On every operating plan there are more projects than there are people to do them and at every meeting there more new deliverables than people to take them on. At every turn, our demand for increased profits pushes our people for more. And, to me, I think this is the reason every day feel fuller than the last.
This year do you have more things to accomplish or fewer? Do you have more meetings or fewer? Do you get more emails or fewer?
We add work to people’s day as if their capacity to do work is infinite. And we add metrics to measure them to make sure they get the work done. And that’s a recipe for depletion. At some point, even the best, most productive people reach their physical and emotional limits. And at some point, as the volume of work increases, we all become depleted. It’s not that we’re moving slowly, being wasteful or giving it less than our all. When the work exceeds our capacity to do it, we run out of gas.
Here are some thoughts that may help you over the next year.
The amount of work you will get done this year is the same as you got done last year. But don’t get sidetracked here. This has nothing to do with the amount of work you were asked to do last year. Because you didn’t complete everything you were asked to do last year, the same thing will happen this year unless the amount of work on this year’s plan is equal to the amount of work you actually accomplished last year. Every year, scrub a little work off your yearly commitments until the work content finally equals your capacity to get it done.
Once the work content of your yearly plan is in line, the mantra becomes – finish one before you start one. If you had three projects last year and you finished one, you can add one project this year. If you didn’t finish any projects last year you can’t start one this year, at least until you finish one this year. It’s a simple mantra, but a powerful one. It will help you stop starting and start finishing.
There’s a variant to the finish-before-you-start approach that doesn’t have to wait for the completion of a long project. Instead of finishing a project, unimportant projects are stopped before they’re finished. This is loosely known as – stop doing before start doing. Stopping is even more powerful than finishing because low value work is stopped and the freed-up resources are immediately applied to higher value work. This takes judgement and courage to stop a dull project, but it’s well worth the discomfort.
If you want to get ahead of the game, create a stop-doing list. For each item on the list estimate how much time you will free up and sum the freed-up time for the lot. Be ruthless. Stop all but the most important work. And when your boss says you can’t stop something because it’s too important, propose that you stop for a week and see what happens. And when no one notices you stopped, propose to stop for a month and see what happens. Rinse and repeat.
When the amount of work you have to get done fits with your capacity to do it, your physical and mental health will improve. You’ll regain that spring in your step and you’ll be happier. And the quality of your work will improve. But more importantly, your family life and personal relationships will improve. You’ll be able to let go of work and be fully present with your friends and family.
Regardless of the company’s growth objectives, one person can only do the work of one person. And it’s better for everyone (and the company) if we respect this natural constraint.
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If you haven’t noticed, the pace and complexity of our work is ever-increasing. There’s more to do and there are more interactions among the players and the tasks. And though there’s more need for thinking and planning, there’s less time to do it. And the answer from company leadership – more productivity.
With the traditional view of productivity, it’s do more with less. That works for a while and then it doesn’t. And when you can no longer do more, the only remaining way to improve productivity is to do less.
If you try to do all five things and get four done poorly, wouldn’t it be more productive if you tried to do only three things and did them well? None of the three would have to touched up or redone. And none of the three would occupy your emotional bandwidth because they were done well and they’re not coming back to bite you. And because you focused on three things, you spent only three things worth of energy. Your life force is conserved and when you get home you still have gas in the tank.
If you get three things done each day, you’ll accomplish more than anyone else in the company. Don’t think so? Three things per day is fifteen things per week. And if you work fifty weeks per year, three things per day is one hundred and fifty things per year. (I hope you don’t work fifty weeks per year, I chose this number because it makes the math cleaner.)
It’s not easy to get three things done per day. With meetings, email, texts and the various collaboration platforms, you have almost zero uninterrupted time. And with zero uninterrupted time, you get about zero things done. And if I have to choose between getting three things done or zero things done, I choose three. It’s difficult to allocate the time to get three things done, but it’s possible.
Three things may not seem like enough things, but three is enough. Here’s why. You don’t do just any three things, you do three important things. You choose what you want to get done and you get them done. The key is to decide which three things you’ll get done and which three hundred you won’t. To do this, take some time at the end of the day to define tomorrow’s three things. That way, first thing, you’ll get after the right three things. It’s productivity through prioritization. You’ve got to do fewer things to get more done.
And you can still deliver on large projects with the three-things-per-day method. For large projects, most, if not all, of the day’s three things should be directly related to the project. Remember the math – you can do fifteen things per week on a large project. And it works for long projects, too. Do one thing per week on the long project and you will accomplish fifty things over the course of the year. When was the last time you completed fifty things on a project?
And if you think three things is too few, that’s fine. If you want to do more than three things, you can. Just make sure you know which three you’ll complete before moving on to the fourth. But, remember, you want to leave work with some gas still in the tank so you can do three things when you get home.
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When my husband and I became accredited as foster parents for children in need, I thought my skills as a trainer and facilitator would help me navigate the challenges we faced. I quickly discovered that when children arrived at our home late at night, often physically injured and emotionally distraught due to a tragic accident or being separated from their families, their primary need was for emotional safety. This began my long and enlightening quest into what it truly means for someone to develop both emotional and psychological safety. To discover and explore why both emotional and psychological safety are crucial for people to survive, innovate and thrive in the post-pandemic, unstable, and uncertain world.
