, emergent desires, or unexpected behaviors will surface? This requires stepping into their potential future shoes.
  • Identifying Core Driving Forces: These are the fundamental, often interconnected factors shaping the future – ranging from technological breakthroughs and profound demographic shifts to macroeconomic trajectories, escalating environmental concerns, and complex geopolitical realignments. Crucially, we distinguish between predetermined elements (e.g., an aging global population) and critical uncertainties (e.g., the exact pace of AI-driven job displacement).
  • Constructing Plausible Narratives: This is the creative act of combining these driving forces in varied, logical ways to forge distinct, coherent, and compelling stories about the future. These are not predictions, but rather carefully crafted “what if” explorations, each a complete, imaginable world.
  • Strategic Backcasting: Once these vivid scenarios are developed, the crucial step is to work backward from each future state. This helps identify the strategic choices, critical decision points, and “no-regret moves” required today to successfully navigate and thrive within that particular future.

Case Study 1: Shell’s Enduring Strategic Foresight

Mastering Energy Transitions with Human Insight

One of the most celebrated and enduring examples of systematic scenario planning is Royal Dutch Shell. Starting in the 1970s, Shell presciently recognized the profound uncertainties inherent in the global energy landscape, particularly concerning resource availability and political stability. Rather than relying on rigid, single-point forecasts, they pioneered the development of multiple, divergent scenarios, including those that daringly posited significant oil price shocks and major geopolitical shifts. This strategic foresight allowed them to better prepare for the oil crises of the 1970s and subsequent market volatility, adapting their business models ahead of competitors.

Shell’s scenario planning isn’t a singular event; it’s an ongoing, deeply institutionalized practice. Their scenarios, often publicly shared, meticulously explore long-term energy transitions, the escalating role of renewables, and the multifaceted impact of climate policy on human societies and economies. This continuous, human-informed engagement with alternative futures has allowed Shell to maintain a remarkable degree of adaptability in a notoriously volatile industry, enabling them to make more resilient investment decisions and strategically diversify their portfolio over many decades. Their success isn’t about perfectly predicting the future, but about building a strategic posture robust across numerous plausible futures, always with an eye on evolving human energy needs and environmental demands.

Case Study 2: Singapore’s Nation-State Resilience through Foresight

Proactive Nation-Building for Human Prosperity

The government of Singapore has long stood as a global exemplar in national strategic foresight. Recognizing its intrinsic vulnerabilities as a small island nation with limited natural resources and a diverse population, Singapore has systematically integrated scenario planning into the very fabric of its policy-making processes. Agencies such as the Centre for Strategic Futures (CSF) within the Prime Minister’s Office collaborate seamlessly across ministries to identify emerging global trends, critical uncertainties, and potential disruptions that could impact its citizens’ well-being and national prosperity.

For instance, their rigorous foresight efforts have meticulously considered scenarios ranging from the rapid spread of global pandemics (years before COVID-19) to major demographic shifts, and the profound impact of advanced automation on employment and societal structures. By deeply exploring these diverse futures, with a clear focus on the human implications, Singapore has been able to develop remarkably proactive policies in critical areas like education (proactively reskilling its workforce for new economic realities), urban planning (designing adaptable infrastructure for evolving human habitation patterns), and healthcare (building robust, resilient public health systems to protect its populace). This proactive, human-centric, scenario-driven approach has enabled Singapore to navigate complex global challenges with unparalleled agility and maintain its long-term stability and remarkable prosperity for its people.

The Road Ahead: Embracing Plurality and Human Ingenuity

The unparalleled power of scenario planning lies in its profound ability to dismantle our ingrained mental models and dramatically expand our collective perception of what’s truly possible. It elevates us beyond mere reactive problem-solving, propelling us into the realm of proactive future-shaping. For today’s leaders and organizations, the critical task is no longer to identify the singular “right” future, but rather to cultivate the dynamic capacity to not just survive, but profoundly thrive, across a multiplicity of futures.

This demands an unwavering commitment to continuous learning, a courageous willingness to engage with uncomfortable truths and challenging possibilities, and, most critically, the audacious courage to make decisive choices today that will resonate positively across tomorrow’s diverse and complex landscapes. Embrace this journey of rigorous exploration. The future is not a predetermined destination; it is a vibrant spectrum of possibilities, waiting to be understood, influenced, and, ultimately, masterfully navigated with inspired human ingenuity and prescient foresight.

Extra Extra: Futurology is not fortune telling. Futurists use a scientific approach to create their deliverables, but a methodology and tools like those in FutureHacking™ can empower anyone to engage in futurology themselves.

Image credit: Pexels

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Successful Agile Transformations

Case Studies

Successful Agile Transformations

GUEST POST from Art Inteligencia

In a world accelerating at an unprecedented pace, the very notion of how organizations function and deliver value is undergoing a seismic shift. For too long, “Agile” has been bandied about as a mere set of tools or a new project management methodology. But let me be clear: that’s missing the forest for the trees. True Agile transformation is a profoundly human transformation. It’s about dismantling rigid hierarchies, fostering a culture of trust and autonomy, and relentlessly focusing on delivering real value to real people – your customers and your employees.

Many organizations embark on Agile journeys, only to stumble. They hit the inevitable resistance to change, encounter leadership unwilling to cede control, or fail to truly embed the Agile mindset within their cultural DNA. Yet, amidst these challenges, beacons of success shine brightly. These are the organizations that understood that process is important, but people are paramount. They didn’t just *do* Agile; they *became* Agile, from the inside out. Let’s delve into a couple of illuminating case studies that highlight the power of successful, human-centered Agile transformations.

Case Study 1: ING – Banking on Agility and Empowerment

The Challenge: ING, a venerable multinational banking and financial services corporation, faced the classic dilemma of established giants: how to remain competitive and responsive against nimble fintech disruptors in a rapidly digitalizing market. Their traditional waterfall approaches and siloed departments were creating drag, hindering innovation and slowing their ability to deliver new digital products and services quickly. Customer expectations were evolving rapidly, and ING needed to catch up – fast.

The Human-Centered Agile Approach: ING didn’t merely adopt a framework; they engineered a radical organizational redesign centered on people. Drawing inspiration from Silicon Valley’s tech giants, they famously restructured their entire Dutch headquarters into a “tribe and squad” model. This wasn’t just a reshuffle; it was a profound cultural shift.

