Category Archives: Innovation

Which Go to Market Playbook Should You Choose?

Which Go To Market Playbook Should You Choose?

GUEST POST from Geoffrey A. Moore

Life-cycle go-to-market has been the focus of much of my life’s work, and I had the opportunity to recap that experience at a recent chalk talk at the HackerDoJo in Mountain View. It turned out that most of what I had to say was captured on a single slide. For readers over the age of X, this may be familiar territory; for those under the age of Y, it may prove new.

This framework highlights four different go-to-market playbooks, each optimized for a different stage of the Technology Adoption Life Cycle. The two key takeaways are:

  1. The playbook that creates success in any given stage will under-perform at any of the other three, and
  2. The playbooks do not blend; instead, they actually undercut each other when combined.

Thus, the number one job of the go-to-market strategy-setting leader is to get the entire team aligned around one, and only one, playbook.

Now, full disclosure, because different segments of the market can be in different phases of the life cycle, a go-to-market organization can be running more than one play at the same time. What they must not do is run more than one at the same time in the same place!

The Early Market Playbook

The focus of this play is to engage with a visionary customer executive who wants to leverage disruptive technology to change the world. Because your technology has yet to be adopted, the category does not yet exist, and thus there is no budget for your product. As a result, it must be funded as a project, and the customer executive has to be senior enough to have the clout to extract the necessary funds from the enterprise’s existing resource pool. Your job is to inspire that executive, hence the emphasis on thought leadership marketing to connect your breakthrough technology to their compelling business vision. It makes for a wild ride, to be sure, but when successful, it puts your company on the map as the company that did what!?!? There still is no market, there still is no budget, but there is buzz, and that buzz is associated with you, provided, that is, that your target customer is a marquee brand that people look up to. For Salesforce in its early days, this was Merrill Lynch. For Amazon Web Services in its early days, this was the CIA. For OpenAI recently, this was Microsoft.

The Bowling Alley Playbook

This is the playbook described in Crossing the Chasm. Its focus is to engage with a pragmatic business manager who is responsible for a deteriorating business process that is causing increasing problems for their enterprise, and thus, urgently needs a fix. All the conventional approaches have been found wanting, and so this prospect is open to a disruptive approach, but only if it commits to solving its specific problem. There is budget to spend here although at present it is allocated to traditional approaches. As a result, the sales cycle begins with winning the right to redirect that spend. Sales success depends on your company demonstrating a deep understanding of the problem state followed by a clear explanation of why your technology can succeed where traditional approaches fail. Implementation success depends on bringing together a team that can solve the problem end to end, leveraging domain expertise with technological leverage, to deliver what Ted Levitt taught us to call the whole product (the minimum set of products and services needed to eliminate the problem). From a market development strategy point of view, the key is to focus on a single use case in a single industry in a single geography, the goal being to develop a congregation of successful companies that will serve as a reference base as well as a loyal customer base. That is how desktop publishing helped give birth to the Mac Faithful.

The Tornado Playbook

This is the playbook that drives The Gorilla Game, a market share land grab that catapults a single company to stratospheric valuation, dragging a cohort of close contenders in its wake, resulting in the gigantic market caps that motivate early-stage venture capital investing. It is triggered by a tipping point in the adoption life cycle when pragmatic customers’ resistance to early adoption is overcome by their fear of missing out. In a flash, the new paradigm becomes the new mandate—we must have mobile apps, we must transition to cloud computing, we must procure software as a service. Budgets sprout up everywhere like mushrooms, and they are there for the picking. All this rewards a “Just win, baby” approach to go-to-market, characterized by as broad a coverage model as possible combined with highly disciplined sales tactics. RFPs (Requests for Proposals) are prevalent, driving both pilot projects and bake-offs, with marketing focusing primarily on competitive differentiation and pricing discounts. Importantly, whichever vendor wins the first pick becomes that customer’s incumbent, giving it privileged access to future purchases. Just as importantly, if one company becomes the clear market share leader, then the ecosystem of supporting companies rallies around it, elevating its competitive advantage to gorilla status.

The Main Street Playbook

This is the playbook that drives sustained earnings growth in markets that have adopted the new technology and now seek to maintain it over as long a useful lifetime as possible. At this stage, customers prefer to work with their incumbent vendors and over time to consolidate around a smaller set of integrated suites. These suites serve as platforms for ongoing innovations that are sustaining rather than disruptive, something that bores visionaries but appeals greatly to pragmatists and even more so to conservatives. In the land-and-expand as-a-service business model, we are in the expansion phase, and the growth goal is to cross-sell and up-sell new service transactions, and the earnings goal is to maximize renewals and minimize attrition. Telemetry about user adoption and feature usage is mission-critical to this effort, enabling both account managers as well as the software itself to guide the customer’s buying decisions. Product-led growth supported by self-service transactions is mission-critical for consumer applications and other user-driven offers. For enterprise sales, packaging up sets of requirements and aligning with the customer’s procurement cycle calls for the kind of account management we used to call farming and now call customer success.

Final Takeaway

Each of these playbooks makes distinctly different demands of the marketing, sales, and services teams running the go-to-market effort. People talented at one type of play may struggle with another. Our tendency as human beings is to want to stick with what we are good at, so it is usually wise to empower a new leader whenever you change playbooks.

That’s what I think. What do you think?