The whole issue of “safety” is a crucial one. Causing many people, especially those in the change, learning and coaching space, to stop, pause, retreat, and reflect upon how to personalize and contextualize it for ourselves and others we care about and interact with. Yet so few people understand the importance of creating safe environments, especially today when there is so much hatred and violence happening on many of our streets.
We all deserve to, and are entitled to, feel emotionally safe and secure in all aspects of our lives.
What does it mean to be safe?
Because safety: the condition of being protected from or unlikely to cause danger, risk, or injury, impacts everyone and everything in our entire world system. It is an essential element required for our survival, growth, and ability to navigate and innovate in the post-pandemic era. Safety is critical in enhancing people’s capacity to connect, belong, and engage in purposeful relationships, build happy families and secure communities, as well as produce creative, inventive, and innovative work that helps make the world a better place.
What is emotional safety?
Emotional safety exists in an environment where individuals feel valued, respected, and heard, regardless of their values, beliefs, or religious or cultural origins. It involves allowing people to feel safe and secure, nurturing vulnerability, and sharing personal thoughts and feelings without fear of having their words judged as “bad” or “wrong.” Without facing punishment, discrimination, persecution, diminishment, blame, shame, hatred, or violence by others.
It’s a space where it’s safe to say “I don’t know” or “I made a mistake” without being labelled as incompetent or “lacking” in some vital way.
Improving well-being, engagement and productivity
Emotional safety is a vital element of an emotionally and mentally healthy environment that fosters well-being, boosts engagement, and enhances productivity. In such an environment, individuals feel secure enough to express, explore, and share their thoughts and feelings about themselves, their colleagues, managers, leaders, and even their organization as a whole. People feel respected and trusted to share ideas, establish boundaries, and be accepted for who they are, what they believe in, flaws and all.
“The tendency of relationship partners to think of themselves as members of a dyadic relationship rather than as distinct individuals. As close relationships, particularly romantic ones, develop over time, partners display increasing levels of mutuality, which may influence their affect, cognition, and behavior. In interdependence theory, the tendency of partners to depend equally on each other’s behavior for the attainment of desirable outcomes”.
We live in an interdependent, globalized world where developing emotionally safe, positive, and interactive mutual relationships across geographies, technologies, demographics, and functions is more important than ever. Mutuality lays the groundwork for creating a shared understanding that fosters a safe and open space for learning and effective interactions, based on cooperative, co-petitive, and collaborative relationships in the workplace.
Becoming attuned
Emotional intelligence, empathy, trust, and effective communication are vital for fostering emotional safety and form the basis for developing effective emotional regulation and management strategies. This enables us to attune to and connect with others with whom we wish to build relationships.
“When we attune with others, we allow our internal state to shift, to come to resonate with the inner world of another. This resonance is at the heart of the important sense of “feeling felt” that emerges in close relationships. Children need attunement to feel secure and to develop well, and throughout our lives we need attunement to feel close and connected.”
As a foster carer, my ability and willingness to attune with them represented the most important gift I could offer the children. It allowed them to feel close and connected to someone who genuinely cared for them by simply providing the most basic essentials. With no judgement or strings attached, and with both detachment and empathy, it also provided them with crucial evidence that this could indeed continue to be possible for them in their future lives.
As a trainer, facilitator, and coach, these are the key ingredients for establishing an emotionally safe and effective learning intervention, particularly about the people side of innovation and in building an organization that fosters a culture of failure.
Developing a psychologically safe culture
Emotional safety is closely linked to psychological safety, which is the belief that individuals can be themselves at work and share their opinions and ideas without fear of negative repercussions. According to Dr Timothy Clarke at the Leaderfactor, psychological safety empowers individuals and teams to reach new levels of creativity, collaboration, and innovation by nurturing a culture of inclusion and vulnerability. It is a social condition where people feel accepted and secure enough to learn, contribute, and question the status quo, free from fear of embarrassment, marginalization, or punishment, by creating an environment founded on permission, safety, and trust.
Embodying a way of being
Creating this emotional state or culture is much harder than most people think. Most organizations believe it’s something they must achieve through process and system changes, rather than by embodying it as a way of being a manager, leader, trainer, or coach who creates:
Sanctuaries of inclusion—a space where individuals feel safe and are encouraged to express their feelings, thoughts, opinions, and ideas, fostering a profound sense of inclusion, connection, and belonging.
Safe containers – a space where individuals confidently disrupt conventional or habitual ways of doing things, step outside their comfort zones, and challenge the status quo, allowing dissonance, contradiction, paradox, and conflict as sources of creative tension to disrupt, differ, and deviate from the norm.
Collective holding spaces—where individuals accept responsibility, take ownership, and are trusted to contribute to the entire system. By fostering co-creative, interdependent relationships both internally and externally, we work towards achieving the team’s and organization’s vision, mission, purpose, and collective goals.
Incubators and accelerators of innovation—where team members are free to emerge, diverge, and converge possibilities. They are empowered, enabled, and equipped to transform these into creative ideas and opportunities. Individuals and teams feel safe in unlearning, learning, and relearning new ways of being, thinking, and acting. This environment challenges the status quo by encouraging disruptive questions, taking calculated risks, and experimenting with new ideas within an authentic, fail-fast culture that promotes quick learning.
Benefits of emotional and psychological safety
Enhances individual, team, and collective engagement, connection, and belonging. It establishes a foundation for harnessing and mobilizing people’s collective intelligence in line with the organization’s vision, mission, and purpose.