  • Empowered, End-to-End Ownership: They disbanded traditional functional departments, creating small, cross-functional “squads” (teams of 5-9 people) with complete, end-to-end responsibility for specific products or customer journeys. Each squad was given the autonomy to decide how they would achieve their objectives, fostering an incredible sense of ownership, accountability, and psychological safety. This was a direct investment in the human capital.
  • Relentless Customer-Centricity: The focus moved dramatically from internal processes to external customer value. Squads were organized explicitly around customer needs and journeys, ensuring every effort directly contributed to enhancing the customer experience. Continuous feedback loops, rapid prototyping, and extensive user testing became the norm, allowing ING to truly listen to its customers.
  • Leadership as Facilitators, Not Commanders: Senior leadership transformed from a command-and-control hierarchy to a servant leadership model. Their role became one of removing impediments, empowering teams, coaching, and fostering a culture where experimentation and learning from failure were not just tolerated, but encouraged. They invested heavily in comprehensive training and ongoing coaching for *all* employees, reinforcing the new mindset.

The Results: ING’s transformation is a benchmark for large-scale enterprise agility.

  • Dramatic Speed & Innovation: They significantly reduced time-to-market for new digital services, often by two-thirds. This agility fueled a surge in innovation, leading to a richer array of customer-facing products.
  • Enhanced Customer and Employee Experience: By placing customers at the heart of development, ING saw marked increases in customer satisfaction. Internally, employee engagement and morale soared as individuals felt more empowered, valued, and connected to the impact of their work.
  • Significant Cost Savings: Streamlined processes and increased efficiency led to substantial operational cost reductions.

Key Takeaways from ING:

  1. Go Beyond Process: Agile is a cultural redesign. Real transformation requires fundamentally rethinking organizational structure and leadership roles.
  2. Empower the Edge: Push decision-making authority to the teams closest to the work and the customer. Trust your people.
  3. Leaders Must Serve: Leadership’s role shifts from directing to enabling and fostering a safe, experimental environment.

Case Study 2: Microsoft – Reigniting Innovation Through DevOps and Human Connection

The Challenge: For decades, Microsoft, an undeniable software behemoth, operated under deeply ingrained, lengthy waterfall development cycles. This led to notoriously slow response times to market shifts, often years-long product release cycles, and a growing disconnect between engineering teams and the rapidly evolving needs of their enterprise and consumer customers. As the industry pivoted to cloud computing and continuous delivery, Microsoft’s traditional pace became a critical liability. The scale of change required was staggering.

The Human-Centered Agile Approach: Microsoft’s revitalization, particularly within its Azure cloud services division, stands as a testament to the power of human-centered engineering transformation. It wasn’t just about adopting Scrum; it was about building a culture of rapid feedback and continuous improvement.

  • DevOps as a Cultural Bridge: A cornerstone was the widespread adoption of DevOps practices. This went far beyond automation; it was about fostering deep collaboration and communication between traditionally siloed development and operations teams. This human alignment created shared ownership for the entire software delivery lifecycle, leading to smoother, faster deployments and a significant reduction in blame-games.
  • Small, Autonomous Teams & Direct Customer Connection: They moved from massive, multi-year projects to smaller, highly focused, cross-functional engineering teams. Crucially, these teams were given significant autonomy and were pushed to establish direct, continuous feedback loops with customers. They regularly released minimal viable products (MVPs), gathered immediate user insights, and iterated. This direct connection gave engineers a palpable sense of purpose and impact.
  • Iterative Development and Continuous Delivery: The shift from infrequent, “big bang” releases to continuous integration and continuous delivery (CI/CD) meant delivering value incrementally, reducing risk, and allowing teams to adapt their products in real-time based on actual usage and feedback. This empowered teams to learn and adjust on the fly.
  • Leadership Modeling the Change: Under Satya Nadella’s leadership, there was a profound cultural pivot towards a “growth mindset.” Leadership actively participated in Agile ceremonies, openly discussed challenges, celebrated incremental successes, and championed transparency. This top-down commitment to vulnerability and learning reinforced the new ways of working and built trust across the organization.

The Results: Microsoft’s transformation is widely recognized for reigniting its innovation engine and solidifying its position as a cloud and software leader.

  • Exponential Release Acceleration: The release cadence for Azure, once measured in months or years, accelerated to daily or even hourly deployments for some services, allowing them to compete fiercely and effectively.
  • Superior Product Quality & Relevance: Continuous testing, integration, and rapid feedback loops led to higher quality products that were consistently more aligned with customer needs.
  • Elevated Employee Engagement: Engineers reported vastly improved morale, feeling more connected to the product, the customer, and the impact of their work. The ability to see their code deployed and used quickly was a massive motivator.
  • A Culture of Continuous Learning: Beyond metrics, Microsoft successfully instilled a culture of experimentation, embracing failure as a learning opportunity, and fostering a relentless drive for improvement across its vast engineering organization.

Key Takeaways from Microsoft:

  1. DevOps is More Than Tools: It’s a cultural imperative that bridges development and operations for faster, higher-quality delivery.
  2. Customer Proximity is Power: Direct and continuous customer feedback empowers teams and ensures relevance.
  3. Leadership Must Lead By Example: A growth mindset, transparency, and active participation from the top are non-negotiable for large-scale change.

The Human Element: The True North of Agile Success

What these remarkable case studies unequivocally demonstrate is that successful Agile transformation is never purely about adopting methodologies or implementing new tools. These are merely enablers. The true alchemy happens when organizations embrace the human element – when they empower their people, foster deep psychological safety, build unwavering trust, and cultivate an environment where continuous learning, radical collaboration, and unwavering customer-centricity are not just preached, but deeply ingrained in every interaction.

When you genuinely commit to understanding your employees, listening to your customers, and creating the conditions for people to do their absolute best work, that’s when agility transcends a buzzword and becomes a sustainable, formidable competitive advantage. It’s not just about doing Agile; it’s about being Agile, mind, body, and soul. And that, my friends, is the only transformation worth pursuing in our increasingly complex world.

Extra Extra: Futurology is not fortune telling. Futurists use a scientific approach to create their deliverables, but a methodology and tools like those in FutureHacking™ can empower anyone to engage in futurology themselves.

Image credit: Pexels

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Feedback Mechanisms for Continuous Improvement

Feedback Mechanisms for Continuous Improvement

GUEST POST from Art Inteligencia

In the dynamic landscape of modern business, the only constant is change. Organizations that thrive are not those that resist this tide, but rather those that embrace it, leveraging agility and adaptability as their core strengths. At the heart of this adaptive capacity lies a robust system of feedback mechanisms – the circulatory system that delivers vital information, enabling continuous improvement, innovation, and sustained growth.

Many organizations understand the theoretical importance of feedback, yet struggle to implement effective, actionable systems. It’s not enough to simply ask for opinions; true continuous improvement requires a deliberate, multi-faceted approach to gathering, analyzing, and acting upon insights from every corner of the enterprise and beyond. This article will delve into the critical role of well-designed feedback mechanisms, explore various types, and provide practical considerations for implementation, illustrated with compelling case studies.