Image Credit: Pixabay

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How Courage and Trust are Transforming Bayer

Fewer Rules and Better Results

How Courage and Trust are Transforming Bayer

GUEST POST from Robyn Bolton

“Consider this question: If workers are hobbled by 1,000 rules, does it make a meaningful difference to reduce them to only 900?”

The answer is No.  In fact, this is precisely why most attempts at fighting bureaucracy fail – and why true transformation requires starting completely fresh.

Bill Anderson, CEO of Bayer, knows this and isn’t afraid to admit it.  When he took the helm in June 2023, he discovered a company paralyzed by bureaucracy. Instead of trying to optimize the system, he looked at the company’s “1,362 pages” of employee rules and knew the entire structure needed to change.

Breaking the Stranglehold

As Anderson stated in Fortune, “There was a time for hierarchical, command-and-control organizations – the 19th century, to be exact, when many workers were illiterate, information traveled at a snail’s pace, and strict adherence to rules offered the competitive advantage of reliability.”

The modern reality is different. Today’s Bayer employs highly skilled experts, operates at digital speed, and competes in markets where, as Anderson observes, “the most reliable companies are the most dynamic.”

The challenge wasn’t just the encyclopedic rule book. The organization’s “12 levels of hierarchy” created what Anderson called “unnecessary distance between our teams, our customers, and our products.” In today’s innovation-driven market, this industrial-age structure threatened the company’s future.

Unleashing Innovation

Anderson’s solution? “Dynamic Shared Ownership” – a radical model that puts 95% of decision-making in the hands of the people actually doing the work. Instead of annual budgets and endless approvals, self-directed teams work in 90-day sprints with the autonomy to make real-time decisions.

The results are already showing. Take Vividion, Bayer’s independently operated subsidiary. Operating in small, autonomous teams, they went from FDA approval to first patient dosing in just six weeks. They’re now on track to produce one or two new drug candidates for clinical testing every year.

Speed Becomes Reality

The impact extends across the organization. Bayer’s scientists have transformed their plant breeding process, reducing cycles from “five years down to merely four months.”

In the consumer health division, teams have accelerated their development timelines significantly, reducing product launch schedules “by up to nine months” in Asia. Within their first two months under the new system, these teams generated millions in additional value.

While financial markets remain uncertain about this transformation, one crucial metric suggests it’s working: employee retention has improved. The scientists, researchers, and product developers – the people doing the innovative work – are showing their confidence in this dramatic shift toward autonomous operation.

Why This Matters & What to do Next

For most of us, the question isn’t whether our organization has too much bureaucracy – it almost certainly does. The question is: what are you going to do about it?

Try this – Create a small, autonomous team with a 90-day mission. Give them real decision-making power and see what they can accomplish when freed from bureaucratic constraints.

Remember Anderson’s key insight: reducing rules from 1,000 to 900 won’t create meaningful change. Real transformation requires the courage to fundamentally rethink how work gets done.

For anyone who’s ever felt the soul-crushing weight of bureaucracy, Bayer’s radical reinvention offers hope. Maybe the path to innovation isn’t through better rules and processes, but through the courage to trust in human potential.

Image credit: Unsplash

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Top 10 Human-Centered Change & Innovation Articles of December 2024

Top 10 Human-Centered Change & Innovation Articles of December 2024Drum roll please…

At the beginning of each month, we will profile the ten articles from the previous month that generated the most traffic to Human-Centered Change & Innovation. Did your favorite make the cut?

But enough delay, here are December’s ten most popular innovation posts:

  1. Top Six Trends for Innovation Management in 2025 — by Jesse Nieminen
  2. Best Team Building Exercise Around — by David Burkus
  3. You Are Doing Strategic Planning Wrong (According to Seth Godin) — by Robyn Bolton
  4. Why Annual Employee Experience Audits Are Important — by Braden Kelley and Art Inteligencia
  5. Don’t ‘Follow the Science’, Follow the Scientific Method — by Pete Foley
  6. Artificial Innovation — by Braden Kelley
  7. Dynamic Thinking — by Mike Shipulski
  8. The State of Customer Experience and the Contact Center — by Shep Hyken
  9. The Duality of High-Performing Teams — by David Burkus
  10. Uber Economy is Killing Innovation, Prosperity and Entrepreneurship — by Greg Satell

BONUS – Here are five more strong articles published in November that continue to resonate with people:

If you’re not familiar with Human-Centered Change & Innovation, we publish 4-7 new articles every week built around innovation and transformation insights from our roster of contributing authors and ad hoc submissions from community members. Get the articles right in your Facebook, Twitter or Linkedin feeds too!

SPECIAL BONUS: While supplies last, you can get the hardcover version of my first bestselling book Stoking Your Innovation Bonfire for 44% OFF until Amazon runs out of stock or changes the price. This deal won’t last long, so grab your copy while it lasts!

Build a Common Language of Innovation on your team

Have something to contribute?

Human-Centered Change & Innovation is open to contributions from any and all innovation and transformation professionals out there (practitioners, professors, researchers, consultants, authors, etc.) who have valuable human-centered change and innovation insights to share with everyone for the greater good. If you’d like to contribute, please contact me.

P.S. Here are our Top 40 Innovation Bloggers lists from the last four years:

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There is Nothing Without Trust

There is Nothing Without Trust

GUEST POST from Mike Shipulski

If someone treats you badly, that’s on them. You did nothing wrong.

When you do your best and your boss tells you otherwise, your boss is unskillful.