Promotes effective team collaboration, where individuals feel at ease sharing their ideas, opinions, and concerns. It cultivates an environment where diverse perspectives can be openly discussed alongside differing views:
Inspires people to be emotionally energetic, agile, and adaptable in the face of uncertainty and chaos, as well as in a rapidly changing business landscape.
AI will continue to disrupt job stability and security.
Developing emotional and psychological safety is a key success factor that underpins a culture of innovation, as it creates the essential space for individuals to think and act differently. This is achieved through experimentation, learning from failures, and exploring new methods that lead to breakthrough ideas and innovative solutions, enabling individuals to survive and thrive in the age of AI.
Both job losses and opportunities
Fast Company shares that Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei has a stark warning for the developed world about job losses resulting from AI. The CEO told Axios that AI could wipe out half of all entry-level white-collar jobs. This could result in a 10% to 20% rise in the unemployment rate over the next one to five years, Amodei says. The losses could come from tech, finance, law, consulting, and other white-collar professions, with entry-level jobs being hit the hardest.
Just as the children we fostered needed emotional safety, we all require emotional safety when walking our city streets. Similarly, while at work, we all need a psychologically safe working environment rooted in mutuality and trust. This is what allows individuals to attune to each other, feel secure, bonded, and connected, fostering a sense of belonging and unity. This requires investing in the co-creation of emotionally and psychologically safe spaces that attract and retain top talent, enabling individuals to feel valued, as they truly matter, and helping them adapt, innovate, grow, perform and thrive in a post-pandemic, unstable, and uncertain world.
This is an excerpt from our upcoming book, “Anyone Can Learn to Innovate,” scheduled for publication in late 2025.
Please find out about our collective learning products and tools, including The Coach for Innovators, Leaders, and Teams Certified Program, presented by Janet Sernack. It is a collaborative, intimate, and profoundly personalized innovation coaching and learning program supported by a global group of peers over nine weeks. It can be customized as a bespoke corporate learning program.
It is a blended and transformational change and learning program that will give you a deep understanding of the language, principles, and applications of an ecosystem-focused, human-centric approach and emergent structure (Theory U) to innovation. It will also upskill people and teams and develop their future fitness within your unique innovation context. Please find out more about our products and tools.
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“What will you do on vacation?” a colleague asked.
“Nothing,” I replied.
The uncomfortable silence that followed spoke volumes. In boardrooms and during quarterly reviews, we celebrate constant motion and back-to-back calendars. Yet, study after study shows that the most successful leaders embrace a counterintuitive edge: strategic idleness.
While your competitors exhaust themselves in perpetual busyness, research shows that deliberate mental downtime activates the brain networks responsible for strategic foresight, innovative solutions, and clear decision-making.
The Status Trap of Busy-ness
At one company I worked with, there was only one acceptable answer to “How are you doing?” “Busy.” The answer wasn’t a way to avoid an awkward hallway conversation. It was social currency. If you’re busy, you’re valuable. If you’re fine, you’re expendable.
A 2017 study published in the Journal of Consumer Research confirmed what Columbia, Georgetown, and Harvard researchers discovered: being busy is now a status symbol, signaling “competence, ambition, and scarcity in the market.”
But here’s the uncomfortable truth: your packed schedule is undermining the very outcomes you’re accountable for delivering.
Your Brain’s Innovation Engine
Neuroscience has confirmed what innovators have long practiced: Strategic Idleness. While you consciously “do nothing,” your default mode network (DMN) engages, making unexpected connections across stored information and experiences.
Recent research published in the journal Brain demonstrates that the DMN is activated during creative thinking, with a specific pattern of neural activity occurring during the search for novel ideas. This network is essential for both spontaneous thought and divergent thinking, core elements of innovation.
So if you’ve always wondered why you get your best ideas in the shower, it’s because your DMN is powered all the way up.
Three Ways to Power-Up Your Engine
Here are three executive-grade approaches to strategic idleness without more showers or productivity sacrifices:
Pause for 10 Minutes Before Making a Decision Before making high-stakes decisions, implement a mandatory 10-minute idleness period. No email, no conversation—just sitting. Research on cognitive recovery suggests that this brief reset activates your DMN, allowing for a more comprehensive consideration of variables and strategic implications.
Take a Walking Meeting with Yourself Block 20 minutes in your calendar each week for a solo walking meeting (and then take the walk!). No other attendees, no agenda, just walking. Researchers at Stanford University found that walking increases creative output by an average of 60% compared to sitting. The combination of physical movement and mental space creates ideal conditions for your brain to generate solutions to problems you didn’t know you had.
Schedule 3-5 minutes of Strategic Silence before key discussions Research on group dynamics shows that silent reflection before discussion can reduce groupthink and increase the quality of ideas by helping team members process information more deeply. Before you dive into a critical topic at your next leadership meeting, schedule 3-5 minutes of silence. Explain that this silence is for individual reflection and planning for the upcoming discussion, not for checking email or taking bathroom breaks. Acknowledge that it will feel awkward, but that it’s critical for the upcoming discussion and decision.
Remember, You’re Not Doing Nothing If You’re being Strategically Idle
The most valuable asset in your organization isn’t technology, capital, or even the products you sell. It’s the quality of thinking that goes into critical decisions. Strategic idleness isn’t inaction; it’s the deliberate cultivation of conditions that foster innovation, clear judgment, and strategic foresight.
While your competitors remain trapped in perpetual busyness, by using executive advantage of strategic idleness, your next breakthrough will present itself.