The Imperative of Effective Feedback: Fueling Human-Centered Progress

Why are feedback mechanisms so crucial? Beyond mere data collection, they serve several vital functions that directly impact people and performance:

  • Early Warning System: Identify issues, risks, and emerging problems before they escalate into crises, protecting both operational flow and employee well-being.
  • Innovation Catalyst: Uncover new ideas, unmet needs, and opportunities for product, service, or process enhancement, often bubbling up from frontline insights.
  • Performance Enhancement: Provide data-driven insights for optimizing individual, team, and organizational performance, fostering a culture of learning and growth.
  • Employee Engagement & Empowerment: Foster a culture where employees feel heard, valued, and empowered to contribute to positive change, enhancing psychological safety and ownership.
  • Customer Centricity: Ensure that products and services truly meet customer expectations and evolving demands, leading to stronger loyalty and advocacy.
  • Strategic Alignment: Offer insights into whether current strategies are effective and guide necessary adjustments, ensuring the organization remains on course with its human and business objectives.

Without effective feedback, organizations operate in a vacuum, making decisions based on assumptions rather than reality. This leads to stagnation, declining market relevance, and a workforce that feels disengaged and unvalued.

Diverse Avenues for Feedback: A Holistic View

Effective feedback comes in many forms, both formal and informal. A holistic approach incorporates a blend of mechanisms, tailored to specific objectives, and recognizing that different insights come from different sources:

  • Direct Customer Feedback: Surveys (NPS, CSAT, CES), focus groups, interviews, user testing, online reviews, social media monitoring, customer support interactions – understanding the external pulse.
  • Employee Feedback: Pulse surveys, engagement surveys, 360-degree feedback, skip-level meetings, suggestion boxes (digital and physical), town halls, one-on-one reviews, internal social platforms – empowering the internal voice.
  • Process Feedback: Kaizen events, Gemba walks, A/B testing, process audits, performance metrics, defect tracking, root cause analysis – optimizing the ‘how’.
  • Partner/Supplier Feedback: Regular reviews, performance evaluations, collaborative workshops – strengthening the ecosystem.
  • Market & Competitor Intelligence: Market research reports, competitive analysis, industry trends, analyst briefings – understanding the broader environment.
  • Data Analytics: Web analytics, sales data, operational data, IoT data – interpreting patterns to reveal often hidden, quantitative insights.

The key is not just collecting data, but connecting the dots across these diverse sources to form a comprehensive picture, allowing for more informed, human-centered decisions.

Case Study 1: Adobe’s “Kickbox” for Intrapreneurship

Adobe, a software giant, faced the challenge of fostering internal innovation and combating the “brain drain” of talented employees leaving to start their own ventures. They recognized that traditional top-down innovation processes were too slow and stifling. Their solution was the “Kickbox” program. Each employee who applies and is accepted receives a literal red box containing a pre-paid credit card (worth $1,000), a 6-step innovation guide, and other tools. The idea is to empower employees with a small budget and a structured process to explore their own innovative ideas without layers of approval. The feedback mechanism here is inherent: employees are directly encouraged to develop and test ideas. The results (or lack thereof) from their Kickbox projects provide immediate, actionable feedback on the viability of concepts, and the program itself provides feedback on the company’s ability to foster grassroots innovation. This bottom-up, human-centered approach allows Adobe to tap into a vast pool of creativity and quickly identify promising new directions, fostering a culture of continuous experimentation and improvement driven by direct employee insights and autonomy.

Case Study 2: Toyota’s Andon Cord System

Toyota’s legendary production system is a prime example of continuous improvement fueled by immediate feedback. A cornerstone is the “Andon Cord.” In a Toyota factory, any worker on the assembly line can pull the Andon cord if they spot a defect or an anomaly. When the cord is pulled, the line stops, and supervisors and team members immediately swarm to address the problem. This isn’t just about stopping production; it’s about identifying the root cause of the problem, fixing it, and implementing measures to prevent recurrence. The feedback is instant, visible, and empowers every single employee to act as a quality control agent and problem-solver. This immediate feedback loop ensures that small issues are caught before they become large ones, driving relentless improvement in quality, efficiency, and safety. It reinforces a culture where problems are seen as opportunities for learning, not something to hide, profoundly trusting the human element on the shop floor.

Implementing Effective Feedback Mechanisms: Key Considerations

Simply deploying a survey or installing an Andon cord isn’t enough. For feedback mechanisms to truly drive continuous improvement, especially in a human-centered way, consider the following:

  • Clarity of Purpose: What specific insights are you seeking? How will the feedback be used? Communicate this clearly to build trust and encourage relevant input.
  • Accessibility and Ease of Use: Make it effortless for individuals to provide feedback. Reduce friction points – whether it’s an intuitive digital interface or clear physical drop-off points.
  • Timeliness: Collect feedback frequently and act on it promptly. Stale feedback loses its value and can breed cynicism.
  • Anonymity and Trust: For sensitive topics, ensure mechanisms that protect anonymity to encourage honest input. Crucially, build a culture of psychological safety where feedback is welcomed, not feared.
  • Actionability: This is perhaps the most crucial. Feedback without action is demoralizing. Dedicate resources to analyze feedback and implement tangible changes.
  • Communication Loop Closure: Inform those who provided feedback about what actions were taken as a result. This reinforces the value of their input, builds trust, and encourages future participation.
  • Integration: Connect feedback data across different systems (e.g., CRM, HRIS, project management tools) to gain a holistic view and identify cross-functional insights.
  • Leadership Buy-in & Modeling: Leaders must not only champion the feedback process but also actively model receptive behavior, thanking individuals for input and visibly acting on insights.

Overcoming Common Feedback Challenges

  • Feedback Fatigue: Keep feedback mechanisms concise and targeted. Don’t over-survey. Vary methods.
  • Analysis Paralysis: Prioritize insights. Start with small, actionable changes. Don’t try to fix everything at once.
  • Fear of Reprisal: Emphasize anonymity where appropriate and consistently demonstrate that feedback leads to positive change, not punishment.
  • Lack of Follow-Through: Assign ownership for acting on feedback and clearly communicate progress.

Conclusion

In an era defined by rapid change, the ability to continuously learn and adapt is the ultimate competitive advantage. Feedback mechanisms are not mere administrative tools; they are the strategic enablers of organizational agility, innovation, and resilience. By intentionally designing, implementing, and acting upon diverse feedback streams – with a genuine commitment to the human beings providing and benefiting from that feedback – organizations can cultivate a vibrant culture of continuous improvement. This ensures they not only survive but truly thrive in the face of evolving challenges and opportunities. Stop waiting. Embrace feedback not as a chore, but as the essential oxygen that fuels your organization’s journey of progress and unlocks its full human potential. Your next breakthrough might just be waiting in a piece of uncollected feedback.