If you make a mistake, own it. And if someone gives you crap about it, disown them.

If someone is untruthful, hold them accountable. If they’re still untruthful, double down and hold them accountable times two.

If you’re treated unfairly, it’s because someone has low self-esteem. And if you get mad at them, it’s because you have low self-esteem.

What people think about you is none of your concern, especially if they treat you badly.

If you see something, say something, especially when you see a leader treat their team badly.

A leader that treats you badly isn’t a leader.

If you don’t trust your leader, find a new leader. And if you can’t find a new leader to trust, find a new company.

If someone belittles you, that’s about them. Try to forgive them. And if you can’t, try again.

No one deserves to be treated badly, even if they treat you badly.

If you have high expectations for your leader and they fall short, that says nothing about your expectations.

If someone’s behavior makes you angry, that’s about you. And when your behavior makes someone angry, the calculus is the same.

When actions are different from the words, believe the actions.

When the words are different than the actions, there can be no trust.

The best work is built on trust. And without trust, the work will not be the best.

If you don’t feel comfortable calling people on their behavior it’s because you don’t believe they’ll respond in good faith.

If you don’t think someone is truthful, nothing good will come from working with them.

If you can’t be truthful it’s because there is insufficient trust.

Without trust there is nothing.

If there’s a mismatch between someone’s words and their actions, call them on their actions.

If you call someone on their actions and they use their words to try to justify their actions, run away.

Image credits: Unsplash

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Lean is the Enemy of Learning

And Other Counterintuitive Lessons from a Day at MIT

Lean is the Enemy of Learning

GUEST POST from Robyn Bolton

I firmly believe that there are certain things in life that you automatically say Yes to.  You do not ask questions or pause to consider context. You simply say Yes:

  1. Painkillers after a medical procedure
  2. Warm blankets
  3. The opportunity to listen to brilliant people talk about things that fascinate them.

So, when asked if I would like to attend an Executive Briefing curated by MIT’s Industrial Liaison Program, I did not ask questions or pause to check my calendar.  I simply said Yes.

I’m extremely happy that I did because what I heard blew my mind.

Lean is the enemy of learning

When Ben Armstrong, Executive Director of MIT’s Industrial Performance Center and Co-Lead of the Work of the Future Initiative, said, “To produce something new, you need to create a lot of waste,” I nearly lept out of my chair, raised my arms, and shouted “Amen brother!”

He went on to tell the story of a meeting between Elon Musk and Toyota executives shortly after Musk became CEO.  Toyota executives marveled at how quickly Tesla could build an EV and asked Musk for his secret.  Musk gestured around the factory floor at all the abandoned hunks of metal and partially built cars and explained that, unlike Toyota, which prided itself on being lean and minimizing waste, Tesla engineers focused on learning – and waste is a required part of the process.

We decide with our hearts and justify with our heads – even when leasing office space

John E. Fernández, Director of MIT’s Environmental Solutions Initiative, shared an unexpected insight about selling sustainable buildings effectively.  Instead of hard numbers around water and energy cost savings, what convinces companies to pay the premium for Net Zero environments is prestige.  The bragging rights of being a tenant in Winthrop Center, Boston’s first-ever Passive House office building, gave developers a meaningful point of differentiation and justified higher-than-market-rate rents to future tenants like McKinsey and M&T Bank.

49% of companies are Silos and Spaghetti

I did a hard eye roll when I saw Digital Transformation on the agenda.  But Stephanie Woerner, Principal Research Scientists and Executive Director for MIT’s Center for Information Systems Research, proved me wrong by explaining that Digital Transformation requires operational excellence and customer-focused innovation.

Her research reveals that while 26% of companies have evolved to manage both innovation and operations, operate with agility, and deliver great customer experiences, nearly half of companies are stuck operating in silos and throwing spaghetti against the wall.  These “silo and spaghetti companies” are often product companies rife with complex systems and processes that require and reward individual heroics to make progress. 

What seems like the safest option is the riskiest

How did 26% of companies transform while the rest stayed stuck or made little progress?  The path forward isn’t what you’d expect. Companies that go all-in on operational excellence or customer innovation struggle to shift focus and work in the other half of the equation.  But doing a little bit of each is even more risky because the companies often wait for results from one step before taking the next.  The result is a never-ending transformation slog that is eventually abandoned.

Academia is full of random factoids

They’re not random to the academics, but for us civilians, they’re mainly helpful for trivia night:

  • 50% of US robots are used in the automotive industry
  • <20% of manufacturing job descriptions require digital skills (yes, that includes MS Office)
  • Data centers will account for 8-21% of global energy demand by 2030
  • Energy is 10% of the cost but 90% of the cost of mining bitcoin
  • Cities take up 3% of the earth’s surface, contain 33% of the population, account for 70% of global electricity consumption, and are responsible for 75% of CO2 emissions

Why say Yes

When brilliant people talk about things they find fascinating, it’s often because those things challenge conventional wisdom. The tension between lean efficiency and innovative learning, the role of emotion in business decisions, and the risks of playing it too safe all point to a fascinating truth: sometimes the most counterintuitive path forward is the most successful. 

How have you seen this play out in your work?

Image credit: Unsplash

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When Scaling Innovation Backfires

How One Company Became the Theranos of Marshmallows

When Scaling Innovation Backfires

GUEST POST from Robyn Bolton

Here’s a head-scratcher when it comes to scaling innovation: What happens when your innovative product is a hit with customers, but you still fail spectacularly? Just ask the folks behind Smashmallow, the gourmet marshmallow company that went from sweet success to sticky situation faster than you can say “s’mores.”