This is an updated version of the June 9, 2019, post, “Do More Nothing.”
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At the beginning of each month, we will profile the ten articles from the previous month that generated the most traffic to Human-Centered Change & Innovation. Did your favorite make the cut?
But enough delay, here are October’s ten most popular innovation posts:
If you’re not familiar with Human-Centered Change & Innovation, we publish 4-7 new articles every week built around innovation and transformation insights from our roster of contributing authors and ad hoc submissions from community members. Get the articles right in your Facebook, Twitter or Linkedin feeds too!
SPECIAL BONUS – THREE DAYS ONLY: From now until 11:59PM ET on November 11, 2024 you can get the hardcover version of the SECOND EDITION of my latest bestselling book Charting Change for 40% OFF using code HARDC50. This deal won’t last long, so grab your copy while supplies last!
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Human-Centered Change & Innovation is open to contributions from any and all innovation and transformation professionals out there (practitioners, professors, researchers, consultants, authors, etc.) who have valuable human-centered change and innovation insights to share with everyone for the greater good. If you’d like to contribute, please contact me.
P.S. Here are our Top 40 Innovation Bloggers lists from the last four years:
How one man’s innovation provided the missing link for a 20th century agricultural revolution
GUEST POST from John Bessant
There’s a lot of good stuff which comes out of Ireland. Leaving aside the wonderful music, the amazing countryside (complete with its ‘soft’ rain) and some excellent food and drink (including a drop or two of the black stuff to which I am occasionally partial). But it’s also a country which punches well above its weight in terms of ideas — it’s got a reputation for being a smart economy basing its progress on putting knowledge to work. Creating value from those ideas — innovation.
That’s something which you’ll find not only in the universities and hi-tech companies dotted across the landscape but also down on the farm. Farming’s a tough business — anyone who watches the series ‘Clarkson’s Farm,’ will recognize the multiple challenges farmers face, battling all that Nature can throw at them when she’s in a bad mood plus rising costs, increasing regulation and volatile markets. It’s a field (ouch) where innovation is not just a nice to have, it’s essential.
And in Dromara, County Down there’s a statue erected to honor a man to whom many farmers, not just in Ireland but around the world, have cause to be grateful. Harry Ferguson.
Of course farming innovation isn’t new; it’s been at the heart of our progress towards being able to feed ourselves and so move beyond subsistence to doing something constructive with our newly-found spare time. Like building cities and societies. Think back to your school days and you’ll recognize many of the key innovations which enabled the ‘agricultural revolution’, increasing productivity to help feed a growing population. The early days were all about ingenious implements — Jethro Tull’s seed drill, (1701), Cyril McCormick’s reaper (1840), John Deere’s steel plow (1847) — all these and hundreds of other innovations helped move the needle on farming practices.
But better implements still faced the limitations of power — and that aspect of innovation remained unchanged for centuries. We’d moved on from back-breaking manual labor but for centuries we relied on animals, primarily horses, to pull or occasionally push our implements. Power was the agricultural equivalent of the ‘philosophers stone’ for alchemists, the secret which would turn base metals into gold (or farms into more productive units). So with the advent of steam power in the early 1800s it looked like it had been discovered; as factories, mines and even early railways were showing, a steam engine could harness the power of many horses.
But (in an early example of the hype cycle) the promise of steam power failed to deliver — largely for technical reasons. Steam engines were big and heavy which meant they had to stay in one place with their power distributed to where it was needed by elaborate systems of pulleys, belts and wheels. They were unreliable and dangerous with an unpleasant tendency to explode unpredictably. For certain tasks they held out promise — they could plow a simple flat field ten times as fast as a team of horses— but their inflexibility limited their application.
Traction engines provided a partial solution since these machines could carry out basic tasks drilling and plowing. Though they were often too heavy to work directly on muddy fields they had the advantage of power which could quickly be moved to where they were needed. Set them up on the side of a field, hook them up to relevant implements like plows and put them to work. When the job was finished, uncouple everything and move on to the next field (as long as it was fairly flat and big).
(Interestingly it was the traction engine which inspired Henry Ford to work on transportation. Reflecting on his first encounter with a traction engine on the family farm he said ‘I remember that engine, as though I had seen it only yesterday, for it was the only vehicle other than horse-drawn I had ever seen….it was that engine that took me into automotive transportation’).
So steam power wasn’t really going to change the farming world. But another innovation was — the internal combustion engine. Engineers around the world had seized on the possibilities of this technology and were working to try and come up with a ‘horseless carriage’, something which Karl Benz managed to do with his Motorwagen in 1885 in Germany. It didn’t take a big leap of imagination to see another location where replacing horses could have an advantage — and John Froelich, an engineer from Iowa duly developed the first gasoline-powered tractor, mounting an engine on a traction engine chassis in 1892.
Unfortunately he wasn’t able to make the machine in volume, producing only four tractors before closing down the business. But others were more successful; for example in 1905 the International Harvester company produced its first tractor, and in 1906 Henry Ford invested over $600,000 in research for tractors, building on his growing experience with cars. An early outcome was the ‘Automobile plow’, a cross-over concept using the Model T as the base.
Pretty soon, just as in the personal transportation marketplace, hundreds of entrepreneurs began working on tractor innovation; a classic example of what Joseph Schumpeter (the godfather of innovation economics) would call ‘swarming’ behavior. By 1910 there were over a thousand tractor designs on offer from 150 different companies.
