Tag Archives: Strategic Planning

Framing Your 2024 Strategy

Framing Your 2024 Strategy

GUEST POST from Geoffrey A. Moore

Fall is in the air, which brings to mind the season’s favorite sport—no, not football, strategic planning! Let’s face it, 2023 has been a tough year for most of us, with few annual plans surviving first contact with an economy that was not so much sluggish as simply hesitant. With the exception of generative AI’s burst onto the scene, most technology sectors have been more or less trudging along, and that begs the question, what do we think we can do in 2024? Time to bring out the strategy frameworks, polish up those crystal balls that have been a bit murky of late, and chart our course forward.

This post will kick off a series of blogs about framing strategy, all organized around a meta-model we call the Hierarchy of Powers:

Geoffrey Moore Strategy Framework

The inspiration for this model came from looking at how investors prioritize their portfolios. The first thing they do is allocate by sector, based primarily on category power, referring both to the growth rate of the category as well as its potential size. Rising tides float all boats, and one of the toughest challenges in business is how to manage a premier franchise when category growth is negative. In conjunction with assessing our current portfolio’s category power, this is also a time to look at adjacent categories, whether as threats or as opportunities, to see if there are any transformative acquisitions that deserve our immediate attention.

Returning to our current set of assets, within each category the next question to answer is, what is our company power within that category? This is largely a factor of market share. The more share a company has of a given category, the more likely the ecosystem of partners that supports the category will focus first on that company’s installed base, adding more value to its offers, as well as to recommend that company’s products first, again because of the added leverage from partner engagement. Marketplaces, in other words, self-organize around category leaders, accelerating the sales and offloading the support costs of the market share leaders.

But what do you do when you don’t have company power? That’s when you turn your attention to market power. Marketplaces destabilize around problematic use cases that the incumbent vendors do not handle well. This creates openings for new entrants, provided they can authentically address the customer’s problems. The key is to focus product management on the whole product (not just what your enterprise supplies, but rather, everything the customer needs to be successful) and to focus your go-to-market engine on the target market segment. This is the playbook that has kept Crossing the Chasm on entrepreneur’s book lists some thirty years in, but it is a different matter to execute it in a large enterprise where sales and marketing are organized for global coverage, not rifle-shot initiatives. Nonetheless, when properly executed, it is the most reliable play in all of high-tech market development.

If market power is key to taking market share, offer power is key to maintaining it, both in high-growth categories as well as mature ones. Offer power is a function of three disciplines—differentiation to create customer preference, neutralization to catch up to and reduce a competitor’s differentiation, and optimization to eliminate non-value-adding costs. Anything that does not contribute materially to one of these three outcomes is waste.

Finally, execution power is the ability to take advantage of one’s inertial momentum rather than having it take advantage of you. Here the discipline of zone management has proved particularly valuable to enterprises who are seeking to balance investment in their existing lines of business, typically in mature categories, with forays into new categories that promise higher growth.

In upcoming blog posts I am going to dive deeper into each of the five powers outlined above to share specific frameworks that clarify what decisions need to be made during the strategic planning process and what principles can best guide them. In the meantime, there is still one more quarter in 2023 to make, and we all must do our best to make the most of it.

That’s what I think. What do you think?

Image Credit: Pixabay, Geoffrey A. Moore

Subscribe to Human-Centered Change & Innovation WeeklySign up here to join 17,000+ leaders getting Human-Centered Change & Innovation Weekly delivered to their inbox every week.

Adapting to Change: The Power of Futures Research

Adapting to Change: The Power of Futures Research

GUEST POST from Chateau G Pato

In the modern world, the ability to navigate and anticipate change is essential for success. Futures research is becoming a popular method for strategizing for the future, allowing businesses and other organizations to plan ahead for changes in their industries. Futures research takes a deep dive into trends and events to anticipate and identify possible scenarios for the future, allowing the organization to create plans that will ensure their success in any given situation. Here are two examples of how organizations have used futures research to adapt to changing times and maximize their success.