The Recipe for Initial Success

Jon Sebastiani sold his premium jerky company Krave to Hershey for $240 million and thought he’d found his next billion-dollar idea in fancy French marshmallows. And initially, it looked like he had. 

Smashmallow’s artisanal, flavor-packed treats weren’t just another fluffy, tasteless sugar puff – they created an entirely new snack category. Customers couldn’t get enough of their handcrafted, churro-dusted, chocolate-chip-studded clouds of happiness. The company hit $5 million in sales in its first year, doubled that the next, and was available in 15,000 stores nationwide in only its third year.

Sounds like a startup fairy tale, right? Right!  If we’re talking about the original Brothers Grimm versions.  Corporate innovators start taking notes.

The Candy-coated Vision

Sebastiani and his investors weren’t content with building a successful premium regional brand. They wanted to become the Kraft of craft marshmallows, scaling from artisanal to industrial without losing what made the product special. It’s a story that plays out in corporations every day: the pressure to turn every successful pilot into a billion-dollar business.

So, they invested.  Big time.

They signed a contract with “an internationally respected builder of candy-making machines” to design and build a $3 million custom-built machine and another with a copacker to build an entirely new facility to accommodate the custom machine.

Bold visions require bold moves, and Sebastiani was a bold guy.

The Scale-up Meltdown

But boldness can’t overcome reality, and the custom machine couldn’t replicate the magic of handmade marshmallows. It couldn’t even make the marshmallows.

Starch dust created explosion hazards. Cinnamon wouldn’t stick. Workers couldn’t breathe through spice clouds. The handmade ethos of imperfect squares gave way to industrialized perfection. Each attempt to solve one problem created three more, like a game of confectionery whack-a-mole.

By 2022, Smashmallow was gone, leaving behind a cautionary tale about the gap between what customers value and what executives and investors want. The irony? They succeeded in their mission to disrupt the market – by 2028, the North American marshmallow market is projected to more than double its 2019 size, largely thanks to the premium category Smashmallow created. They just won’t be around to enjoy it.

A Bittersweet Paradox

For so many corporate innovators, this story hits close to home. How many promising projects died not because customers didn’t love them but because they couldn’t scale to “move the needle” for a multi-billion dollar corporation? A $15 million business might be a champagne-popping moment for an entrepreneur, but it barely registers as a rounding error on a Fortune 500 income statement.

This is the innovation paradox facing corporate innovators: The very pressure to go big or go home often destroys what makes an innovation special in the first place. It’s not enough to create something customers love – you must create something that can scale to satisfy the corporate appetite for growth.

Finding the Sweet Spot

The lesson isn’t that we should abandon ambitious scaling plans. Instead, we must be brutally honest about whether our drive for scale aligns with what makes our innovation valuable to customers. If it doesn’t, we must choose whether to scale back our ambitions (unlikely) or let go of our successful-but-small idea.   

After all, not every marshmallow needs to be a mountain, but every mountain climber (that’s you) needs a mountain.

Image credit: Unsplash

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Innovation or Not – The VR Path to the Super Bowl

Innovation or Not - The VR Path to the Super Bowl

GUEST POST from Art Inteligencia

In the competitive arena of sports, athletes and coaches are perpetually seeking the next edge, the innovative stroke of genius that will propel them towards success. Enter Jayden Daniels, a pioneer quarterback who has embraced one of the most cutting-edge tools in sports performance enhancement: Virtual Reality (VR) training. Is this a true innovation or just another gimmick? Let’s journey through the lens of Jayden’s experience and see how this technology is reshaping the sporting world.

The Virtual Reality Revolution in Sports

For decades, athletes have relied on traditional training regimes, focusing on physical conditioning and repetitive skill drills. However, VR has transformed the landscape by introducing immersive environments where athletes can practice without the physical constraints of time, space, or risk of injury. Through VR headsets and meticulously simulated environments, players like Jayden Daniels are able to visualize and rehearse plays and strategies, improve their decision-making, and enhance their mental resilience.

“VR training is like a playbook come to life—it gives players the opportunity to be in the game without being on the field.”

Realizing this potential, Daniels incorporated VR training into his routine, and the results have been phenomenal. His ability to read defenses and execute plays has been augmented by this technology, helping him transition from mere player to game-changer.

Here is a video that tells the in depth story with commentary, but it won’t let me embed it here so just click the link in the box to watch it on YouTube:

EDITOR’S NOTE: Key takeaways include the technology’s ability to run at 1.75x speed so that on game day things slow down for the quarterback and he is able to engage in extra preparation without the entire team having to be present, and even to familiarize himself with away stadium nuances like where the play clocks are, etc.

Case Study #1: The Championship Turnaround

One of the most striking illustrations of VR’s impact occurred during a pivotal championship game. Daniels’ team was facing a formidable opponent known for their complex defensive schemes. The team’s traditional preparation methods were proving inadequate against such a sophisticated defense.

In the weeks leading to the game, Daniels immersed himself in VR simulations of the opponent’s defense. He studied every blitz, every zone coverage, and every adaptive quirk under the close guidance of his coaches, who were able to create a virtual replica of the team they were facing. By the time the championship game arrived, Daniels was not only prepared—he was several steps ahead.