A key part of Schumpeter’s theory of how innovation works is that many of the early entrepreneurs active in a new field will fail, whether for technical or business reasons, and there will be convergence along key dimensions — setting up a technological trajectory along which future developments will tend to run.
That was certainly the case with tractors; key pieces of the puzzle were coming into place like an ability to deal with difficult terrain by using all-wheel drive (offered by John Deere in 1914) and the trend towards smaller (and more affordable) machines, pioneered by the Bull Company. Agricultural shows began to feature tractor demonstrations which allowed farmers to see first-hand the relative benefits of different machines and an early front runner in the move towards widespread market acceptance was International Harvester with their light and affordable Titan 10/20 model.
This was a growing market; by 1916 over 20,000 tractors had been sold in the USA. As with many innovations once the ‘dominant design’ has emerged for the basic product configuration emphasis shifts to the ways in which they can be made — process innovation. Those players — like Henry Ford — with experience in mass production had a significant potential advantage. His Fordson brand became the benchmark in terms of pricing and other manufacturers often struggled to compete unless they were large, like the John Deere company which offered its Model D in 1923 for around $1000. Ford had priced aggressively to try and capture the market, originally offering the Fordson for $200 in pre-sales advertising , but eventually selling the tractor in 1917 for $750 ( a price at which he was actually making a loss).
Ford understood the principle; he’d used it to open up the automobile market by offering ‘…to build a car for the great multitude’ at a price that multitude could afford. But things were a little more complex down on the farm. At first sight tractors seemed a great idea not least because of their running cost advantages. Animals, while a flexible source of power, were also a big cost since they needed food, shelter and veterinary services, plus there was an opportunity cost in terms of land needed to grow their feed which could otherwise be sued for more profitable crops. It took around 6 acres per horse over the farming year. Tractors ran on kerosene, becoming widely available and at low cost; and they only burned this fuel when they were working.
Ford’s strategy appeared to pay off; by 1923 he had over 75% of the US market . Yet only five years later things had deteriorated so much that the company exited the business. What led to this dramatic shift was a series of challenges to which cost advantages based on process innovation weren’t the answer. Product innovation once again became a key differentiator. This time the issue wasn’t around simply replacing the animal power unit with a mechanical one; it had everything to do with what you connected that power up to.
Early tractors solved the connection problem with a simple drawbar, essentially a metal stick to which you could attach different implements. Which worked fine when the going was flat, the surface dry, the field large and simple. Unfortunately most farming also involves uneven ground, plenty of mud and rain-filled potholes, trees and other obstacles and small fields with uneven boundaries. To cope with all of that you need a utility tractor — not for nothing was the IH Farmall a runaway success in the 1920s — the name says it all. Having spent a significant amount (for a small farmer) on buying your lightweight utility tractor you want it to carry out much more than just row crop duties — helping out with a wide range of construction and maintenance operations down on the farm,.
In particular one innovation which helped endear International Harvester to many a farmer’s heart was the ‘power take off’ device — essentially making power available to be hooked up to a variety of different implements. Introduced in 1922 this opened up the market by massively increasing the versatility of tractor. All manner of attachments — seed drills, rotary cutters, posthole diggers, snow throwers — all could be run off the core PTO. We could draw an analogy to today’s IT world; buying a tractor without the ability to attach tools to it would be like buying a computer without software.
Which brings us back to Harry Ferguson (in case you thought we’d lost the Irish connection). Because connecting farm implements to tractors became his passion — and the basis for a highly successful business. In doing so he provided the platform on which so much could happen, much as Steve Jobs with the smart-phone enabled users to find and deploy the apps they wanted . And along the way he was able to help Henry Ford re-enter and revive his tractor business.
Ferguson was born 1884 in County Down, Ulster and grew up in a farming family — though he wasn’t particularly taken with the life. Nor was he that keen on school either, dropping out at the age of 14. What saved him was a love of reading and a fascination with all things mechanical — which in the early 20th century was a good interest to have. His brother helpfully opened a repair shop to cater to the emerging motor trade and Harry joined him, kindling enough focused motivation to study at Belfast Technical College. Arguably, though, his skill set was less around the mechanical detail than in the front office — sales and PR. He persuaded his brother to sponsor him and he proved adept at motor car and cycle racing — even persuading his brother to fund the development of Ireland’s first airplane which Harry then learned to fly!
Eventually he set up his own automobile business, May Street Motors, in Belfast in 1911 and one of his first appointments (a 21 year old mechanic, Willy Sands) proved to be crucial in his subsequent success. Sands was a gifted engineer; he remained with Ferguson for nearly fifty years, working in the backroom and helping develop the technologies which built business success.
Ferguson was quick to spot an opportunity in the emerging tractor market and managed to obtain a franchise for sales and service of the John Deere Overtime tractor which was being built in the UK. That gave Ferguson and Sands extensive experience in the way the tractor was put together, the repairs it needed and the context into which it was being applied.
The miseries of the Great War on the home front included food shortages and problems with imports so the British government were urgently seeking anything which could help out with farm productivity — including subsidizing investment in tractors. Harry played a part in this when he was given a contract for the Irish Board of Agriculture in 1917 to oversee government-owned tractor maintenance and production records. The duo traveled the country to advise farmers, help set up equipment like plows and understanding the problems farmers faced in deploying the tractor. For example soil compaction, caused by the heavy weight of tractors and plows of the time, was a common complaint.