Extra Extra: Futurology is not fortune telling. Futurists use a scientific approach to create their deliverables, but a methodology and tools like those in FutureHacking™ can empower anyone to engage in futurology themselves.

Image credit: Unsplash

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The Phoenix Checklist – Strategies for Innovation and Regeneration

The Phoenix Checklist - Strategies for Innovation and Regeneration

GUEST POST from Teresa Spangler

The general who wins the battle makes many calculations in his temple before the battle is fought.”   Sun Tzu

As reference I love using Michael Michalko book, Thinkertoys. It’s been on my shelf since first released in the 1991, especially in the most challenging times. This book has gotten me and my businesses through 2 gulf wars, 9/11/01 economic aftermath, 2008/9 deep recession and even good times where innovation felt no need.

In chapter 14, Phoenix, he shares the CIA’s checklist for dissecting and solving critical problems. BUT don’t just use this for tackling a problem, use it to help you design new business models, new revenue models, innovating a new product… the checklist applies to scenario planning and breaking down opportunities into manageable strategies to execute new ideas, processes and products.

It’s a strategy used and touted by experts over and over again and it works: The Phoenix Checklist Strategy. Challenging your own assumptions every minute of the day is not a bad thing right now. Putting a framework around how best to challenge your team and build stronger more reliable assumptions and plans is a great idea. I am sure there are strategies already at play and that too is a great thing. What more could be done today that you are not already doing? Maybe this is a great basis for the first question you want to answer using the Central Intelligence Agency’s (CIA) trusted Phoenix checklist.

Below is the Phoenix Checklist but broken down in the way we at Plazabridge Group use the tool for innovating new ideas and solving critical issues for our clients.

>Start here: Can you imagine the result if you solve the problem?

Illusion licensed from iStock by PlazaBridge GroupGet those creative juices flowing.

What do you see?

What’s the first thing you see?

What’s the 2nd thing you see?

I. Define the problem– The first stage is to tackle the checklist.

Below are the Typical questions we ask and may have answers for… but go deeper!

  • Why is it necessary to solve the problem?
  • What benefits do you get by solving the problem?
  • What are the unknown factors?
  • Have you encountered this problem before?
  • What data do we have to help us dissect the problem down into smaller pieces?

We often fail to go deeper into defining the challenges to be solved or opportunities to create Go deeper questions:

  • What are you not yet understanding?
  • What information do you have?
  • What is not the problem?
  • Is the information you have sufficient? Insufficient? Superfluous? Contradictory?
  • Can you describe the problem in a chart?
  • Where is the limit for the problem?
  • Can you distinguish the different parts of the problem? Can you write them down? What are the relationships between the different parts of the problem? What is common to the different problem areas?

Then go even deeper exploration:

  • Have you seen this problem in a slightly different form? Do you know a related issue?
  • Try to think of a familiar problem with the same or similar unknown factors.
  • Suppose you find a problem similar to yours that has already been resolved. Can you use it? Can you use the same method?
  • Can you reformulate your problem? How many different ways can you reformulate it? More generally? More specifically? Can the rules change?
  • What are the best, worst and most likely outcomes you can imagine?

Designing the plan checklist:

Our team starts here cutting through most challenges or designing new opportunities we want to tackle.

What will solving this problem do for our company? Answer this question daily for two weeks. See what happens. It’s magical really!   Define, Write, chart, and visualize every step of the way. Assign roles to each member of the team to tackle component outcomes of the exploration.

  • How will you solve the whole problem? Can you break the problem down?
  • How much of the unknown can you influence?
  • Can you deduce something useful from the information you have?
  • Have you used all available information?
  • Have you taken into account all the essential factors in the problem?
  • Can you identify the steps in the problem-solving process? Can you determine the accuracy of each step?
    • Draw these out –
    • Then redraw them
    • And again
  • What creative techniques can you use to generate ideas? How many different techniques?
    • After exploring creative techniques go back to the previous bullet point and draw out the steps again.
    • Then again
    • And yes ONE MORE MAGICAL time

Imagine again the results in the perfect world! What would the results be, look like, feel to everyone in the company, to you and to your customers?

  • Can you imagine the result? How many different types of results can imagine?
  • How many different ways can you try to solve the problem?
  • What have others done?
  • Can you intuitively see the solution? Can you check the result?
  • What should be done? How should it be done?
  • Where, when and by whom should it be done?
  • What do you need to do right now?
  • Who will be responsible for what?

Now what? Can you do more with the plan?

  • Can you use this problem to resolve any other issues?
  • What are the unique qualities that make this problem what it is and nothing else?
  • Which milestones can best highlight your progress?
  • How do you know when you are successful?

This last point is so very important and often left out of processes. There are stages of success. Success doesn’t happen all at once so how will you create your timeline to give any new plan a chance to succeed? Better yet, how will you know if you are not succeeding? The plan was well thought out, a lot of time was invested and possibly a lot of money! Don’t give up but in your scenario planning do know what you are watching for to say, how and where shall we adjust along the way and constantly question how to improve the plan. Give it long enough, give it a fighting chance, put your top minds in the company on these challenges and opportunities.

Create your opportunity team of diverse thinkers! They are your innovators.

Create your action team! They are your executors!

Now you are ready for the next challenge or opportunity. Start at the top and repeat.

Original Article

Image credits: iStockPhoto (purchased by the author)

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Involving Employees in Decision-Making Processes

Involving Employees in Decision-Making Processes

GUEST POST from Art Inteligencia

In the rapidly evolving landscape of 2025, the traditional top-down organizational structure is increasingly becoming a relic of the past. Organizations that thrive are those that recognize their most valuable asset isn’t their technology or their capital, but their people. And for people to truly be an asset, they must be empowered, engaged, and intimately involved in the decisions that shape their work and the future of the enterprise.

For decades, I’ve championed the cause of human-centered innovation. My message has consistently been that true innovation doesn’t happen in a vacuum, nor does it emerge solely from a corner office. It bubbles up from the collective intelligence, diverse perspectives, and lived experiences of every individual within an organization. This is why involving employees in decision-making processes isn’t just a “nice-to-have”; it’s a strategic imperative for resilience, agility, and sustained competitive advantage.