During the game, his performance was near flawless. He anticipated defensive movements with uncanny accuracy, leading his team to a come-from-behind victory that analysts credited in large part to his innovative use of VR.

The MVP Moment

This VR-driven insight culminated in one memorable play: a perfectly executed fake pass that caught the opposing defense entirely off-guard, leading to the game-winning touchdown. This wasn’t just victory—it was an unveiling of how technology and sport can harmonize to create extraordinary outcomes.

Case Study #2: The Rival Rumble

In another celebrated match-up, Daniels faced his long-time rivals—a team that had bested his own in recent seasons. Known for their reactive plays and dynamic shifts, this opponent posed a considerable mental challenge that extended beyond physical prowess.

Once again, VR training became Daniels’ secret weapon. By simulating hundreds of scenarios, his VR regimen enabled him to practice responses to the rival’s play-calling tendencies, helping him build a memory bank of potential outcomes and counter-strategies.

When faced with crucial decisions on the field, Daniels was markedly less stressed and more composed. He deftly outmaneuvered the rival’s defense, leading his team to a decisive victory, and doing so with an air of confidence that captivated spectators and silenced skeptics.

The VR Vision

By the end of the season, Daniels had not only improved his own performance but had also inspired a wave of interest and investment in VR training across the league. Teams began revisiting their training paradigms, nudging the sports industry towards a more tech-savvy future.

Innovation or Not?

Jayden Daniels’ success with VR training may invite debates about whether this is innovation or merely a novel tool in an athlete’s repertoire. Regardless of where you stand, what cannot be denied is the transformative impact VR has had on enhancing an athlete’s strategic prowess and mental fortitude.

Beyond just quick optical improvements, VR training stands at the intersection of cognitive science and performance enhancement, offering a paradigm where mental sharpness is honed in tandem with physical capabilities. For Daniels, and countless athletes following in his footsteps, VR presents a formidable new teammate in their quest for greatness.

As we stand at the threshold of a technologically enhanced sports era, the question still lingers in the locker room and boardrooms: Is VR the future of sports training, or just another fleeting fad? For Jayden Daniels, it’s clear that VR is more than just a tool—it’s a revelation.

Image credit: Wikimedia Commons – All-Pro Reels of District of Columbia, USA

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The Breakthrough Lifecycle

The Breakthrough Lifecycle

GUEST POST from Greg Satell

Many experts suspect that the COVID crisis is receding into the background. It is, of course, hard to know for sure. There will continue to be debate and we will still need to have some mitigating measures in place. Still, for the most part, people are back at work, kids are in school, and relatively normal routines have returned.

Generations from now, historians will most likely still question what lessons are to be gleaned from the past few years. Should we strengthen our multilateral institutions or have they become so sclerotic that they need to be dismantled? Is the rise of populist nationalism a harbinger for the future or a flash in the pan?

One thing I don’t expect to be hotly debated, in fact seems perfectly clear even now, is that science saved us. Untold thousands, working mostly anonymously in labs around the world, created a vaccine of astonishing efficacy in record time. It is these types of breakthroughs that change the course of history and, if we can embrace their power, lead us to a better future.

A Seemingly Useless Idea

The MRNA technology that led to the Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech vaccines have the potential to revolutionize medical science. It can rapidly reprogram the machinery in our cells to manufacture things that can potentially cure or prevent a wide range of diseases, from cancer to malaria, vastly more efficiently than anything we’ve ever seen before.

Yet while revolutionary, it is not at all a new idea. In fact Katalin Karikó, who pioneered the approach, published her first paper on mRNA-based therapy way back in 1990. Unfortunately, she wasn’t able to win grants to fund her work and, by 1995, things came to a head. She was told that she could either direct her energies in a different way, or be demoted.

This type of thing is not unusual. Jim Allison, who won the Nobel Prize for his work on cancer immunotherapy, had a very similar experience when he had his breakthrough, despite having already become a prominent leader in the field. “It was depressing,” he told me. “I knew this discovery could make a difference, but nobody wanted to invest in it.”

The truth is that the next big thing always starts out looking like nothing at all. Things that really change the world always arrive out of context for the simple reason that the world hasn’t changed yet.

Overcoming Resistance

Humans tend to see things in a linear fashion. It is easier for us to imagine a clear line of cause and effect, like a row of dominoes falling into each other, rather than a series of complex interactions and feedback loops. So it shouldn’t be surprising that, in hindsight, breakthrough ideas seem so obvious that only the most dim-witted would deny their utility.

When we think of something like, say, electricity, we often just assume that it was immediately adopted and the world simply changed overnight. After all, who could deny the superiority of an efficient electric motor over a big, noisy steam engine? Yet as the economist Paul David explained in a famous paper, it took 40 years for it to really take hold.

There are a few reasons why this is the case. The first is switching costs. A new technology almost always has to replace something that already does the job. Another problem involves establishing a learning curve. People need to figure out how to unlock the potential of the new technology. To bring about any significant change you first have to overcome resistance.

With electricity, the transition happened slowly. It wouldn’t have made sense to immediately tear down steam-powered factories and replace them. At first, only new plants used the electricity. Yet it wasn’t so much the technology itself, but how people learned to use it to re-imagine how factories functioned that unlocked a revolution in productivity gains.