All of this honed their skills at repairs and improvements to the current stock of tractors in Ireland; their next break came when conversion kits for the Model T car began to appear to create a car/tractor. Ferguson took a franchise for the Eros, a kit which involved putting larger rear wheels on the car, together with a chain transmission to them and installing a bigger radiator to cope with the engine load. His experience with farmers paid off; he realized that this lighter weight car/tractor could solve the soil compaction problem and so got Sands to design a lightweight plow for the Eros.
This — the ‘Belfast plow’ — was launched in 1917 and was the first farm implement bearing Ferguson’s name; it was half the weight of a standard plow and crucially used a clever idea for the hitch connecting the tractor to the plow. This meant that the load from pulling the plow was shared equally by all four wheels instead of just the rear ones; this made it easier to steer and drive.
But Henry Ford was not about to let the tractor opportunity market fall into the hands of conversion kits for Model Ts; instead he commissioned design and manufacture of his own tractor with a large slow turning engine. He persuaded the British Ministry of Munitions to purchase 6000 units in return for his setting up a factory in Ireland. The Fordson tractor (as it was called) arrived in 1917 but quickly ran into problems as farmers began to use it. In particular it had a worrying tendency to flip over on its back if it hit an obstacle; its powerful engine and the relative lack of weight on the front end meant it could be pulled over by an obstacle or an unexpected drag while plowing. Nonetheless its arrival spelt the end of conversion kits — and dealt a blow to Harry Ferguson’s dream.
He was nothing if not resilient; in true entrepreneurial style he turned the arrival in force of Fordsons to an opportunity, adapting his lightweight plow for use with the tractor. In particular they worked on their hitch system so that it helped overcome the tendency for the front wheels to rear up; their design included a clever depth control device — a floating skid — which stopped the problem happening when the plow dug too deep and pulled the tractor over.
This worked well with the plow but for other implements they realized depth control could be enabled by the use of a hydraulic lever which adapted to the terrain. Putting all of this together led them to a system which worked on a variety of implements including disc harrows and cultivators. In 1925 Ferguson was granted a patent for this three point hitch — and it became the basis on which he built his future success. It was the key to unlocking the puzzle of how to connect power to implements and became the dominant design, one which is still widely used today.
The significance of this design should not be underestimated, and it’s something explored in depth in an excellent review by Scott Marshaus at the University of Wisconsin. Even though other factors helped contribute to the major increase in agricultural productivity like fertilizers, better seed strains and environmental management of pests the importance of completing the mechanization cycle is central. Yes, you can replace horses and mules with machine power but you can’t plant the seeds or distribute the chemicals unless you have the means to connect power with application. Which was the problem that Ferguson did so much to solve.
Just when all looked promising the market weather changed once again, another shift triggered by the business strategy of Ford. After years of making a loss the company decided to exit the tractor market in 1927, choosing instead to concentrate resources on their new Model A automobile. Which left Ferguson with no market for his Fordson-fitting plow.
So he (and Sands, as ever working away diligently in the backroom) developed their own lightweight tractor based on the Fordson design. They included their 3 point hitch and the prototype ‘Black Tractor’ appeared in 1933. Ferguson then went into partnership with the David Brown company to manufacture what became known as the Ferguson Brown Model A; production started in 1936. Disagreements quickly followed with Brown wanting to make a bigger tractor so Ferguson pulled out of the venture.
Instead he took one of the production Model A tractors into Henry Ford’s back garden — literally. In 1938 he showed it off and tested it against the Fordson and another tractor from Allis-Chalmers at Ford’s Fair Lane country estate. It performed so well that Ford wanted to make a deal on the spot and after brief discussion the two men shook hands. This handshake deal put a version of the tractor, called the Ford-Ferguson Model 9N into production in 1939 and it sold over 10,000 in its first year. By 1940 the factory was churning out 150 per day.
All should have been plain sailing but Ferguson’s prickly nature posed problems. He was, in many ways, a classic example of an entrepreneur, seeking opportunity wherever he could find it and adapting setbacks to become new directions for development. However he was also, according to his biographer Colin Fraser,‘someone who combined the extremes of subtlety, naiveté, charm, rudeness, brashness, modesty, largesse and pettiness; and the switch from any one to another could be abrupt and unpredictable. And, he had a penchant for confrontation.”
He had hoped that Ford in the UK would start production after the end of WW2 and he wanted a seat on the board; when this was rejected he threatened to walk away and start production on his own. But his position was weak; what he didn’t know was that Henry Ford 2nd, who took over in 1945, had discovered that the tractor business was still losing money at a desperate rate. He also discovered that the Ford-Ferguson 2N was being sold at a loss to Ferguson for resale to his dealers, an arrangement that cost Ford $25 million. Not surprisingly Ford wanted to stop and Ferguson was advised that 1947 would be the last year of the handshake agreement.
Ferguson fought back, putting his own version of the Ferguson/Ford tractor into production in 1946 in a war-surplus British factory. But competing with Ford was always going to be difficult; in response Ford introduced a new version, the Ford Model 8N in 1947, conspicuously missing the ‘Ferguson’ name from the badge. Ford’s engineers had tried to improve and sidestep Ferguson’s patented ideas but the core 3 point hitch and hydraulic system were retained. Although Ford’s marketing and distribution muscle backed him into a corner Ferguson in turn fought back, suing Ford in 1948 for $251 million for infringement of these patents.