Why the Time is Now: The Unarguable Case for Empowerment

The arguments for employee involvement are stronger than ever. The velocity of change demands faster, more informed decisions. The complexity of modern business challenges often outstrips the capacity of a small leadership team to fully grasp. When you bring your entire workforce into the decision-making fold, you unlock a cascade of benefits that are simply non-negotiable for future success:

  • Enhanced Decision Quality: Diverse perspectives lead to a more comprehensive understanding of problems and a wider array of potential solutions. Those closest to the work often possess the most accurate, granular insights.
  • Increased Buy-in and Implementation Success: When employees are integral to crafting the solution, they inherently own it. This dramatically reduces resistance to change, accelerates adoption, and embeds solutions deeply within the operational fabric.
  • Boosted Employee Engagement and Morale: Feeling valued, heard, and impactful is a fundamental human need. Involvement fosters a profound sense of purpose, psychological safety, and belonging, creating a truly vibrant workplace.
  • Improved Innovation and Problem-Solving: A culture of authentic participation naturally encourages creative thinking, challenges the status quo, and cultivates a proactive, solution-oriented approach to identifying and addressing complex challenges.
  • Reduced Turnover: Empowered employees are happier, more fulfilled employees. They are significantly more likely to stay with an organization that respects their intelligence, values their contributions, and invests in their growth.

Beyond the Suggestion Box: Practical Approaches for Leaders

So, how do organizations move beyond token gestures and truly integrate employees into decision-making? It requires a fundamental shift in mindset from control to collaboration, and a steadfast commitment to structured, intentional processes. For leaders, this means:

  1. Cultivating Radical Transparency: Lay the groundwork by openly sharing context, challenges, and strategic goals. Employees can only contribute meaningfully if they understand the big picture. Transparency builds trust and enables truly informed contributions.
  2. Empowering Cross-Functional Teams and Task Forces: For specific projects or complex problems, convene diverse teams with representatives from all affected departments and levels. Grant these teams genuine autonomy to research, analyze, propose solutions, and even execute pilot programs.
  3. Leveraging Democratic Idea Generation Platforms: Utilize modern digital platforms (like enterprise social networks, dedicated innovation portals, or AI-powered ideation tools) where employees can submit ideas, collaboratively refine them, and democratically vote on their merit. This democratizes innovation.
  4. Implementing Participatory Budgeting: Involve teams or departments in decisions about how their operational budgets are allocated. This fosters a heightened sense of accountability, strategic thinking, and ownership at every level.
  5. Hosting Open Forums and Deliberative Dialogues: Create regular, facilitated opportunities for two-way dialogue between leadership and employees. These aren’t just Q&A sessions; they’re platforms for inviting challenging questions, candid feedback, and strategic suggestions on key organizational directions.
  6. Embracing “Wisdom of Crowds” Methodologies: For complex, high-stakes decisions, engage a representative sample of employees in structured deliberative polling exercises. This scientifically-backed approach gauges collective sentiment, uncovers hidden insights, and can often predict outcomes more accurately than small expert groups.

Case Study 1: “AgileSphere Innovations” – Redefining Product Roadmap for a Hyper-Competitive Market

AgileSphere Innovations, a leading enterprise software provider, faced a common challenge in 2023: their product roadmap was often perceived as being dictated by a few senior executives, leading to internal misalignment, delayed feature adoption, and occasional missed market opportunities in an increasingly competitive landscape.

Instead of the usual top-down annual planning cycle, AgileSphere launched “Co-Create the Future.” They implemented a quarterly “Innovation Sprint” where every employee, regardless of role or seniority, was invited to submit product feature ideas, improvements, and even entirely new product concepts. These ideas were then collaboratively refined, discussed, and voted upon within an internal, gamified ideation platform. The top 50 ideas would then be pitched in a company-wide virtual “Shark Tank” style event, judged by a diverse panel of executives and randomly selected employees. The winning ideas directly influenced the next quarter’s product roadmap, with allocated resources and dedicated, self-organizing teams formed around them.

Outcome: Within 18 months, AgileSphere reported a remarkable 30% increase in employee engagement scores related to “feeling heard” and “impact on company direction.” Crucially, three of their most successful product launches in 2024 originated directly from employee submissions through this process, including a groundbreaking AI-powered analytics dashboard that captured significant market share, validating the power of collective intelligence.

Case Study 2: “EcoHarvest Foods” – Optimizing Supply Chain Resilience in a Volatile World

EcoHarvest Foods, a sustainable food distributor operating across North America, experienced significant and costly disruptions in their supply chain during the global events of the early 2020s. Recognizing that the frontline workers in their warehouses, logistics, and procurement departments held invaluable operational knowledge often overlooked, they initiated “The Ground Up Initiative” in late 2022.

This initiative involved creating regional “Resilience Circles” – self-managing, cross-functional groups of 8-12 employees who met bi-weekly. Their mandate was to identify supply chain vulnerabilities, propose alternative sourcing strategies, and streamline internal processes. These circles were given genuine autonomy to pilot small-scale improvements and report their findings directly to a senior leadership steering committee. EcoHarvest also implemented a “Reverse Mentoring” program, where younger, digitally native employees mentored senior leaders on emerging technologies like blockchain for traceability and AI for demand forecasting, bridging critical knowledge gaps.

Outcome: By mid-2024, EcoHarvest Foods had reduced supply chain lead times by an average of 15% and diversified their critical supplier base by 25%, significantly enhancing their resilience against future disruptions. The initiative also led to a 10% reduction in operational waste through employee-identified process efficiencies, proving that empowering those closest to the problem leads to tangible, bottom-line results and a more sustainable enterprise.

Navigating the Path: Addressing Challenges and Empowering Leaders

While the benefits are clear, implementing broad employee involvement isn’t without its challenges. Leaders must be prepared to address:

  • Fear of Ceding Control: This is perhaps the biggest hurdle. Leaders must understand that empowering doesn’t mean losing control, but rather amplifying influence through shared ownership.
  • Information Overload: As more voices contribute, managing the influx of information requires robust digital tools and clear facilitation processes.
  • Ensuring Equitable Participation: Not everyone is comfortable speaking up. Leaders need to actively foster an inclusive environment where all voices feel safe and encouraged to contribute, leveraging anonymous feedback channels where appropriate.
  • Managing Expectations: Not every idea can be implemented. Transparent communication about why certain decisions are made, even when an employee’s specific idea isn’t chosen, is crucial.
  • Decision Fatigue: While involvement is good, not every decision requires broad consensus. Leaders must discern when broad input is vital versus when efficient, executive decision-making is necessary.

For leaders, this shift requires new muscles: active listening, empathetic facilitation, skillful synthesis of diverse inputs, and a genuine belief in the wisdom of their collective workforce. Invest in leadership development that focuses on coaching, collaboration, and building psychological safety.