Case Study #1: Coca-Cola

Coca-Cola is one of the most iconic companies in the world, and it faces intense competition from other soft drink and beverage companies. In order to stay ahead of the game, Coca-Cola has embraced futures research. They often hire futurists to examine current events and trends in their industry, identify possible scenarios for the future, and devise proactive strategies to address them. With the help of their futurists, Coca-Cola used futures research to anticipate the rise of health and wellness trends in the industry and reacted dependently. To capitalize on the changing market, Coca-Cola developed healthier options, including plant-based drinks, juices, and vitamin-infused beverages. These products have been instrumental in helping Coca-Cola remain a competitive leader in the beverage market.

Case Study #2: Walmart

Walmart is another great example of a company that has used futures research to stay ahead of the game. As Walmart faced increased competition from online retailers, the company decided to embrace technology to keep up with changing customer wants and needs. Through futures research, Walmart was able to anticipate customer preferences better and created a plan to stay ahead of the competition. Walmart took a multi-pronged approach that included the development of online shopping options, delivery services, and the use of artificial intelligence. All of these initiatives have allowed the company to stay agile and adapt to changing customer trends in the digital age.

Conclusion

Adapting to change is essential for any organization’s success. Futures research is an invaluable tool for anticipating and predicting change, allowing organizations to create proactive strategies that leverage the opportunities of new trends. Coca-Cola and Walmart are just two examples of how the power of futures research can be used to maximize success in a rapidly changing marketplace.

Bottom line: Futurology is not fortune telling. Futurists use a scientific approach to create their deliverables, but a methodology and tools like those in FutureHacking™ can empower anyone to engage in futurology themselves.

Image credit: Pexels

Subscribe to Human-Centered Change & Innovation WeeklySign up here to get Human-Centered Change & Innovation Weekly delivered to your inbox every week.

How Organizations Can Utilize Futures Research for Strategic Planning

How Organizations Can Utilize Futures Research for Strategic Planning

GUEST POST from Chateau G Pato

Organizations of all sizes are becoming increasingly aware of the value of predicting future trends and utilizing them for future strategic planning. Futures research, which involves forecasting potential development trends and analyzing their impacts, can be an extremely powerful tool in setting both short-term and long-term business goals. By effectively leveraging the insights uncovered from futures research, companies can save time, resources, and money while making better data-driven decisions.

Futures research enables organizations to better assess risk, identify opportunities, and formulate plans to best capitalize on them. It also helps anticipate potential changes in the industry and the economic environment, allowing them to devise the most proactive strategies. With this knowledge, organizations can make educated decisions on pricing, marketing tactics, product development, and other business activities.

Case Study 1: Predicting Consumer Preferences

A retail clothing store wanted to better understand their customer base and anticipate their preferences in the coming year. As part of their futures research, the store analyzed past consumer data to determine current purchasing trends, evaluated the impacts of seasonality, and identified potential future shifts in the market. Armed with these insights, the organization was able to adjust their inventory and make more targeted marketing campaigns to better align with their customer base.

Case Study 2: Enhancing Risk Management

An energy company wanted to more accurately measure their risk exposure to potential economic changes and competitive disruptions. As part of their strategic planning activities, they engaged a professional research firm to conduct a full futures research analysis. The analysis included a comprehensive review of the current market, the impact of potential political and economic events, and competitor strategies. Armed with these insights, the organization was able to make informed decisions that limited their future risk exposure.

Conclusion

Overall, utilizing futures research provides organizations with a comprehensive perspective on both their current and future business operations. By leveraging this approach as part of their strategic planning activities, organizations can stay ahead of the curve and plan more effectively for the future. Furthermore, it is imperative for managers to stay up-to-date on industry trends as they can provide powerful operational insights and help organizations stay competitive.

Bottom line: Futurology is not fortune telling. Futurists use a scientific approach to create their deliverables, but a methodology and tools like those in FutureHacking™ can empower anyone to engage in futurology themselves.

Image credit: Pexels

Subscribe to Human-Centered Change & Innovation WeeklySign up here to get Human-Centered Change & Innovation Weekly delivered to your inbox every week.

Planning to Spread

We’ve all seen the viral videos that seemingly come out of nowhere to garner millions of views on YouTube, videos like this one where five people play one guitar singing Gotye’s “Somebody That I Used to Know”, which as of this date has garnered more than 163 million video views:

And if you add up all of the other postings of this same video, the total number of video views goes much, much higher.