Ferguson eventually won the bitter dispute and used some of the $9.25 damages agreed to continue to make tractors in the UK. But his attempts at working independently in the USA failed and eventually he merged his business with the Massey-Harris company in 1953.He retired from the tractor business but continued to develop ideas for the world of motor sport, including creating the first four wheel-drive system for use on Formula One racing cars.
He died in 1960 as a result of a barbiturate overdose; the inquest was unable to conclude whether this had been accidental or not. A sad end for someone whose passion and drive had helped enable the later stages of the agricultural revolution. But he left a powerful innovation footprint in farming soil all around the world. remembered in the tractor brand which bears his name and in the 3 point hitch design which is still in widespread use.
I get tired of listening to “experts” explain how leaders need to be bolder. Usually what they are advocating for is more disruptive innovation, less business as usual. But this completely ignores the impact of context and ends up patronizing behavior that may actually be well-grounded. It depends on which zone you are operating out of.
In the Performance Zone, the goal is to deliver on the quarterly plan. It is not the time or place for disruptive innovation. Leadership means getting your team to the finish line despite whatever roadblocks may crop up. Grit and resourcefulness, combined with attention to tactics, is what is wanted here.
In the Productivity Zone, the goal is to be there for the long haul. Again, disruptive innovation is not on the docket. Analysis and optimization are the keys here, and leaders must be willing to step back, take a systems view of things, and invest in efforts that will enable the Performance Zone to perform better in the future.
By contrast, the Incubation Zone is all about disruptive innovation, and most pundits champion a leadership style that is a perfect fit for this zone. So, if you are in this zone, by all means embrace hypothesis testing, agility, fast failure and the like. Just remember that what works here does not work well in any of the other three zones.
Finally, the Transformation Zone is where the pundits ought to be focusing because transformation is a bear, and no one can ever really tame it. Business lore celebrates the amazing disrupters here — Jobs, Musk, Bezos, etc. — as well we should. But in so doing we should not ignore the amazing disruptees, the leaders who redirected their enterprises to bring them kicking and screaming into a new age — Gerstner, Nadella, Iger, and company. For my money, their leadership style is the single most important one for any aspiring CEO to master.
That’s what I think. What do you think?
Image Credit: Pexels
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Happy employees mean more engaged and productive employees. I’ve written many times that what’s happening inside an organization will be felt on the outside by customers. A good employee experience (EX) will positively impact the customer experience (CX). And of course, the opposite is true. A “ripple effect” of employee satisfaction or dissatisfaction will inevitably reach your customers, impacting their overall experience.
As a result of the Covid-19 pandemic, which forced a shutdown, many companies and organizations realized—or at least thought—their employees could work remotely. Many companies walked away from their offices and didn’t renew their leases. This shift in the traditional in-office, five-day-a-week schedule was either eliminated or modified, and many workers discovered they enjoyed working from home. However, it looks as if this “experiment” didn’t work out as planned, and many companies will start requiring RTO (return to office) in a schedule that looks similar to pre-pandemic office hours and attendance requirements.
In August, ResumeBuilder surveyed 1,000 corporate decision-makers about their RTO plans. Here are the main results:
90% of companies will return to the office by 2024.
only 2% say their company never plans to require employees to return to work in person.
72% say RTO has improved revenue.
28% will threaten to fire employees who don’t comply with RTO policies.
The Opportunity
Why return to the traditional office environment? The answer is something we already know. Because companies potentially make more money.
The move to return to the office started in 2021, just after the lockdown. That year, 31% of companies required employees to return to their offices, 41% in 2022 and 27% in 2023. Most of the respondents to the survey claimed they saw an improvement in revenue, productivity and worker retention.
And for those companies that plan to demand RTO in 2024, 81% say it will improve revenue, 81% believe it will improve the company culture and 83% say it will improve worker productivity.
These decision-makers aren’t making an arbitrary determination. They recognize the negative impact an RTO policy can have. Many of them (72%) said their company would offer commuter benefits, 57% would help with child-care costs and 64% would provide catered meals. But are the perks enough?
The Danger
There is concern that a shift back to full-time office hours could cause a company to lose good employees in a hiring environment in which candidates are “calling the shots” and working for companies that not only give them a steady paycheck and traditional benefits, but also a work schedule and in-office policy that aligns with their need for work/life balance. Even so, according to the survey, 28% of the decision-makers surveyed claimed they would fire employees for not complying with their RTO policies.
As we navigate the complexities of a post-pandemic working world, companies face a tough choice that will shape and impact both the employee and customer experiences. Suppose a company decides to require a 100% return to the office. It must recognize and weigh the opportunities—primarily, increased productivity and revenue—with the negatives—less-than-enthusiastic employees and the potential (even probable) loss of employees.
In the 1970’s and 80’s, business investment in computer technology were increasing by more than twenty percent per year. Strangely though, productivity growth had decreased during the same period. Economists found this turn of events so strange that they called it the productivity paradox to underline their confusion.
Productivity growth would take off in the late 1990s, but then mysteriously drop again during the mid-aughts. At each juncture, experts would debate whether digital technology produced real value or if it was all merely a mirage. The debate would continue even as industry after industry was disrupted.
Today, that debate is over, but a new one is likely to begin over artificial intelligence. Much like in the early 1970s, we have increasing investment in a new technology, diminished productivity growth and “experts” predicting massive worker displacement . Yet now we have history and experience to guide us and can avoid making the same mistakes.