Your Next Step: Ignite the Power Within

The future belongs to the organizations that democratize decision-making. Don’t wait for a crisis to realize the untapped potential within your workforce. Begin today by identifying one key decision area where employee input could be transformative. Open the dialogue. Trust your people. And watch as engagement soars, innovation accelerates, and your organization becomes truly future-proof. The journey to a human-centered enterprise starts with empowering every voice.

Extra Extra: Futurology is not fortune telling. Futurists use a scientific approach to create their deliverables, but a methodology and tools like those in FutureHacking™ can empower anyone to engage in futurology themselves.

Image credit: Pixabay

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‘Fail Fast’ is BS. Do This Instead

'Fail Fast' is BS. Do This Instead

GUEST POST from Robyn Bolton

“Fail Fast”

It’s an innovation mantra uttered by everyone, from an entry-level programmer at a start-up to a Fortune 100 CEO.

But let’s be honest.

NO ONE WANTS TO FAIL!

(at any speed)

The reality is that we work in companies that reward success and relentlessly encourage us to become great at a specific skill, role, or function. As a result, our natural and rational aversion to failure is amplified, and most of us won’t even start something if there’s a chance that we won’t be great at it right away.

It’s why, despite your best efforts to encourage your team to take risks and embrace “failure,” nothing changes.

A Story of Failure?

A few weeks ago, while on vacation, I dusted off an old copy of Drawing on the Right Side of the Brain by Betty Edwards. As a kid, I was reasonably good at drawing, so I wasn’t worried about being bad, just rusty.

Then I read the first exercise: Before beginning instruction, draw each of the following:

  • “A Person, Drawn from Memory”
  • “Self-Portrait”
  • “My Hand”

I stared at the page. Thoughts raced through my head:

  • You have to be kidding me! These are the three most challenging things to draw. Even for a professional!
  • How am I supposed to do this without instructions?
  • Maybe I’ll skip this step, read the rest of the book to get the instructions I need, then come back and try this once I have all the information.
  • Forget it. I’m not doing this.

Confronted by not one but THREE things to be bad at, I was ready to quit.

Then I took a deep breath, picked up my trusty #2 pencil, and started to draw.

The results were terrible.

A Story of Success

It would be easy to look at my drawings and declare them a failure – my husband is missing his upper lip, I look like a witch straight out of Grimm’s Fairy Tales, and the thumb on my left hand is the same length as my index finger.

But I didn’t fail*.

I started

I did my best

I learned a lot

I did better the next time.

By these standards, my first attempts were a success**

Ask for what you want

Isn’t that what you want your team to do?

To stop analyzing and posturing and start doing.

To do their best with what they have and know now, instead of worrying about all the possibilities.

To admit their mistakes and share their learnings.

To respond to what they learned, even if it means shutting down a project, and keep growing.

Ask them to do those things.

Ask them to “Learn fast.”

Your people want to learn. They want to get smarter and do better. Encourage that.

Ask them to keep learning.

Your team will forget that their first attempt will be uncomfortable and their first result terrible. That’s how learning starts. It’s called “growing pains,” not “growing tickles,” for a reason.

Ask them to share what they learned.

Your team will want to hide their mistakes, but that doesn’t make anyone better or wiser. Sharing what they did and what they learned makes everyone better. Reward them for it.

Ask the team what’s next

It’s not enough to learn one thing quickly. You need to keep learning. Your team is in the trenches, and they know what works, what doesn’t, and why. Ask for their opinions, listen carefully, discuss, and decide together what to learn next.

You don’t want your team to fail.

You want them to succeed.

Ask them to do what’s necessary to achieve that

“Act Now. Learn Fast.”

*Achieving perfect (or even realistic) results on my first attempt is impossible. You can’t fail at something impossible

** To be clear, I’m not making a case for “participation trophies.”  You gotta do more than just show up (or read the book). You gotta do the work. But remember, sometimes success is simply starting.

Image Credit: Unsplash

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How To Attract, Grow and Retain Your Best Employees

How To Attract, Grow and Retain Your Best Employees

GUEST POST from Shep Hyken

In a recent article, Why Employees Stay, I shared seven reasons why employees would want to continue working for a company. No. 5 on the list was that the company offers career growth and promotes from within. Let’s unpack that one, as it seems to be a top reason some companies are able to attract and keep good employees.

There are two parts to this idea. Growth and promotions. They don’t always go together.

1. Growth

Growth comes from training and on-the-job experience. Employees like to grow their skills, knowledge and capabilities. Even though good employees may come to the job with certain skills, they are often onboarded with training. In some cases, the training takes weeks—even months.

Zappos.com, the online retailer known for its stellar customer service, puts new employees through four weeks of training. “The whole point of the four weeks is to build relationships and make sure you’re comfortable in your role,” says corporate trainer Stephanie Hudec.

That’s four weeks before the employee is actually ready to do the job. That’s a hefty investment of time, energy and dollars, just to get someone “game ready” for their job. Or is it?

Zappos built its reputation with an emphasis on customer service. Putting someone in a customer-facing role who isn’t properly trained and ready could diminish the brand’s reputation.

But the training isn’t a one-and-done effort during the onboarding process. Employees are looking to grow. A few weeks in the beginning gets them to a level of proficiency for their current role, but many want more. They want to add to existing capabilities.

2. Promotions

Promotions are career opportunities within the company. It’s obvious that someone who has been at their job for months will be far better than the first day they started. They have to learn the system and processes, adapt their skills and abilities to their responsibilities, and more. Day one is the beginning of “ramping up” to a place where the employee is meeting the employer’s expectations. And then they go beyond.

Often, growth occurs due to training and education. Employees are trained, and the result is that they get better, smarter and more capable. But it takes something more, and that comes from the employee. The employee who is intent on growing must also take initiative and push themselves to grow to the next level.

Employers need to recognize this growth in both capabilities and initiative and take advantage of it, moving that employee through the ranks. Companies that are known for “promoting from within” are very appealing to employees. They attract good people and are better at getting them to stay.

Starting At the Bottom

We’ve all heard of “rags to riches” type stories of employees starting at the bottom in the mailroom and ending up in the boardroom. Some executives who started in the mailroom of their respective companies:

  • George Bodenheimer, president of ESPN
  • Dick Grasso, former New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) chairman
  • Krista Bourne, COO of Verizon

Maybe all three of these executives had ambitions to be successful from the beginning, but did any of them ever think they would be in the boardroom after starting their careers in the mailroom? Maybe, maybe not. But they didn’t get to those positions on their own. It’s important to recognize that employees who went to work in the mailroom and grew into important roles in their organizations didn’t get there on their own. They had training, great managers, caring coaches and helpful mentors.