In the case of mRNA technology, no one had seen a mRNA vaccine work, so many favored more traditional methods. Johnson & Johnson and AstraZeneca, for example, used a more traditional DNA-based approach using adenoviruses that was much better understood, rather than take a chance on a newer, unproven approach.

We seem to be at a similar point now with mRNA and other technologies, such as CRISPR. They’ve been proven to be viable, but we really don’t understand them well enough yet to unlock their full potential.

Building Out The Ecosystem

When we look back through history, we see a series of inventions. It seems obvious to us that things like the internal combustion engine and electricity would change the world. Still, as late as 1920, roughly 40 years after they were invented, most American’s lives remained unchanged. For practical purposes, the impact of those two breakthroughs were negligible.

What made the difference wasn’t so much the inventions themselves, but the ecosystems that form around them. For internal combustion engines it took a separate networks to supply oil, to build roads, manufacture cars and ships and so on. For electricity, entire industries based on secondary inventions, such as household appliances and radios, needed to form to fully realize the potential of the underlying technology.

Much of what came after could scarcely have been dreamed of. Who could have seen how transportation would transform retail? Or how communications technologies would revolutionize warfare? Do you really think anybody looked at an IBM mainframe in the 1960s and said, “Gee, this will be a real problem for newspapers some day?”

We can expect something similar to happen with mRNA technology. Once penicillin hit the market in 1946, a “golden age” of antibiotics ensued, resulting in revolutionary new drugs being introduced every year between 1950 and 1970. We’ve seen a similar bonanza in cancer immunotherapies since Jim Allison’s breakthrough.

In marked contrast to Katalin Karikó’s earlier difficulty in winning grants for her work, the floodgates have now opened as pharma companies are now racing to develop mRNA approaches for a myriad of diseases and maladies.

The Paradox Of New Paradigms

The global activist Srdja Popović once told me that when a revolution is successful, it’s difficult to explain the previous order, because it comes to be seen as unbelievable. Just as it’s hard to imagine a world without electricity, internal combustion or antibiotics today, it will be difficult to explain our lives today to future generations.

In much the same way, we cannot understand the future through linear extrapolation. We can, of course, look at today’s breakthroughs in things like artificial intelligence, synthetic biology and quantum computing, but what we don’t see is the second or third order effects, how they will shape societies and how societies will choose to shape them.

Looking at Edison’s lightbulb would tell you nothing about radios, rock music and the counterculture of the 60s, much like taking a ride in Ford’s “Model T” would offer little insight into the suburbs and shopping malls his machine would make possible. Ecosystems are, by definition, chaotic and non-linear.

What is important is that we allow for the unexpected. It was not obvious to anyone that Katalin Karikó could ever get her idea to work, but she shouldn’t have had to risk her career to make a go of it. We’re enormously lucky that she didn’t, as so many others would have, taken an easier path. It is, in the final analysis, that one brave decision that we have to thank for what promises to be brighter days ahead.

All who wander are not lost.

— Article courtesy of the Digital Tonto blog
— Image credits: Pixabay

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Beating the Bougainvillea Blues

Why cutting back can sometimes be the best innovation option

Beating the Bougainvillea Blues

GUEST POST from John Bessant

Every year about this time we move southwards. Like very late swallows. Desperately seeking some of the yellow stuff to help recharge our solar cells and thaw out frozen fingers. Our preferred destination is Cyprus, Aphrodite’s island, a jewel set in the Mediterranean whose long history of invasion by others suggests significant local attractions. In particular it has a track record of sunshine hours which is hard to match, an average of 300 days per year.

(Of course that begs the question of what climatic shape the other 65 days take and it would be greedy to expect the absence of a few drops of rain or the odd cloud or two….)

Unfortunately the changeable element in the weather pattern has a predilection for December/January and so this year we have enjoyed a meteorological smorgasbord in which the weather has been experimenting with all the things it otherwise never gets a chance to play with. Including hail, thunder, snow (visible in the distance dusting the mountaintops), winds, even waterspouts out at sea.

Plus rain. Quite a lot of it. In fact enough to challenge even my generous view that it’s OK to wash out another day of my sunshine stay because the dams need filling up ready for the dry spring and summer.

Despite this I’m mostly doing fine with my optimism, enjoying the peace and beauty of the island (when we can go outdoors) and compensating for the lack of sunshine by drinking its distilled variety in the form of local wines to accompany local foods, liberally sprinkled with excellent olive oil, again courtesy of the missing sunshine…

However this morning sees me a little end-of-year blue because I’m pressing my nose up against the rainy window pane to see the bougainvillea. Or rather not seeing it. Let me explain.

When we bought the house one of the things I loved was the bougainvillea. Three trees worth of it, massive gnarled old trunks which spiraled up and over a wooden pergola guiding the branches and leaves to create a spectacular roof of purple and red. Look down on it from the bedroom window and there is your magic carpet waiting for you to climb aboard and fly away, watching the world below through its soft feathery leaves. Look up at it and you have a wonderful cave of shade, shielding you from the fierce summer sun, with its thick green foliage and gentle impossible blossoms. Whichever angle you viewed it from the effect was the same — crystalized summer …

Except that last year the pergola frame on which this whole amazing confection was resting gave up the ghost. Pressed down and strangled by its burden of branches it finally began to lean dangerously to the point where we had to bite the horticultural bullet and rethink.

Our superhero builder Dave sucked his teeth, cocked his head a couple of times then confirmed that we needed to replace the frame with a stronger new pergola suitably secured to the ground. But in order to effect this reconstruction we’d need to cut back the bougainvillea. Big time.