You Can’t Manage (Or Evaluate) What You Can’t Measure
The productivity paradox dumbfounded economists because it violated a basic principle of how a free market economy is supposed to work. If profit seeking businesses continue to make substantial investments, you expect to see a return. Yet with IT investment in the 70s and 80s, firms continued to increase their investment with negligible measurable benefit.
A paper by researchers at the University of Sheffield sheds some light on what happened. First, productivity measures were largely developed for an industrial economy, not an information economy. Second, the value of those investments, while substantial, were a small portion of total capital investment. Third, the aggregate productivity numbers didn’t reflect differences in management performance.
Consider a widget company in the 1970s that invested in IT to improve service so that it could ship out products in less time. That would improve its competitive position and increase customer satisfaction, but it wouldn’t produce any more widgets. So, from an economic point of view, it wouldn’t be a productive investment. Rival firms might then invest in similar systems to stay competitive but, again, widget production would stay flat.
So firms weren’t investing in IT to increase productivity, but to stay competitive. Perhaps even more importantly, investment in digital technology in the 70s and 80s was focused on supporting existing business models. It wasn’t until the late 90s that we began to see significant new business models being created.
The Greatest Value Comes From New Business Models—Not Cost Savings
Things began to change when firms began to see the possibilities to shift their approach. As Josh Sutton, CEO of Agorai, an AI marketplace, explained to me, “The businesses that won in the digital age weren’t necessarily the ones who implemented systems the best, but those who took a ‘digital first’ mindset to imagine completely new business models.”
He gives the example of the entertainment industry. Sure, digital technology revolutionized distribution, but merely putting your programming online is of limited value. The ones who are winning are reimagining storytelling and optimizing the experience for binge watching. That’s the real paradigm shift.
“One of the things that digital technology did was to focus companies on their customers,” Sutton continues. “When switching costs are greatly reduced, you have to make sure your customers are being really well served. Because so much friction was taken out of the system, value shifted to who could create the best experience.”
So while many companies today are attempting to leverage AI to provide similar service more cheaply, the really smart players are exploring how AI can empower employees to provide a much better service or even to imagine something that never existed before. “AI will make it possible to put powerful intelligence tools in the hands of consumers, so that businesses can become collaborators and trusted advisors, rather than mere service providers,” Sutton says.
It Takes An Ecosystem To Drive Impact
Another aspect of digital technology in the 1970s and 80s was that it was largely made up of standalone systems. You could buy, say, a mainframe from IBM to automate back office systems or, later, Macintoshes or a PCs with some basic software to sit on employees desks, but that did little more than automate basic clerical tasks.
However, value creation began to explode in the mid-90s when the industry shifted from systems to ecosystems. Open source software, such as Apache and Linux, helped democratize development. Application developers began offering industry and process specific software and a whole cadre of systems integrators arose to design integrated systems for their customers.
We can see a similar process unfolding today in AI, as the industry shifts from one-size-fits-all systems like IBM’s Watson to a modular ecosystem of firms that provide data, hardware, software and applications. As the quality and specificity of the tools continues to increase, we can expect the impact of AI to increase as well.
In 1987, Robert Solow quipped that, “ You can see the computer age everywhere but in the productivity statistics,” and we’re at a similar point today. AI permeates our phones, smart speakers in our homes and, increasingly, the systems we use at work. However, we’ve yet to see a measurable economic impact from the technology. Much like in the 70s and 80s, productivity growth remains depressed. But the technology is still in its infancy.
We’re Just Getting Started
One of the most salient, but least discussed aspects of artificial intelligence is that it’s not an inherently digital technology. Applications like voice recognition and machine vision are, in fact, inherently analog. The fact that we use digital technology to execute machine learning algorithms is actually often a bottleneck.
Yet we can expect that to change over the next decade as new computing architectures, such as quantum computers and neuromorphic chips, rise to the fore. As these more powerful technologies replace silicon chips computing in ones and zeroes, value will shift from bits to atoms and artificial intelligence will be applied to the physical world.
“The digital technology revolutionized business processes, so it shouldn’t be a surprise that cognitive technologies are starting from the same place, but that’s not where they will end up. The real potential is driving processes that we can’t manage well today, such as in synthetic biology, materials science and other things in the physical world,” Agorai’s Sutton told me.
In 1987, when Solow made his famous quip, there was no consumer Internet, no World Wide Web and no social media. Artificial intelligence was largely science fiction. We’re at a similar point today, at the beginning of a new era. There’s still so much we don’t yet see, for the simple reason that so much has yet to happen.
When there’s disagreement between words and behavior, believe the behavior. This is especially true when the words deny the behavior.
When there’s disagreement between the data and the decision, the data is innocent.
When there’s agreement that there’s insufficient data but a decision must be made, there should be no disagreement that the decision is judgment-based.
When there’s disagreement on the fact that there’s no data to support the decision, that’s a problem.
When there’s disagreement on the path forward, it’s helpful to have agreement on the process to decide.
When there’s disagreement among professionals, there is no place for argument.
When there’s disagreement, there is respect for the individual and a healthy disrespect for the ideas.
When there’s disagreement, the decisions are better.
When there’s disagreement, there’s independent thinking.
When there’s disagreement, there is learning.
When there’s disagreement, there is vulnerability.
When there’s disagreement, there is courage.
When there’s disagreement, there is trust.
Image credit: Pixabay
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Drum roll please…