There are plenty of stories of successful executives starting at the bottom. Many of them move and grow from company to company. Recognize that a chance to grow is important to today’s employees. A company that invests in the continuous growth of skills (customer service, leadership, technical, etc.) is better at recruiting new employees and keeping existing employees, but not always forever. Yes, in the perfect world, this growth would coincide with promotion opportunities inside the company, but it doesn’t have to. Just know you may be “growing” the employee to move on if you don’t move them up.

This article originally appeared on Forbes

Image Credit: Shep Hyken

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Why Data-Based Decisions Will Lead You Straight to Hell

Why Data-Based Decisions Will Lead You Straight to Hell

GUEST POST from Robyn Bolton

Many years ago, Clay Christensen visited his firm where I was a partner and told us a story*.

“I imagine the day I die and present myself at the entrance to Heaven,” he said. “The Lord will show me around, and the beauty and majesty will overcome me. Eventually, I will notice that there are no numbers or data in Heaven, and I will ask the Lord why that is.”

“Data lies,” the Lord will respond. “Nothing that lies can be in Heaven. So, if people want data, I tell them to go to Hell.”

We all chuckled at the punchline and at the strength of the language Clay used (if you ever met him, you know that he was an incredibly gentle and soft-spoken man, so using the phrase “go to Hell” was the equivalent of your parents unleashing a five-minute long expletive-laden rant).

“If you want data, go to Hell.”

Clay’s statement seems absolutely blasphemous, especially in a society that views quantitative data as the ultimate source of truth:

  • “In God we trust. All others bring data.” W. Edward Deming, founding Father of Total Quality Management (TQM)
  •  “Above all else, show the data.” – Edward R. Tufte, a pioneer in the field of data visualization
  • “What gets measured gets managed” – Peter Drucker, father of modern management studies

But it’s not entirely wrong.

Quantitative Data’s blessing: A sense of safety

As humans, we crave certainty and safety. This was true millennia ago when we needed to know whether the rustling in the leaves was the wind or a hungry predator preparing to leap and tear us limb from lime. And it’s true today when we must make billion-dollar decisions about buying companies, launching products, and expanding into new geographies.

We rely on data about company valuation and cash flow, market size and growth, and competitor size and strategy to make big decisions, trusting that it is accurate and will continue to be true for the foreseeable future.

Quantitative Data’s curse: The past does not predict the future

As leaders navigating an increasingly VUCA world, we know we must prepare for multiple scenarios, operate with agility, and be willing to pivot when change happens.

Yet we rely on data that describes the past.

We can extrapolate it, build forecasts, and create models, but the data will never tell us with certainty what will happen in the future. It can’t even tell us the Why (drivers, causal mechanisms) behind the What it describes.

The Answer: And not Or

Quantitative data Is useful. It gives us the sense of safety we need to operate in a world of uncertainty and a starting point from which to imagine the future(s).

But, it is not enough to give the clarity or confidence we need to make decisions leading to future growth and lasting competitive advantage.

To make those decisions, we need quantitative data AND qualitative insights.

We need numbers and humans.

Qualitative Insight’s blessing: A view into the future

Humans are the source of data. Our beliefs, motivations, aspirations, and actions are tracked and measured, and turned into numbers that describe what we believed, wanted, and did in the past.

By understanding human beliefs, motivations, and aspirations (and capturing them as qualitative insights), we gain insight into why we believed, wanted, and did those things and, as a result, how those beliefs, motivations, aspirations, and actions could change and be changed. With these insights, we can develop strategies and plans to change or maintain beliefs and motivations and anticipate and prepare for events that could accelerate or hinder our goals. And yes, these insights can be quantified.

Qualitative Insight’s curse: We must be brave

When discussing the merit of pursuing or applying qualitative research, it’s not uncommon for someone to trot out the saying (erroneously attributed to Henry Ford), “If I asked people what they wanted, they would have said a horse that goes twice as fast and eats half as much.”

Pushing against that assertion requires you to be brave. To let go of your desire for certainty and safety, take a risk, and be intellectually brave.

Being brave is hard. Staying safe is easy. It’s rational. It’s what any reasonable person would do. But safe, rational, and reasonable people rarely change the world.

One more story

In 1980, McKinsey predicted that the worldwide market for cell phones would max out at 900,000 subscribers. They based this prediction on solid data, analyzed by some of the most intelligent people in business. The data and resulting recommendations made sense when presented to AT&T, McKinsey’s client.

Five years later, there were 340,213 subscribers, and McKinsey looked pretty smart. In 1990, there were 5.3 million subscribers, almost 6x McKinsey’s prediction.   In 1994, there were 24.1M subscribers in the US alone (27x McKinsey’s global forecast), and AT&T was forced to pay $12.6B to acquire McCaw Cellular.

Should AT&T have told McKinsey to “go to Hell?”  No.

Should AT&T have thanked McKinsey for going to (and through) Hell to get the data, then asked whether they swung by earth to talk to humans and understand their Jobs to be Done around communication? Yes.

Because, as Box founder Aaron Levie reminds us,

“Sizing the market for a disruptor based on an incumbent’s market is like sizing a car industry off how many horses there were in 1910.”

* Except for the last line, these probably (definitely) weren’t his exact words, but they are an accurate representation of what I remember him saying

Image Credit: Pixabay

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This 9-Box Grid Can Help Grow Your Best Future Talent

This 9-Box Grid Can Help Grow Your Best Future Talent

GUEST POST from Soren Kaplan

Hiring good people is tough. Retaining your best talent can be equally challenging. In today’s disruptive world, competitive advantage relies as much on people as it does technology.

So, how do you objectively know which people are your all-stars, especially in a bigger organization? And not just the best talent today, but the best for the future?

I originally wrote this article for my Inc. Magazine column. My team at Praxie.com created an online 9-Box app and I was stunned at how much interest there was from across industries for this solution.

Keeping & Growing Talent is Today’s Name of the Game

Just as it’s easier and cheaper to retain customers than to acquire new ones, the same goes for employees. Knowing who your current and future all-stars are helps you keep them and gives you the opportunity to help them grow into more strategic roles.

The 9-box talent grid categorizes your people into nine categories. The grid contains two axes, performance and potential, each of which includes three levels each: low, moderate, and high. When you match up the categories on the axes, you get nine boxes that become classifications.