Now, surely Gotye’s version of the song couldn’t have possibly garnered more views than this viral sensation that Walk Off the Earth’s cover created, could it?

Um, actually it did. To date Gotye’s official video has captured nearly 600 million video views, or nearly FIVE TIMES as many video views. So, it hasn’t turned out all bad for Gotye.

Now you might ask yourself, how could the huge success of the Walk Off the Earth viral campaign be trumped by traditional marketing if viral marketing is supposed to be the silver bullet?

Well, the truth is that whether you pursue traditional marketing and advertising or supposedly “viral” marketing activities, the goals are the same:

  1. Awareness
  2. Interest
  3. Desire
  4. Action

And it is within that first bullet point, that you find the viral component that any marketing activity or any evangelism activity (for innovation, for change, etc.) should always contain – spreadability.

Now, WordPress doesn’t seem to think that spreadability is a word, but let’s assume for a moment that it is and focus on the fact that most of the time, one of your goals in business (and your personal life) is spreadability. Ultimately, in many cases, success is determined by whether or not you can get your idea to spread.

This is true whether we are talking about an IT project, a Six Sigma continuous improvement effort, a change initiative, a Lean event, a marketing campaign, or a project commercializing an invention into a potential innovation.

So, can anyone guarantee that an idea or marketing campaign will spread?

The short answer is no.

Sorry, I wish I had better news for you, but the fact is that nobody can guarantee that your idea or your marketing campaign will go viral. Why?

You’re dealing with humans living in a complicated world. We’re not all built the same and the same person can have different reactions to the same stimulus (driven by mood and context among other things). This can result in a perfectly spreadable idea or message being stopped dead in its tracks, depriving you of all of the potential downstream sharing that you might have been hoping for or counting on.

Sorry, you can’t guarantee spreadability, despite what opportunistic marketing consultants claiming to know the magic formula might tell you.

Spreading ChangeBut, an idea can be built to spread.

And I’d like to share with you a simple framework, for free, that you can download and spread far and wide.

Click here to download the “Planning to Spread” starter worksheet as a PDF.

It’s based on the same priniciples as mind mapping and it will help you start either with a particular node in mind (someone you’d like to reach and influence) and work backwards, identifying both how to evolve your idea to best influence that particular node, and how you might be able to reach them (at the same time). Or you can work from the idea outwards. Focusing primarily on the WHO and the WHY as you move outward.

The key questions to consider as you are “Planning to Spread” your idea are the following:

  1. What is your idea or message? (Does it resonate with my target audience?)
  2. Who are you trying to reach?
  3. How will you reach them?
    • When will they be most receptive to the message or idea?
    • Where will they be most receptive to the message or idea?
  4. Why will they engage? (What value will they get?)
  5. Why will they share? (What value will they derive?)
  6. How will they share?

Working your way thoughtfully through these questions will increase the chances that your idea or message will spread, but they won’t guarantee it. Going through the process however will help you refine your idea or message, help you think through the mechanics of how you might encourage and increase engagement, and may even help you uncover flaws in your idea or message that you missed (and give you a chance to fix them).

Planning to Spread WorksheetHappy spreading!
(and please let me know in the comments below any things I might have missed)

So what am I trying to spread?

Well, in the run up to my second book (this time focusing on the best practices and next practices of organizational change), soon I will be releasing a new collaborative, visual change planning toolkit to help organizations work smarter by planning their change initiatives (and projects) in a less overwhelming, more human way that will help get everyone literally on the same page.

This is the idea that I will be spreading and there are many ways that you can benefit.

One way is by becoming a case study volunteer. I’m looking to select a handful of companies to teach how to use the toolkit for free and feature their experience in my next book on the best practices and next practices of organizational change. If you would like to get a jump on the competition by increasing your speed of change (and your ability to work smarter), register your interest here.

But there are several other ways you can benefit, and all of them can be found here (including upcoming chances for consultants to train on the methodology and boost their revenue and success as they work with their clients around the world to deliver positive change). I’ll be focusing on teaching and tools, not consulting.

What message or idea are you trying to spread?


Accelerate your change and transformation success

Subscribe to Human-Centered Change & Innovation WeeklySign up here to get Human-Centered Change & Innovation Weekly delivered to your inbox every week.