Cue Ollie whose green fingers and experienced brain have learned to work with the island’s fecund sun-rich approach to growth. He reliably reassured us that the project would work and that, while the short-term operation might look a little savage, it would all come out right in the end. He reminded us that this was precisely why the local wines taste so good — because the vineyard owners understand the importance of pruning.

I’d noticed this; the winter round of hacking back the thick bushes which had been so rich in foliage and fruit to the point where there are just a few stumps sticking up like dead men’s fingers clawing at the sky. And yet by the spring time the whole glorious cycle starts to repeat itself. His parting words were along the lines of ‘trust me… Nature’s got this!’

We bit the bullet. So what greeted us this year on arrival was a somewhat stark reduction in the foliage. In fact no foliage at all, just a couple of very lonely-looking stumps…..

Not so easy on the eye but I’ll try to have faith. And at least it offers an interesting metaphor for how we might think about innovation management at the start of a New Year.

It’s a safe bet to assume that there are plenty of resolutions buzzing round the brains of those with a stake in helping create value from our ideas. Lots of good intentions about doing things differently in 2025, expansive plans to try out new approaches, deploy new tools, do new stuff.

And there’s no shortage of new things to try. There’s a whole industry out there dedicated to challenging us to revise our innovation approaches — research papers, conference speeches, benchmark case studies, even, dare I say it, the odd blog or two like this one. The invitation to re-frame, to reinvent ourselves comes at us from multiple angles — and there’s a bewildering but enticing display of new tools and techniques which threaten to turn us into children running through the innovation sweet-shop on a serious sugar high.

And now we have AI. You don’t need to be Cassandra to be capable of making a pretty safe bet — 2025 will be the year of AI moving mainstream. Already a majority of organizations report experimenting with the enormous opportunity; it won’t take long before that converts to proven improvements in practice. Changing the ways in which we work with innovation, the products and services we offer and the different targets we try to reach.

The danger in all of this is that we keep adding to our repertoire, adding more and more growth to our innovation operations. We risk them becoming a close cousin to my bougainvillea thicket, overgrown to the point of collapse.

Innovation is all about creating and developing ‘routines’ — patterns of behavior which enable us to repeat the innovation trick. We learn over time effective ways to make it happen — how we search effectively, how we choose amongst different opportunities, how we implement in agile fashion, streamlining the process of converting ideas to value. Over time we build on those which work for us, embedding them in ‘the way we do things round here’, shaping them into the kind of innovation system which the International Standards Organization now recommends. Not just slogans about the importance of innovation but the structures, processes and policies to enable those behaviors.

Managed well this is a prescription for healthy growth. But it’s not a matter of abstract systems or process flow charts; it’s much closer to the challenge of planting and tending an orchard. A rich harvest of innovation fruit comes from strong branches on trees which have matured thanks to careful cultivation. Maintaining what’s already established and allowing for new shoots, sprouting in new directions, opening up more possibilities for future growth.

This doesn’t happen by accident. We need to think about ‘innovation horticulture’ — how best to manage the orchard.

Orange Grove

That’s a lesson which has been learned quietly by many organizations, who’ve been playing the innovation long game. Members of the ‘Hundred Club’, those who’ve survived and thrived over a century or more. Organizations which have ridden out some stormy weather by a commitment to innovation and to creating the kind of innovation system of which the ISO would be proud.

What they have in common is the ability to maintain what works, not just following fashion but carefully reviewing how they manage innovation on a regular basis. They’ve become skilled at enabling new growth through adding new routines, analogous to planting new saplings or grafting new strains on to old branches. Above all they’ve mastered the art of pruning to create space for this to happen.

This is the key part of the dynamic capability which innovation represents. The ability to step back and review, asking three simple questions. Of the innovation routines, the way we manage the process:

· What do we need to do more of, reinforce and strengthen?

· What do we need to do less of, even stop?

· And what new routines do we need to develop to cope with new challenges?

It’s as much about letting go as it is about adding new approaches. And it is crucially about strategically identifying where we need the new growth to come from. Just like a skilled gardener cuts back deep but also makes sure she has identified the spurs, the tiny buds which will provide the sites from which new things become possible.

This extended gardening metaphor might sound a little fanciful but we’ve got plenty of examples to illustrate it. Think about 3M, one of the longest established innovation gardens, still able to grow vigorously in new directions after well over a hundred years. During the early part of this century the company invested heavily in developing routines around six sigma and process improvement, securing significant gains in terms of productivity. But it soon became clear that the relentless focus on doing what they already did but better was driving out their capacity for breakthrough innovation. So the program was pruned to allow more exploration space. Importantly it wasn’t abandoned but rather trimmed back to enable new growth to come through.

Or Procter and Gamble, making the bold decision to cut back on the long (150 years) tradition of routines built around research and development and making the radical shift to a more open approach. ‘Connect and develop’ is now at the heart of how they innovate, drawing in a steady flow of ideas from outside the company alongside their internal capabilities. It has taken a quarter of a century for these new routines to mature but they now yield significant gains across the innovation spectrum.

Or the German company Hella, experiencing a key challenge around its rapid growth from being a successful 19th century start-up to a large established player. Its early experience helped create routines around new opportunities, triggered by new technologies and by discovering new market niches. There was plenty of innovation activity, a veritable hive of creativity with bees buzzing in and out working on a growing number of projects. But proliferating projects meant increasing costs and growing confusion around priorities which could only be solved by adding more minds to the mix. In the end the innovation engine began spinning out of control, overheating with all the innovation efforts.