Categorizing people helps reveal who’s contributing the most now, and who will likely contribute the most in the future:

  1. Stars (High Potential, High Performance): Consistently high performance with high potential. Will likely become part of the future leadership team.
  2. High Potentials (High Potential, Moderate Performance): Solid performance overall with high potential to grow. Will most likely advance in current or future roles and may become part of the future leadership team.
  3. Enigmas (High Potential, Low Performance): While high potential, challenges exist in performance that may require additional support or training and development.
  4. High Performer (Moderate Potential, High Performance): Consistently high performance with solid potential to advance in current role and future positions with the right opportunity.
  5. Key Player (Moderate Potential, Moderate Performance): Overall good performance and potential with additional support and opportunities to grow.
  6. Inconsistent Player (Moderate Potential, Low Performance): Low performance and moderate potential require additional support and training to validate growth opportunity.
  7. Workhorses (Low Potential, High Performance): Highly effective performance yet may have peaked in terms of potential so coaching or training may help elevate potential.
  8. Backups (Low Potential, Moderate Performance): Decent performance and an asset but may not become a more significant contributor.
  9. Bad Hires (Low Potential, Low Performance): Low performance coupled with low potential means re-evaluating overall role in organization.

The team at Praxie.com has made the 9-Box application available to try to free.

9 Box Example

Shoot for the Stars

The easiest way is to assign people to the categories is based on your experience working with them. Or, if you’re in a larger organization, collect inputs from managers and aggregate the results.

Here’s how it works: The CEO of an organization works with their HR director to collect inputs from managers within the sales department. Twenty-five sales representatives are mapped into the nine boxes. The results are used to provide additional incentives, identify people for leadership development programs, and promote individual reps to managers for new territories.

The 9-box grid provides a snapshot in time. Use the tool to continually assess and reassess your talent. You’ll see some people move up and to the right while others may stay stagnant. Use these trends to help people grow. It won’t improve just your organizational culture. It will also improve your business.

Image credits: Praxie.com

This article was originally published on Inc.com and has been syndicated for this blog.

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How Consensus Kills Innovation

How Consensus Kills Innovation

GUEST POST from Greg Satell

“I hate consensus,” legendary Silicon Valley coach Bill Campbell used to growl. The problem, as the authors explain in the book, Trillion Dollar Coach, wasn’t that he didn’t want people to get along, but that an easy consensus often leads to groupthink and inferior decisions. It’s often just easier to fall in line than to engage in vigorous debate.

Research bears this out. In one study where college students were asked to solve a murder mystery, homogenous groups that formed an easy consensus felt more successful, but actually performed worse than more diverse teams that argued and voiced different viewpoints. When everybody agrees, nobody questions.

Make no mistake. If an idea is big enough, some people aren’t going to like it. Some will argue against it passionately and others may even try and actively undermine it. Yet rather than working to silence those voices, we need to learn to bring them to the fore. That’s how we can test our assumptions, consider other alternatives and, ultimately, come up with better ideas.

The Dangers of Consensus

Whenever the Harlem Globetrotters play the Washington Generals, there’s no doubt what the outcome will be, because the point isn’t to have a genuine contest. The games are essentially theatre set up to entertain the audience. All too often, we set up meetings in very much the same way — designed to reach a particular conclusion for the sake of expediency.

Unfortunately, leaders have strong incentives to drive quickly toward a consensus. Listening to dissenting views takes time and energy and we want to get things done quickly and move forward. So, it’s tempting to stock the room with people who are already on board and present the idea as a fait accompli.

Even if a leader isn’t consciously designing meetings for consensus, dissenting views can get squelched. In a famous series of conformity studies done in the 1950s, it was shown that we have a strong tendency to agree with the majority opinion even if it is obviously wrong. Subsequent research has generally confirmed the findings.

The truth is that majorities don’t just rule, they also influence. We can’t count on one or two lone voices having the courage to speak up. That’s why it’s not enough to simply listen to dissenting views, we must actively seek them out.

Uncovering Dissent

The biggest mistake a leader can make is to assume that they have somehow built a culture that is so unique, and that people feel so secure that they will voice their true views. We have to design for debate—it won’t just happen on its own—and there are several techniques that can help us do that.

The first is changing meeting structure. If the most senior person in the meeting voices an opinion, others will tend to fall in line. So, starting with the most junior person and then working up will encourage more debate. Another option is to require everyone to voice an opinion, either through a document or a conversation with a senior leader, before the meeting starts.

Another strategy that is often effective is called a pre-mortem analysis. Similar to a post-mortem analysis in which you try to figure out what went wrong, in a pre-mortem you assume a project has failed in the future and try to guess what killed it. It’s a great way to surface stuff you might have missed.

A third option is to set up a red team. This is an independent group whose sole purpose is to poke holes in a plan or a project. For example, while planning the Osama bin Laden Raid, a red team was set up to look at the same evidence and try to come up with different conclusions. They were able to identify a few key weaknesses in the plan that were then corrected.

Overcoming Opposition

While opening up a healthy discussion around dissenting views helps drive innovation forward, ignoring opposition can lead to its demise. Every significant innovation represents change, which creates winners and losers. There will always be some who will be so vehemently opposed that they will try to undermine an innovation moving forward.

Since my book Cascades was published, I’ve had the opportunity to work with a number of organizations working to drive transformation and have been amazed how reticent many are to identify entrenched opposition and build a strategy to overcome it. Often, they aren’t willing to admit that opposition is relevant or even that it exists at all.

Unlike those who merely have dissenting views, but share objectives and values with the transformation team, entrenched opposition wants to stop change in its tracks. For example, as I have previously noted, it was internal opposition, chiefly from franchisees and shareholders, not a lack of strategy or imagination, that killed Blockbuster Video.

That’s why, much like dissenting views, it’s important to bring opposition to the fore. In Blockbuster’s case, there were various actions that management could have taken to mollify the opposition and address some of the concerns. That wouldn’t have guaranteed success, but it would have made it far more likely.

Innovation Must Be Led

Steve Jobs was, by all accounts, a mediocre engineer. It was his passion and vision that made Apple the most valuable company on the planet. In a similar vein, there were plenty of electric car companies before Tesla, but Elon Musk was the first who showed that the technology can succeed in the marketplace.

Can you imagine what would have happened if Jobs had the iPhone designed by a committee? Or if Musk had put Tesla’s business plan to a vote? It’s hard to see either having had much success. What we would have ended up with is a watered-down version of the initial idea.

Yet all too often, managers seek out consensus because it’s easy and comfortable. It’s much harder to build a culture of trust that can handle vigorous debate, where people are willing to voice their opinions and listen to those of others without it getting personal. That, however, is what innovative cultures do.

Big ideas are never easy. Almost by definition, they are unlikely, fraught with risk and often counterintuitive. They need champions to inspire and empower beliefs around them. That’s why leadership drives innovation and consensus often kills it.

— Article courtesy of the Digital Tonto blog
— Image credit: Pixabay

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