It came to a head with a review which suggested that of the roughly 4000 products in the range at that time the vast majority took up time and effort but made little contribution. In particular it suggested that:

· 95 products were responsible for around 80% of turnover and 34% of R&D costs

· 305 were responsible for 15% turnover and 35% R&D

· 3100 were responsible for 5% of turnover and 31% of R&D !!!

The answer wasn’t to slam feet on the innovation brakes and stop. But it was about pruning, cutting back on most of the projects and focusing attention on those with strategic contributions to make. And having done this, to put in place new systems for project selection, portfolio management and regular staged reviews.

So whilst I’m still harboring doubts I’m hoping to see a bougainvillea renaissance beginning on my next visit. A sort of blooming version of ‘Field of Dreams’. As with baseball teams so with pergolas and bougainvillea bushes. Create the space — and the new growth will come.

Of course it’s not just about cutting back to make space in our innovation garden. The other side of this involves introducing new routines to enable new growth. But these by their nature will be young seedlings, not well-established trees. They need careful tending and experienced innovation gardeners understand the importance of supportive structures and growth regimes to help them take root. Using canes and trellises, introducing fertilizers and nutrients and above all keeping a careful eye on these early-stage experiments. They won’t all survive but those proto-routines of today could become critical capabilities in the future so it’s worth investing the time and effort now.

You can find my podcast here and my videos here

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Image credits: Dall-E

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Five Must Reads for 2025

Five Must Reads for 2025

GUEST POST from Robyn Bolton

‘Tis the season for “year in review” and “top 10 lists.”  As fun (and sometimes frightening) as it is to look back, it is just as fun (and sometimes frightening) to look ahead.  After all, as innovators, that is what we naturally do.  So, in anticipation of the year ahead, here are 5 Must Reads to make 2025 far more fun than frightening.

(listed in alphabetical order by author’s last name so I can’t be accused of playing favorites)

Pay Up! Unlocking Insider Secrets of Salary Negotiation by Kate Dixon

Pay Up! Unlocking Insider Secrets of Salary Negotiation
  • This book is for everyone, especially… people who want to earn what they deserve
  • This book solves the problem of…the black box that is compensation and the fear of negotiating for what you’re worth
  • This book creates value by… Outlining a step-by-step system to:
    • Understand key terms and concepts and apply them to your situation
    • Research the information you need to confidently and competently negotiate
    • Know what to say and do (and NOT say or do) in the moment
  • Why I love this book: Full disclosure – Kate and I are friends, so I’ve had a front-row seat to her wisdom and humor (how many compensation books invoke Beyonce?) and the jaw-dropping impact she gets for her clients.  I’ve even gifted this book to others because I know it works!

Disrupt Yourself: Putting the Power of Disruptive Innovation to Work by Whitney Johnson

Disrupt Yourself - Putting the Power of Disruptive Innovation to Work
  • This book is for everyone, especially… people who are rethinking their careers and are ready for change
  • This book solves the problem of… knowing how to start redefining your career (and yourself)
  • This book creates value by… Turning Clayton Christensen’s Theory of Disruption into four principles for self-disruption, including:
    • Identifying your disruptive strengths
    • Stepping backward or sideways to grow
    • Patiently waiting for your career (and legacy) to emerge
  • Why I love this book: Two quotes: (1) “Disruption starts as an inside game” and (2) “Constraints can be the perfect remedy if you are having a difficult time.”

Live Big! A Manifesto for a Creative Life by Rochelle Seltzer

Live Big! A Manifesto for a Creative Life
  • This book is for everyone, especially… people who want to experience daily joy and creativity
  • This book solves the problem of…feeling stuck in the day-to-day reality of life, uncertain whit how to begin, and afraid to make big, drastic changes
  • This book creates value by… Offering 20 tips for:
    • Becoming a person who Lives Big, including slowing down, aligning to your purpose, and being patient
    • Acting big, including listening to your intuition, embracing change, and carrying on
    • Savoring the small joys of life, including the gorgeous design of the book
  • Why I love this book: Rochelle’s Discovery Dozen exercise is a game-changer.  I learned this tool when she was my coach, and I have continued to use it for everything from naming my business, to deciding if/when/how to act on an opportunity, and writing articles.

The Coaching Habit: Say Less, Ask More & Change the Way You Lead Forever by Michael Bungay Steiner

The Coaching Habit - Say Less, Ask More - Change the Way You Lead Forever
  • This book is for everyone, especially... busy managers who want to be better people leaders
  • This book solves the problem of…balancing hands-on management with team empowerment and individual development
  • This book creates value by… Guiding you through seven questions that help you:
    • Work less hard while having more impact
    • Break cycles of team overdependence and workplace overwhelm
    • Turn coaching and feedback from an occasional formal event into a daily habit
  • Why I love this book: A copy of the 7 questions sits just below my monitor, reminding me to be curious, dig deeper, and that every decision is a choice to do one thing and not another.

Readers Choice!

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It’s audience participation time!  In the comments below, drop YOUR recommendation for a 2025 Must Read.

Bonus points for telling us:

  • Who it’s for
  • Problem it solves
  • Value it creates
  • Why you love it

Image credit: MileZero, Misterinnovation.com

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